Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
914
lifetime
Volume
$3.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$140
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-20 15:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
58% 0% $-18
Other
30% 0% $-0
Sports
10%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -36 $-31 90¢ $-33 $-1 06-10 05:17
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -36 $-29 83¢ $-30 $-0 06-10 05:17
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 $-18 91¢ $-18 $-1 06-10 05:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-1 06-10 05:17
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-10 05:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 $-10 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-10 05:17
Trump out as President before 2027? No -12 $-11 92¢ $-11 $-0 06-10 05:17
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -6 $-4 84¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 19:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 76¢ $-4 +$0 06-20 02:33
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? No -5 $-2 43¢ $-2 $-0 06-20 02:34