Frayed-Area — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

916

lifetime

Volume

$3.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-06 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-18

Other

30% 0% $-0

Sports

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	32	$135	337	335	+2	open	—	04-03 16:34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	27	$133	260	255	+5	open	—	04-03 20:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	27	$126	145	144	+1	open	—	04-13 16:08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	20	$72	159	158	+1	open	—	04-06 13:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$71	46	45	+1	open	—	04-12 17:22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$66	52	50	+2	open	—	04-16 14:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	11	$52	68	65	+3	open	—	04-17 03:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	20	$50	172	172	+0	open	—	06-20 15:07
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	9	$47	86	0	+86	open	—	04-10 11:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$45	70	66	+4	open	—	06-14 23:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	32	$40	184	184	+1	open	—	06-14 18:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$38	90	85	+5	open	—	03-23 17:37
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	6	$38	36	31	+5	open	—	03-08 07:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$36	35	35	+0	open	—	06-13 18:31
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	9	$36	52	52	+0	Yes	$-0	04-07 07:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$34	51	50	+1	open	—	04-02 01:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	9	$33	75	60	+15	open	—	04-17 14:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	12	$32	128	150	-22	open	—	04-11 02:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$31	0	36	-36	open	—	06-10 05:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$31	26	25	+1	open	—	04-13 07:53
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	1	$29	0	36	-36	open	—	06-10 05:17
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	12	$27	35	35	+0	open	—	06-16 18:38
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	9	$27	24	24	+0	open	—	06-08 02:50
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$27	16	15	+1	open	—	03-28 10:42
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$27	16	15	+1	open	—	03-22 04:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$27	0	27	-27	open	—	06-10 05:17
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$26	16	15	+1	open	—	03-15 18:34
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	4	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-13 16:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$25	26	25	+1	open	—	04-09 16:10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	7	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	06-20 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 02:18:45	cs2 lavked blackp 2026 08 06	Black Phoenix	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xcbbdfb…
07-07 06:26:50	val ns1 g21 2026 07 07	G2 Esports	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd77215…
06-20 15:23:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x214e30…
06-20 15:23:25	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xae0344…
06-20 15:23:02	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x2fb4ff…
06-20 15:22:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7349b5…
06-20 15:21:55	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9a5220…
06-20 15:21:04	will magicblock launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x1620c9…
06-20 15:20:32	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xf51b1f…
06-20 15:20:11	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x069bc6…
06-20 15:18:23	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7d2d94…
06-20 15:17:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x4c7bed…
06-20 15:17:25	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x66f19c…
06-20 15:17:07	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x12c79f…
06-20 15:16:44	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf67192…
06-20 15:15:29	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x1fc693…
06-20 15:14:37	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xe595b9…
06-20 15:14:17	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xd122a3…
06-20 15:13:59	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x2bf52c…
06-20 15:13:11	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x7fc008…
06-20 15:12:07	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xab564c…
06-20 15:09:29	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x2dfc58…
06-20 15:07:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x257f71…
06-20 15:06:44	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x8a6be5…
06-20 15:06:05	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 game handicap away 2pt5	T1	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xc7433f…
06-20 15:05:40	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	T1	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4af5c4…
06-20 02:34:22	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f3202…
06-20 02:34:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x4ae63f…
06-20 02:34:16	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6d15d0…
06-20 02:34:14	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x38b305…
06-20 02:34:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xaa4e90…
06-20 02:34:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x2ce992…
06-20 02:34:01	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x900d4f…
06-20 02:33:59	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x263b9a…
06-20 02:33:58	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x805ffe…
06-20 02:33:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xabc855…
06-20 02:33:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xa8ad14…
06-20 02:33:38	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x09f5e1…
06-20 02:33:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x0e6da4…
06-20 01:06:14	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x30ae84…
06-20 00:58:56	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x98fc94…
06-20 00:28:50	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xc4465f…
06-20 00:20:59	mlb sd tex 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x297186…
06-20 00:20:46	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d214c…
06-19 22:10:38	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1aff6e…
06-19 21:55:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdfe68c…
06-19 21:40:35	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x931e08…
06-19 21:32:22	mlb sd tex 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd111a0…
06-19 21:24:20	mlb sd tex 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2afa01…
06-19 21:13:28	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x0988a6…
06-19 21:07:59	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1fd162…
06-19 20:29:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x46602f…
06-19 19:58:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3637ea…
06-19 19:34:49	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xedef83…
06-19 18:55:17	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc4e202…
06-19 17:14:40	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x50affc…
06-19 17:06:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x48c854…
06-19 16:58:34	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	Spirit	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd59f58…
06-19 11:39:14	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf84a86…
06-19 09:26:26	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xe6a2fd…
06-19 09:11:53	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xc2f361…
06-19 09:06:04	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x028be4…
06-19 07:19:02	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x14e027…
06-19 03:55:26	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x942d3a…
06-19 03:40:31	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc0651d…
06-19 02:22:53	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x73a32a…
06-19 01:52:47	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x9febd5…
06-19 01:32:41	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x141ae5…
06-19 01:22:20	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 game handicap away 2pt5	T1	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x616949…
06-18 21:47:16	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x66350b…
06-18 20:51:43	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xccebee…
06-18 18:26:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x53c738…
06-18 18:18:01	will magicblock launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaa7f5b…
06-18 18:17:59	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59e6a0…
06-18 18:17:58	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7163f1…
06-18 18:17:50	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8492d2…
06-18 18:17:49	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x016eb6…
06-18 18:17:38	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc62f88…
06-18 18:17:37	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x184dec…
06-18 18:17:34	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9af396…
06-18 18:17:20	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x941aca…
06-18 18:01:25	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x78df9a…
06-18 17:47:17	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xefd4ff…
06-18 17:47:08	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb519c4…
06-18 17:29:22	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xc8b757…
06-18 17:15:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd1e71f…
06-18 16:58:02	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x228cbb…
06-18 16:26:38	atp estevez villanu 2026 06 18	Gonzalo Villanueva	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa71f58…
06-18 16:18:11	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe0c6df…
06-18 16:10:02	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfb95b5…
06-18 16:10:01	atp estevez villanu 2026 06 18	Gonzalo Villanueva	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7951d5…
06-18 16:01:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xb679f6…
06-18 16:01:13	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0b9eae…
06-18 16:01:08	mlb min tex 2026 06 18	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe5ffc4…
06-18 14:58:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x7412d8…
06-18 14:50:22	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0ee177…
06-18 14:37:59	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x113d61…
06-18 14:37:56	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0x96a5be…
06-18 13:15:05	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xcdf6e9…
06-18 11:35:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xff53e6…