Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

131

Trades

1,929

lifetime

Volume

$1.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 08-19 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

64% 49% -$39

Other

26% 49% +$20

Crypto

7% 100% +$30

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 50% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	150	$140	336	300	+36	No	+$6	05-31 20:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	143	$107	758	758	+0	No	+$27	06-03 21:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	110	$83	177	141	+36	Yes	-$1	06-15 08:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	70	$77	59	59	+0	open	—	07-24 14:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	54	$66	101	101	+0	No	+$6	05-25 00:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	68	$41	65	65	+0	Yes	+$1	06-11 04:26
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	11	$40	97	97	+0	Yes	+$8	06-15 08:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	43	$39	58	58	+0	Yes	-$1	06-16 18:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	14	$34	48	32	+16	Yes	-$6	05-08 19:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	14	$33	58	58	+0	No	-$7	06-15 08:15
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	36	$29	50	33	+17	Yes	-$7	05-16 01:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	19	$27	53	35	+18	No	-$9	06-05 22:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	16	$25	31	17	+14	Yes	$0	05-08 19:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	8	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-03 13:16
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	15	$24	15	15	+0	No	+$4	05-23 16:07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	15	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	05-10 05:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	12	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	08-19 18:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	13	$23	25	18	+6	No	-$1	06-03 13:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	13	$23	29	29	+0	Yes	-$1	05-23 20:08
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	9	$23	14	14	+0	No	+$3	05-12 20:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	7	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	06-03 13:16
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	11	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$20	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	06-03 13:17
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	19	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-03 13:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	33	$19	92	92	+0	No	-$1	05-22 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	8	$18	45	22	+23	Yes	+$21	05-13 05:59
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	9	$17	18	8	+9	Yes	-$1	05-17 08:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	14	$17	25	17	+8	Yes	+$1	06-01 08:23
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	30	$16	12	7	+5	No	+$1	05-29 07:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	27	$15	17	17	+0	No	+$3	05-22 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 18:17:49	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc1e150…
08-19 18:17:39	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xd225a5…
08-19 18:17:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xce2e79…
08-19 18:17:39	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$3	0xb788cc…
08-19 18:17:39	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xaa043f…
08-19 18:17:39	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x89b6a6…
08-19 18:17:39	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x7b2be5…
08-19 18:17:39	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x6fa253…
08-19 18:17:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x63e41a…
08-19 18:17:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x338e2e…
08-19 18:17:39	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x1f0bc2…
08-19 18:17:39	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x1df00e…
08-19 18:17:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x167d80…
08-19 18:17:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x075928…
08-19 18:17:39	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x05f45c…
08-14 01:45:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x10a569…
08-14 01:44:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xf1ae9d…
08-14 01:44:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x6f6f7e…
07-24 14:15:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x4494df…
07-24 14:06:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xc33220…
07-24 13:46:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x713b9e…
07-24 09:58:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x64cb3b…
07-24 09:58:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xae9ce1…
07-24 08:03:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xce864a…
07-23 23:07:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x76ed64…
07-23 23:07:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x8a1cf6…
07-22 22:03:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x1d1712…
07-22 21:18:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xe97ca5…
07-22 13:32:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x3836e3…
07-22 10:40:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x54ef5e…
07-20 11:34:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xfc1108…
07-20 11:32:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x2736dd…
07-20 05:41:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xc3fb29…
07-18 18:54:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xc409eb…
07-18 17:20:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x82a917…
07-17 23:47:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x18281a…
07-17 23:21:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xf52a86…
07-17 23:09:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x6e0865…
07-17 22:48:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x8f3097…
07-17 19:59:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xd25321…
07-17 19:09:39	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa2a9b4…
07-17 18:12:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x8ed004…
07-17 18:08:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xeace98…
07-17 07:54:30	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xbca40a…
07-17 07:24:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x27985e…
07-16 13:11:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x0a3ca5…
07-16 11:55:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xc10975…
07-16 07:29:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xbfb4a5…
07-16 07:01:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x8035d7…
07-16 07:01:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xeda62e…
07-16 07:00:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x43c6d3…
07-16 01:13:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xe63d15…
07-16 01:06:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x4b28fc…
07-15 08:27:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xac9f3f…
07-13 19:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xf34772…
07-13 19:44:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xf1c937…
07-10 00:37:53	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5882b6…
07-10 00:22:49	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xc3d6b3…
07-10 00:13:07	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x411332…
07-09 04:06:05	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x379925…
07-08 21:59:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x268699…
07-08 20:09:58	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x32cbdc…
07-08 16:33:43	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x1d98c8…
07-07 02:08:40	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x16c316…
07-06 17:50:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xab9771…
07-06 17:48:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xa675e9…
07-06 17:44:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x91d223…
07-06 17:40:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x4b142c…
07-06 17:30:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xcbf35f…
07-06 17:26:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xf9125f…
07-06 17:24:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x375a1a…
07-06 17:20:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x8682bc…
07-06 17:17:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xfc729b…
07-06 17:17:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xafb865…
07-06 16:00:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xec6eb6…
07-06 15:52:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xf43ad5…
07-06 15:47:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xf9b371…
07-06 15:46:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x2b02b0…
07-06 15:42:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x993100…
07-06 15:41:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xdc5c3a…
07-06 15:38:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x57a972…
07-06 15:25:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x8fff89…
07-06 15:16:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xe84b91…
07-06 15:14:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xd27662…
07-06 15:08:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xe42167…
07-06 15:04:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x26e7b0…
07-06 14:43:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x3f06ae…
07-06 14:41:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xb104d0…
07-06 14:36:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x767bac…
07-06 14:36:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x5bc365…
07-06 14:36:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0xafe9e6…
07-06 14:36:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0xaec87f…
07-06 11:22:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x614efb…
07-05 18:20:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf3d804…
07-05 18:07:28	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xc3e067…
07-05 18:07:05	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x241cee…
07-05 18:03:29	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x57685c…
07-05 18:02:53	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x641769…
07-05 17:59:55	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xe0f99d…
07-05 17:26:02	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf3d691…