Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
5.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,369
lifetime
Volume
$1.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$42
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 07-20 11:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
68% 40% $-8
Other
20%
Crypto
9%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -14 $-11 86¢ $-12 $-1 06-03 13:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -8 $-5 78¢ $-6 $-1 06-03 13:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7 $-6 72¢ $-5 +$1 06-09 17:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -12 $-3 28¢ $-3 $-1 07-20 11:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -10 $-4 32¢ $-3 +$1 06-03 13:22
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 06-01 15:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:19
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:22
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 08:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:21