Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
5.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,303
lifetime
Volume
$1.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$76
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-18 13:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
68% 40% $-8
Other
20%
Crypto
10%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -14 $-13 100¢ $-14 $-0 06-03 13:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -14 $-11 88¢ $-12 $-1 06-03 13:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-03 13:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 06-09 17:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -8 $-5 74¢ $-6 $-0 06-03 13:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -10 $-4 41¢ $-4 +$0 06-03 13:22
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -3 $-2 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-02 08:27
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:17
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 06-01 15:26
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:19
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:22
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 08:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 13:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 13:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -28 $-7 $-0 +$7 06-15 08:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-10 20:47
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +6 $2 $0 $-2 06-01 07:27