Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
79
lifetime
Volume
$634
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$201
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-30 07:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-3
Other
27%
Crypto
12%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +91 $83 92¢ $85 +$2 06-17 02:20
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +32 $30 96¢ $31 +$1 06-17 02:19
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 06-17 02:19
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 06-03 04:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 04:14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-17 02:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:24
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +6 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:26
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-30 07:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 06-03 04:14
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-30 07:27