(anonymous) 0x215ad9…32360a Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved
9
Trades
56
lifetime
Volume
$810
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$664
27 positions
First seen
2026-10-18
last 11-04 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
89% 83% +$2
Other
11% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +284 $248 96¢ $273 +$25 10-28 22:03
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +120 $100 88¢ $106 +$6 10-25 12:46
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? No +93 $87 98¢ $91 +$4 11-01 17:58
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +40 $28 95¢ $38 +$10 10-25 10:26
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +31 $20 94¢ $29 +$9 10-22 16:04
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +26 $20 94¢ $25 +$5 10-23 12:57
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-24 09:36
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 10-20 10:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-20 10:30
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-20 11:02
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +100 $10 8¢ $8 -$2 10-22 10:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +7 $7 97¢ $7 $0 10-20 11:09
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 10-22 16:21
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-24 09:37
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-20 11:07
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +102 $10 5¢ $5 -$5 10-22 10:29
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? Yes +26 $5 18¢ $5 $0 10-22 16:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +17 $5 26¢ $4 -$1 10-24 16:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +175 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 10-22 10:30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 $10 4¢ $4 -$6 10-22 10:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $5 12¢ $4 -$1 10-23 13:28
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +27 $10 6¢ $2 -$8 10-21 17:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 $1 69¢ $1 $0 10-25 10:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-23 13:39
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027? Yes +89 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 11-01 17:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +8 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-23 13:39
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? Yes +29 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 10-24 14:35