Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$10.0K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
2
236 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$135
$161.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$684
Open exposure
$84.8K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-09 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
78% 100% +$6,234
Other
22% 100% +$1,212
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +18,000 $15,260 92¢ $16.6K +$1,390 10-21 16:50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +18,412 $13,551 88¢ $16.1K +$2,559 11-09 19:48
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +13,492 $10,360 91¢ $12.3K +$1,911 09-09 20:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +12,077 $10,598 97¢ $11.8K +$1,171 07-24 06:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10,149 $8,807 99¢ $10.0K +$1,195 11-02 00:19
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +8,500 $7,630 97¢ $8.2K +$589 11-01 15:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8,500 $6,930 92¢ $7.9K +$932 11-03 00:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,888 $1,605 98¢ $1.9K +$252 05-19 19:14
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +50 $30 92¢ $46 +$16 06-25 09:15