Alarmed-Stopsign — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

101

Trades

383

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-06 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

93% 43% -$1,564

Politics

3% 50% +$26

Sports

3% 43% +$3

Crypto

0% 25% -$10

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	4	$1.3K	673	673	+0	No	+$67	01-26 05:44
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	2	$1.1K	1,026	1,026	+0	No	-$385	01-26 15:52
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	3	$1.0K	637	637	+0	Yes	+$233	01-23 16:58
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	2	$708	372	372	+0	Yes	+$35	01-24 17:09
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 165 189	2	$626	326	326	+0	No	+$26	01-24 17:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	2	$412	1,116	1,116	+0	No	-$326	01-27 07:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	11	$361	400	400	+0	No	-$199	04-30 15:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?	6	$306	170	170	+0	No	+$34	05-01 13:33
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	3	$300	158	158	+0	Yes	+$2	03-14 03:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 46 47f	25	$273	150	150	+0	No	+$24	03-13 20:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	4	$252	200	200	+0	Yes	-$56	05-02 05:18
highest temperature in tokyo on march 14 2026 13c	8	$227	147	147	+0	Yes	+$65	03-14 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	2	$221	115	115	+0	No	+$8	05-02 16:07
highest temperature in paris on march 14 2026 9c	19	$220	380	0	+380	No	-$220	03-14 11:22
highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 46 47f	22	$210	330	0	+330	No	-$210	03-15 17:30
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 12c	2	$208	126	126	+0	Yes	+$41	03-12 23:15
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	2	$202	122	122	+0	Yes	+$42	03-09 10:38
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	2	$195	366	366	+0	Yes	-$5	01-26 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$7	05-02 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 30?	3	$191	220	0	+220	No	+$29	04-29 19:29
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 15c	7	$185	151	151	+0	Yes	-$43	03-09 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?	5	$154	280	0	+280	No	-$154	05-01 14:31
highest temperature in shanghai on march 14 2026 17c	3	$143	75	75	+0	No	+$6	03-14 10:42
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	2	$122	75	75	+0	Yes	+$22	03-09 02:31
will israel strike gaza on march 4 2026	2	$121	72	72	+0	No	+$21	03-05 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	12	$119	70	70	+0	Yes	+$21	04-30 10:48
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 14c	2	$118	69	69	+0	No	+$12	03-11 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	6	$115	60	60	+0	No	+$5	05-03 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?	21	$114	300	300	+0	No	-$72	05-01 02:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$105	89	89	+0	No	+$5	03-04 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 16:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xc5c4a0…
06-06 08:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x77aab1…
06-06 04:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	49	11¢	$5	0xf9c34a…
06-05 10:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0xae0633…
06-05 10:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x81fc3a…
06-05 07:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xda80e3…
06-05 05:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0xd2d1fe…
06-05 00:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x39870e…
06-05 00:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xa5a31b…
06-05 00:35:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 5?	No	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x18a664…
06-04 14:24:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 5?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x19c9c7…
06-04 10:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x051ede…
06-04 09:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x6beab2…
06-04 09:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x2f165d…
06-04 06:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x5c247e…
06-03 09:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa0ea94…
06-03 08:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x95d127…
06-03 08:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	39	24¢	$9	0x8d56b1…
06-03 07:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x269c65…
06-03 07:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd4e8a9…
06-03 07:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0x786734…
06-02 22:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4a7bd9…
06-02 17:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x325872…
06-02 17:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x433613…
06-02 16:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x54dce6…
06-02 15:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x8b3153…
06-02 14:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x300eaf…
06-02 14:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	SELL	18	52¢	$10	0x5a9b37…
06-02 01:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x556095…
06-02 01:52:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9ce400…
06-02 01:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x8ab126…
06-02 01:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x83c231…
06-02 00:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0xae40e8…
06-01 15:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xfc7070…
06-01 15:24:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe7d0ed…
06-01 10:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd83a13…
06-01 10:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb0d734…
06-01 10:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0x7dc18f…
06-01 03:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x86b1f3…
06-01 03:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x22f597…
05-31 14:50:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x7a56d2…
05-31 08:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5f0247…
05-29 10:00:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x917f12…
05-29 09:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd64e06…
05-28 15:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x720ed6…
05-28 15:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xd7b1a9…
05-28 15:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x295cbc…
05-15 17:38:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0xe78aee…
05-14 23:48:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x935fd9…
05-14 23:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0x67a93c…
05-14 13:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xd8eaf1…
05-14 03:36:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xf05536…
05-13 19:16:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x746a5f…
05-13 16:46:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa821df…
05-13 16:42:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x4c5d51…
05-13 16:40:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$8	0x85d58a…
05-13 16:37:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x4ded9f…
05-13 14:05:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x74a171…
05-13 08:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0xf8ed35…
05-12 09:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xef5cc7…
05-12 09:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x22ad07…
05-11 12:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x9b754a…
05-03 14:49:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x64d0f9…
05-03 14:49:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdd35d9…
05-03 14:49:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0x9e4c27…
05-03 05:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xbf5091…
05-03 03:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xab149e…
05-03 03:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x296e0f…
05-03 03:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0x10389b…
05-03 03:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x7383b7…
05-03 03:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x922f53…
05-03 03:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	540	0¢	$1	0x7e211e…
05-03 00:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	186	10¢	$19	0x09dbad…
05-03 00:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	198	10¢	$20	0x9f8be0…
05-03 00:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xcf2524…
05-03 00:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x751123…
05-02 16:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0xb983d8…
05-02 16:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xc134ca…
05-02 16:10:04	Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x261b77…
05-02 16:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$114	0xdd2617…
05-02 16:03:20	Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdb3913…
05-02 12:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	No	BUY	115	93¢	$107	0xd45477…
05-02 09:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x713aae…
05-02 05:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x14967a…
05-02 05:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x58992f…
05-02 05:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x6a8720…
05-02 05:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x09ceea…
05-02 05:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xcca673…
05-02 04:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb2c8b9…
05-02 03:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	No	BUY	112	77¢	$86	0xec930d…
05-02 03:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x6e471f…
05-02 03:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	No	BUY	88	77¢	$68	0x398355…
05-01 16:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x24568b…
05-01 15:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x002197…
05-01 15:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xbee151…
05-01 15:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	58	6¢	$4	0x251292…
05-01 14:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x583ae0…
05-01 13:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	159	55¢	$87	0xb11d87…
05-01 13:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xf84acd…
05-01 13:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x6b2299…