Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$685

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-20 04:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 75% +$12

Politics

39% 0% $-16

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	+7	$2	26¢	$2	$-0	07-12 16:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	+6	$1	21¢	$1	+$0	07-13 16:40
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+8	$2	14¢	$1	$-1	06-18 18:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	04-21 00:30
will nvda reach 200 in february	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	02-14 01:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-01 15:32
nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	02-13 01:47
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	1	$10	17	+17	open	—	02-04 11:57
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	02-15 01:55
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	02-28 07:30
will nvda dip to 168 in february	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	02-13 17:51
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	1	$10	17	+17	open	—	02-05 06:04
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$10	28	+28	open	—	02-06 10:43
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	1	$10	34	+34	open	—	02-14 09:54
will the bhumjaithai party bjt win 140 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	02-06 02:43
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	02-04 11:56
will trump say tiktok this week february 8	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	02-04 11:54
will elon musk be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	02-04 11:51
will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	1	$10	43	+43	open	—	02-14 17:54
trump approval up or down this week 596	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	02-28 15:31
spx up or down on march 2 2026	1	$10	27	+27	open	—	02-28 23:31
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win between 150 and 199 seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	02-12 07:40
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$10	27	+27	open	—	02-02 21:02
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	1	$9	14	+14	open	—	07-09 04:39
will annual inflation increase by 2pt5 in february 439 553 591 573	1	$9	15	+15	open	—	03-03 09:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	05-16 11:22
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 40 64	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-04 09:59
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	03-14 17:27
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	1	$8	11	+11	No	$-8	04-22 09:51
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-13 16:50
will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	03-14 09:08
trump approval up or down this week 715	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	04-12 19:15
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?	1	$8	12	+12	No	+$4	04-26 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 04:47:15	will spy reach 755 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf765ef…
07-16 16:46:11	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x73d7dc…
07-15 16:40:50	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x55d826…
07-13 16:40:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x5b6084…
07-13 04:39:59	will wti reach 80 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe6cb6b…
07-12 16:39:53	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x48b574…
07-10 04:39:23	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9c4a00…
07-09 04:39:16	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x08315d…
07-08 04:25:17	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xdb9f6e…
07-07 04:25:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaf2a23…
07-06 04:24:38	will open reach 5 25 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xa1ad41…
06-18 18:43:50	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x9a4348…
06-11 09:48:49	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x16a363…
05-20 23:37:09	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xd43c5f…
05-16 11:22:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x239a0f…
05-15 19:20:38	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x707991…
05-15 11:19:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc69767…
05-14 19:07:37	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x673cb7…
05-14 11:06:44	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.9B?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x4b8946…
05-13 10:54:27	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x32bf82…
05-12 18:49:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x12bffd…
05-12 02:47:14	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x4477ef…
05-11 10:43:48	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x964bcc…
05-11 02:43:16	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x8050bc…
04-27 00:20:42	Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x7398ea…
04-26 16:20:38	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x237379…
04-26 08:15:02	Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0x9d1a66…
04-26 00:14:10	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xac48b0…
04-25 08:09:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x87ef99…
04-24 11:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x98d038…
04-23 23:54:38	Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xed8a20…
04-22 18:08:44	spy closes above 710 on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3c50b9…
04-22 09:51:10	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x5d2f9a…
04-22 00:56:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xcb30b7…
04-21 08:37:32	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0b607f…
04-21 00:30:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x15ecd5…
04-20 16:28:30	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc92176…
04-20 08:15:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x9677b3…
04-14 09:32:57	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x39d06b…
04-13 16:21:13	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x5ae0d8…
04-13 04:27:57	will msft dip to 360 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$8	0x9e1522…
04-12 19:15:17	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x4c3179…
04-12 10:15:51	Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xbf8a7d…
04-12 02:06:35	coin up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc94141…
04-11 13:26:53	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf432af…
04-11 05:11:35	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x20a0aa…
04-10 20:47:17	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6991b8…
04-10 09:32:31	will fidesz kdnp win at least 100 seats	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5c2adf…
04-10 01:11:45	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xcbf413…
04-09 17:08:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xd1a6b9…
04-09 08:50:01	meta up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x586085…
04-09 00:45:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x773cfa…
04-08 16:24:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xf54e76…
04-08 08:10:11	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x62cc82…
04-07 23:47:23	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x14c8b5…
04-06 02:42:27	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbe291d…
04-05 17:16:17	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 80 99	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfe0f42…
04-05 09:04:19	spx up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x9d4f7d…
04-04 22:11:53	will the number of us flights delayed on april 4 be between 5000 and 5500	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x23401f…
03-24 22:40:05	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x4a26bf…
03-24 22:34:27	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf97a95…
03-24 13:16:55	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7868eb…
03-23 18:04:11	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4c9a90…
03-23 08:47:29	will iran strike safaniya field by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe8576a…
03-23 00:24:21	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 neg0pt51	No	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0xd594b4…
03-22 14:18:53	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xb3adc4…
03-21 08:48:33	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xb77126…
03-20 19:44:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x964582…
03-20 06:13:23	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x35e57a…
03-19 16:00:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x29cbee…
03-19 07:24:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xaa4a21…
03-18 23:15:47	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9fcb7f…
03-18 15:10:03	will powell say politics during march press conference	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9100bb…
03-17 21:10:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe528b9…
03-17 02:56:05	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xf2158f…
03-16 18:44:49	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x757e19…
03-16 10:44:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3e7b4d…
03-16 02:43:39	will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa53289…
03-15 18:42:47	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xcbd697…
03-15 10:37:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x05c84d…
03-14 17:27:21	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7676e4…
03-14 09:08:09	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x10b16f…
03-14 00:54:59	trump approval up or down this week 857	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x071d46…
03-13 16:50:45	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xedbeaa…
03-13 00:44:03	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xf1a7a0…
03-12 16:32:57	will iran strike ruwais refinery by march 31	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x550c3e…
03-12 08:31:09	andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x3d0242…
03-12 00:21:19	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x141647…
03-11 16:18:27	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x4f69c0…
03-11 08:14:35	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf61f71…
03-07 03:37:43	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x795fec…
03-06 19:23:07	rut up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf2e9b6…
03-06 11:07:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x14bc7f…
03-06 03:05:17	will plc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xdcf3ac…
03-05 18:50:31	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa34080…
03-05 10:40:53	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xd3b37b…
03-04 18:00:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x784488…
03-04 09:59:55	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 40 64	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xbf1d4f…
03-04 01:58:49	will kate abughazaleh be the democratic nominee for il 09	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xb18adb…
03-03 17:57:59	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x8840be…