Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
649
lifetime
Volume
$601
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$35
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-02 03:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
45% 75% $-0
Crypto
39%
Politics
16% 100% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $3 +$1 07-02 02:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 05-30 22:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +3 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-10 13:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +3 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-29 02:46
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -4 $-2 66¢ $-2 $-0 05-30 22:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 07-01 11:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 06-30 01:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-29 08:12
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 07-02 02:44
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +3 $2 76¢ $2 $-0 06-22 06:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -4 $-2 38¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 23:01
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -3 $-2 42¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 23:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 23:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-17 02:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 23:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-22 05:54
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 76¢ $-1 $-1 05-30 23:13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 23:11
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -2 $-1 27¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 23:12
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 18¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 23:12
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes -3 $-1 20¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 23:13
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 13¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 23:12
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 24¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 23:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -6 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-30 23:00