Darling-Criticism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-16 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

70% 19% -$886

Politics

30% 45% +$834

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	13	$1.4K	3,127	3,127	+0	open	—	07-15 22:34
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$1.0K	597	597	+0	Yes	+$44	07-01 05:03
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	11	$878	839	844	-5	Yes	+$153	05-23 21:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$877	2,379	2,617	-238	Yes	+$485	06-19 00:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$717	603	603	+0	Yes	+$488	05-09 05:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$616	407	407	+0	Yes	+$192	04-08 00:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$604	508	508	+0	No	+$114	05-23 21:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$483	428	428	+0	Yes	+$163	06-14 23:48
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$410	2,369	300	+2,069	No	-$326	06-10 14:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$400	6,833	4,167	+2,667	No	-$116	03-15 15:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	3	$393	405	405	+0	Yes	+$53	06-11 23:36
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	2	$353	257	257	+0	Yes	+$133	04-21 16:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$340	747	747	+0	Yes	+$140	06-13 17:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$328	469	469	+0	Yes	+$28	03-24 23:51
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	7	$280	3,173	0	+3,173	No	-$280	06-26 03:10
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	56	$220	1,532	0	+1,532	No	-$220	06-11 19:03
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$216	237	237	+0	Yes	-$4	07-01 05:04
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	2	$184	323	323	+0	open	—	05-27 18:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$152	233	233	+0	Yes	+$54	02-28 08:21
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	2	$150	1,775	0	+1,775	No	-$150	06-14 23:53
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	5	$146	2,326	0	+2,326	No	-$146	07-15 22:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	6	$144	6,863	2,110	+4,753	No	-$65	06-10 16:46
wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	4	$140	1,304	0	+1,304	Golden State Valkyries	-$140	07-16 01:46
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	27	$132	20,476	0	+20,476	Yes	-$132	04-22 00:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$123	8,816	4,408	+4,408	Yes	-$87	06-16 23:26
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$116	150	150	+0	Yes	+$16	05-10 06:54
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	3	$112	348	348	+0	No	-$28	05-08 18:45
ECB rate hike in 2026?	7	$107	673	673	+0	Yes	-$53	05-29 00:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$103	400	400	+0	No	-$17	05-12 05:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$97	67	67	+0	Yes	+$38	05-01 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 01:46:59	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Indiana Fever	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1d478a…
07-16 01:46:22	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Indiana Fever	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0xd64331…
07-16 01:46:05	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Indiana Fever	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x10a90b…
07-16 01:45:46	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Indiana Fever	BUY	952	12¢	$113	0x6cf2e3…
07-15 22:35:59	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	273	4¢	$10	0xe446b5…
07-15 22:35:50	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	246	4¢	$10	0x930ec0…
07-15 22:34:59	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	17¢	$174	0x63c68c…
07-15 22:34:26	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	440	4¢	$18	0xc7148d…
07-15 22:33:46	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	765	2¢	$17	0x935bcb…
07-14 06:39:37	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	8¢	$8	0x8842b7…
07-14 06:38:46	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,270	8¢	$100	0x6745e4…
07-14 06:38:13	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	600	20¢	$118	0x00c40c…
07-11 19:54:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	400	22¢	$88	0x27fca0…
07-11 18:56:46	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	345	22¢	$76	0xda2b00…
07-11 09:00:20	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	782	22¢	$174	0x0e97ca…
07-08 20:02:43	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb8c2e2…
07-08 20:02:26	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	588	6¢	$35	0xee2703…
07-08 20:02:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$3	0xa3a164…
07-08 20:01:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0x640cd9…
07-08 20:01:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0x4176e9…
07-07 21:10:53	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x54cf1c…
07-07 21:10:37	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x85c331…
07-02 04:24:23	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0xecc59c…
07-02 04:24:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4a8349…
07-02 04:24:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x5487e1…
07-02 04:23:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x55609b…
07-01 05:04:59	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	682	22¢	$150	0x9dcb69…
07-01 05:04:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	237	45¢	$106	0x646e82…
07-01 05:03:35	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	911	22¢	$200	0x233b20…
07-01 05:03:07	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	310	93¢	$289	0xeea366…
06-26 03:10:47	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	Yes	BUY	717	1¢	$5	0x5fb49b…
06-25 23:55:20	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	286	89¢	$255	0x4df001…
06-22 14:07:46	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	597	84¢	$500	0xfc106b…
06-22 12:29:19	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x6b7f41…
06-22 06:32:02	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0x910daf…
06-22 06:13:08	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x134d59…
06-21 20:43:44	will trump speak to kim jong un in june	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x931db2…
06-21 20:43:37	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb5ca20…
06-19 00:33:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,109	29¢	$325	0x85b03e…
06-17 20:30:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	965	1¢	$7	0xbe096a…
06-17 20:30:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,538	2¢	$23	0xdce8bd…
06-17 20:27:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,270	26¢	$330	0x68ef66…
06-16 23:27:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x3307fd…
06-16 23:26:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4,408	0¢	$18	0x9ee6f9…
06-16 02:15:13	IR Iran to score first vs. New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc91dc3…
06-16 02:14:48	IR Iran to score first vs. New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xedda35…
06-15 05:52:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	849	29¢	$250	0xe5e6a8…
06-15 04:55:19	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x6288d5…
06-15 03:54:18	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4a1a20…
06-15 01:47:52	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	282	16¢	$45	0x63074e…
06-15 01:43:48	cuba leader miguel diaz canel in us custody by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,008	2¢	$20	0xdf5fa1…
06-15 01:42:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0xfb4dd5…
06-15 01:42:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$30	0xc33742…
06-14 23:53:40	US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	Yes	BUY	1,061	9¢	$100	0xf74ebb…
06-14 23:48:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	324	92¢	$298	0xaff5d6…
06-13 17:25:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	747	32¢	$240	0xffc0ff…
06-11 23:37:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0c8bf3…
06-11 23:37:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	34¢	$110	0x0f0752…
06-11 23:37:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	747	13¢	$100	0x1d8c5c…
06-11 23:36:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	202	55¢	$111	0xfc7fee…
06-11 23:36:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	202	55¢	$111	0xfed6d7…
06-11 19:03:19	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8c2540…
06-11 03:51:16	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbbdd49…
06-11 03:38:34	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa9e726…
06-11 03:38:22	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0x57d66a…
06-10 16:47:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	405	42¢	$170	0xed0286…
06-10 16:46:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0xd793ae…
06-10 16:46:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x4b6d9d…
06-10 14:15:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	240	21¢	$50	0x19802d…
06-10 14:13:48	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xcf35df…
06-10 02:16:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xd75a5a…
06-10 02:15:54	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	389	8¢	$30	0x178dc0…
06-10 02:15:09	US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xc60af8…
06-01 11:42:24	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Yes	BUY	373	7¢	$25	0x2e8625…
06-01 11:41:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	24¢	$25	0x2cf2c5…
05-29 05:12:08	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xd9fb9d…
05-29 01:26:37	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xa53e30…
05-29 01:19:04	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x37f794…
05-29 01:16:40	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xe68fe6…
05-29 01:16:40	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xaa47a4…
05-29 01:16:40	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x32b1c2…
05-29 01:16:40	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x1c4d27…
05-29 01:16:38	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xd87a64…
05-29 01:16:38	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xc1787d…
05-29 01:16:38	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xa245df…
05-29 01:16:38	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x80eec5…
05-29 01:16:38	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x60f21c…
05-29 01:16:38	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x2f19f9…
05-29 01:16:37	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xf53d1f…
05-29 01:16:37	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xdbd595…
05-29 01:16:37	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xbea480…
05-29 01:16:37	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x62e2d5…
05-29 01:16:37	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x5fabcc…
05-29 01:16:37	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x076dbd…
05-29 01:16:35	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xe91bb2…
05-29 01:16:35	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xc18e25…
05-29 01:16:35	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x60468a…
05-29 01:16:35	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x4a8df1…
05-29 01:16:35	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x36ff36…
05-29 01:16:35	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x2edd77…