Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$51

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-02 22:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

61% 78% +$4

Politics

23% 100% +$3

Crypto

12% 0% —

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No		+53	$51	97¢	$51	+$0	11-02 00:49
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	07-27 17:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	2	$111	56	56	+0	No	+$0	06-05 00:16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	10-22 01:14
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-08 08:35
Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-21 12:14
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$100	53	53	+0	No	+$0	05-08 19:12
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	9	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 15:47
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-11 01:27
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	2	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	06-29 19:10
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	09-09 11:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$98	51	51	+0	No	-$1	05-25 14:52
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	10-22 10:36
Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	8	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-02 10:02
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	07-27 17:53
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	5	$98	50	50	-0	open	—	07-20 00:12
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	08-23 19:15
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$96	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	07-20 13:38
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$96	51	51	+0	No	+$0	09-05 18:54
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	4	$95	49	49	+0	open	—	10-27 15:59
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	07-24 19:29
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?	6	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-09 09:43
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	2	$80	41	41	+0	Yes	+$0	08-11 12:05
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$80	42	42	+0	open	—	06-27 04:41
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	4	$80	42	42	+0	open	—	07-25 23:32
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	1	$55	57	0	+57	Yes	+$2	09-21 14:47
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	1	$52	55	0	+55	Yes	+$3	09-14 14:21
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	1	$51	53	0	+53	No	+$2	11-02 22:38
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	1	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	11-02 00:49
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$21	22	0	+22	Yes	+$1	04-08 07:56
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-18 00:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 22:38:45	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xa409a1…
11-02 00:49:01	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x2a8cca…
10-27 15:59:18	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x5ff232…
10-22 10:36:21	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x3195e7…
10-22 01:14:11	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x3faa6d…
10-21 12:14:18	Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xfebec7…
10-09 06:56:33	Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbac686…
10-05 17:40:31	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xfee33b…
09-28 14:54:06	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa00330…
09-23 14:37:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xfb843f…
09-21 20:44:57	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xc97844…
09-21 14:47:48	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	Yes	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x787154…
09-14 14:21:42	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xb3fc8f…
09-09 11:52:30	Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x502fbb…
09-08 03:09:49	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xedcb27…
09-05 18:54:40	Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x61ef51…
08-29 02:16:22	Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x220f2d…
08-24 02:59:15	Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0xe899d1…
08-23 19:15:06	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x224ea9…
08-11 12:05:37	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x1aeec9…
08-02 10:02:20	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x373de0…
08-02 09:53:44	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x65e8e5…
08-02 09:52:38	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x99c452…
08-02 09:52:27	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7377c7…
08-02 09:51:11	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6ca1f8…
08-02 09:50:09	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5fc6eb…
08-02 09:50:06	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc1b870…
07-29 07:14:51	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x431f40…
07-27 17:53:21	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xbe8352…
07-25 23:32:43	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x8da76b…
07-25 20:26:33	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x9d2cff…
07-25 18:50:22	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2a093e…
07-25 17:06:31	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x159cbf…
07-24 19:29:48	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0x38537a…
07-23 20:01:19	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7f2b64…
07-23 16:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x10e6ca…
07-23 12:38:18	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc7aa0a…
07-20 13:38:27	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x0e364f…
07-20 12:29:19	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x43de64…
07-20 00:12:54	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xb7b135…
07-20 00:11:21	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x8a4d17…
07-20 00:10:43	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc49b83…
07-17 16:56:49	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8811cf…
07-17 16:07:36	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x534b77…
07-17 11:55:40	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x92b3e6…
07-17 09:15:51	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xb850df…
07-09 09:43:46	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe1517d…
07-07 03:13:23	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe1b4a1…
07-07 03:13:17	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0xb7750b…
07-07 03:05:16	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x05b44b…
07-03 13:35:19	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xfd21b1…
06-29 19:10:17	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xd380ef…
06-27 04:41:58	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xdfcaae…
06-26 00:12:56	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xc490ea…
06-19 08:43:49	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7e02ac…
06-18 00:18:49	Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1506aa…
06-16 07:03:40	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0xc81c3b…
06-16 06:48:45	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x604e6a…
06-05 00:16:49	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xea48e0…
06-02 15:47:39	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xe3f069…
06-01 22:59:55	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf26d67…
05-30 00:15:14	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc37d27…
05-30 00:15:12	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcd4989…
05-30 00:15:12	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x588e27…
05-30 00:15:10	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xed8162…
05-30 00:15:09	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c446d…
05-29 23:25:53	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x96b487…
05-25 14:52:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0xadeb9c…
05-24 08:48:08	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x575323…
05-15 12:51:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x2fad24…
05-11 01:27:07	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7a7821…
05-08 19:12:28	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xbb0379…
05-08 08:35:31	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0xccd682…
05-08 02:22:32	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xcffc11…
05-06 11:19:42	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0xf423cc…
05-01 15:49:04	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xf29913…
05-01 15:24:38	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb21d0f…
05-01 15:16:50	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x896c86…
04-30 23:28:02	Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5eac72…
04-30 18:53:24	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xc28bb1…
04-30 15:00:52	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x59df0c…
04-30 13:47:56	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xba897e…
04-30 11:44:18	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xa0acde…
04-08 07:56:15	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x6a202c…