Realized P&L (30d)
-$68
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved (30d)
724
Trades (30d)
1,195
4,415 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.03K
$30.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$96
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 11-13 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 66% -$805
Other
32% 42% -$758
Politics
10% 50% -$366
Sports
6% 47% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +500 $16 2¢ $12 -$4 08-10 19:49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +11 $3 97¢ $10 +$8 10-29 22:32
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +9 $3 97¢ $9 +$6 10-30 14:45
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +45 $5 15¢ $7 +$2 11-12 15:49
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +101 $5 6¢ $6 +$1 11-13 12:06
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +180 $18 3¢ $6 -$12 08-07 06:41
Tusk out by December 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-01 21:27
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? Yes +34 $5 14¢ $5 +$0 11-12 21:10
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 11-08 18:20
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 $0 11-11 14:03
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +370 $10 1¢ $4 -$6 08-05 21:16
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 11-06 18:33
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 11-10 23:33
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +107 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 11-08 18:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +139 $11 2¢ $3 -$8 08-05 21:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +31 $3 9¢ $3 +$0 11-11 18:41
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +8 $3 34¢ $3 +$0 11-09 15:04
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +11 $3 27¢ $3 $0 11-09 05:34
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $11 0¢ $2 -$9 08-06 07:27
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +10 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 10-30 23:13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-30 05:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? No +5 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-02 01:44