Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.47K
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved (90d)
1,652
Trades (90d)
3,998
4,429 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$23.3K
$30.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$110
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 11-15 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 66% -$805
Other
32% 43% -$760
Politics
10% 47% -$411
Sports
6% 48% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 271 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +500 $16 2¢ $12 -$4 08-10 19:49
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +9 $3 96¢ $9 +$6 10-30 14:45
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +45 $5 16¢ $7 +$2 11-12 15:49
Tulane vs. Rice: O/U 47.5 Under +7 $3 94¢ $7 +$4 11-14 20:16
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +101 $5 6¢ $6 +$1 11-13 12:06
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +180 $18 3¢ $5 -$13 08-07 06:41
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? Yes +34 $5 15¢ $5 +$1 11-12 21:10
Tusk out by December 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-01 21:27
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? No +5 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 11-14 00:30
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $0 11-11 14:03
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 11-08 18:20
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%? No +5 $3 71¢ $4 +$1 11-06 18:33
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$1 11-10 23:33
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5) Pelicans +6 $3 54¢ $3 $0 11-14 23:43
Spread: South Carolina (-5.5) South Carolina — +6 $3 52¢ $3 $0 11-15 00:29
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +370 $10 1¢ $3 -$7 08-05 21:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +139 $11 2¢ $3 -$8 08-05 21:16
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +107 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 11-08 18:02
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +8 $3 36¢ $3 +$0 11-09 15:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +31 $3 9¢ $3 +$0 11-11 18:41
Appalachian State vs. Marshall: O/U 53.5 Over +12 $6 22¢ $3 -$4 11-14 21:47
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +11 $3 24¢ $3 $0 11-09 05:34
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $11 0¢ $2 -$9 08-06 07:27
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 65.5 Under +12 $6 16¢ $2 -$4 11-14 21:50
Spread: Marshall (-1.5) Appalachian State +6 $3 30¢ $2 -$1 11-14 21:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? No +5 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-02 01:44
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +10 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-30 23:13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-30 05:56