Excellent-Geography-Instrument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 09-21 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

67% 38% +$37

Politics

32% 25% +$44

Crypto

0% 0% -$15

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+14	$3	24¢	$3	+$0	09-21 03:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	2	$1.0K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$48	08-01 23:51
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	2	$972	540	540	+0	No	+$0	05-25 05:35
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	2	$951	510	510	+0	open	—	05-23 03:13
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	2	$947	510	510	+0	open	—	05-21 06:38
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	2	$889	473	473	+0	open	—	07-18 02:01
will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	2	$881	475	475	+0	No	-$7	07-18 03:32
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$801	420	420	+0	No	+$0	07-11 05:44
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	2	$799	425	425	+0	open	—	07-11 02:33
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	2	$798	420	420	+0	open	—	06-27 05:24
putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	2	$790	405	405	+0	No	-$4	06-27 06:49
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	3	$788	415	415	+0	open	—	06-27 07:44
Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)	1	$499	525	0	+525	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	+$26	05-25 05:49
Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)	1	$475	490	0	+490	AFC Ajax	+$15	05-21 06:42
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	1	$475	500	0	+500	FC Internazionale Milano	+$25	05-23 03:40
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	2	$472	250	250	+0	Yes	-$2	06-17 09:58
will russia capture serhiivka by july 31	2	$455	240	240	+0	No	+$3	06-18 07:15
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	2	$297	163	163	+0	No	+$0	08-30 03:10
will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	2	$294	160	160	+0	open	—	08-30 02:29
will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742052	3	$95	950	950	+0	No	+$0	08-09 06:02
will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	4	$73	939	939	+0	No	+$0	08-09 04:25
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	4	$32	960	960	+0	No	$0	05-09 07:48
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$20	970	0	+970	Sevilla FC	-$20	05-09 07:53
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	11	$20	405	405	+0	No	+$1	04-04 06:47
chi shp ton 2026 04 21 spread away 2pt5	2	$15	845	0	+845	Shanghai Haigang FC	-$15	04-21 08:44
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 spread home 2pt5	2	$4	390	0	+390	Real Madrid CF	-$4	04-04 07:28
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	09-21 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 03:15:10	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xd2d82b…
08-30 03:10:36	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	163	91¢	$148	0x20d923…
08-30 02:41:13	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	163	91¢	$148	0xb79410…
08-30 02:29:42	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	No	SELL	160	92¢	$147	0xf039c4…
08-30 01:56:21	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	No	BUY	160	92¢	$147	0xacf42a…
08-09 06:02:51	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742052	Yes	SELL	950	5¢	$48	0x60f62c…
08-09 04:28:12	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742052	Yes	BUY	480	5¢	$24	0x6e4455…
08-09 04:27:57	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742052	Yes	BUY	470	5¢	$24	0x38c2f3…
08-09 04:25:12	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	SELL	485	4¢	$19	0x32882b…
08-09 04:25:00	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	SELL	454	4¢	$18	0x2e7475…
08-09 02:09:39	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	BUY	485	4¢	$19	0x30f576…
08-09 02:09:24	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	BUY	454	4¢	$18	0x382f5b…
08-01 23:51:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	600	90¢	$540	0x55dcd1…
08-01 03:16:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0x4717df…
07-18 03:32:12	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	475	92¢	$437	0xbba8b9…
07-18 02:39:49	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	475	93¢	$444	0xb68467…
07-18 02:01:34	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	SELL	473	94¢	$445	0x2260ed…
07-18 01:32:36	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	473	94¢	$445	0x5ec313…
07-11 05:44:07	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	420	95¢	$400	0x9b9851…
07-11 04:53:34	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	420	95¢	$400	0x697b3f…
07-11 02:33:56	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	425	94¢	$400	0xd6d620…
07-11 01:51:10	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	425	94¢	$400	0x7565cd…
06-27 07:44:02	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x7a15df…
06-27 07:43:40	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	SELL	395	95¢	$375	0xbdc714…
06-27 07:09:20	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	BUY	415	95¢	$394	0x9d71c7…
06-27 06:49:53	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	SELL	405	97¢	$393	0x30d895…
06-27 05:42:49	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	BUY	405	98¢	$397	0xea92cb…
06-27 05:24:50	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	420	95¢	$399	0x9e284c…
06-27 02:59:50	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	420	95¢	$399	0x6a5192…
06-18 07:15:44	will russia capture serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	240	95¢	$229	0x647cb1…
06-18 05:18:55	will russia capture serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	240	94¢	$226	0x76f5c7…
06-17 09:58:26	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	250	94¢	$235	0x37d046…
06-17 08:03:38	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	95¢	$237	0x02211a…
05-25 05:49:35	Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	BUY	525	95¢	$499	0x7a78f5…
05-25 05:35:02	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	SELL	540	90¢	$486	0xce4474…
05-25 03:18:57	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	BUY	540	90¢	$486	0x70012d…
05-23 03:40:16	Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x5a16e2…
05-23 03:13:54	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	510	93¢	$475	0xe2bd77…
05-23 02:46:46	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	510	93¢	$475	0x290969…
05-21 06:42:52	Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	490	97¢	$475	0x9a33e2…
05-21 06:38:47	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	510	93¢	$474	0xd49369…
05-21 05:59:16	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	510	93¢	$473	0x19eaa1…
05-09 07:53:05	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	490	2¢	$10	0x35eacb…
05-09 07:52:12	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	480	2¢	$10	0x1826c7…
05-09 07:48:21	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	475	2¢	$8	0xd35abb…
05-09 07:48:09	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	485	2¢	$8	0x6f1627…
05-09 07:21:26	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	2¢	$8	0xa7b673…
05-09 07:21:12	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	2¢	$8	0xd80bf1…
04-21 08:44:58	chi shp ton 2026 04 21 spread away 2pt5	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	BUY	430	2¢	$8	0xabef7e…
04-21 08:44:46	chi shp ton 2026 04 21 spread away 2pt5	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	BUY	415	2¢	$7	0xe92b50…
04-04 07:28:29	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 spread home 2pt5	RCD Mallorca	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0xe4e163…
04-04 07:25:15	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 spread home 2pt5	RCD Mallorca	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4f55bf…
04-04 06:47:31	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x2203ef…
04-04 06:44:21	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xde80b1…
04-04 06:42:01	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xfbac20…
04-04 06:41:47	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x44d3f3…
04-04 06:41:31	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x75ca67…
04-04 06:41:17	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x3db4bd…
04-04 06:40:45	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x442489…
04-04 06:40:29	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x0bccba…
04-04 06:40:09	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x8bf285…
04-04 05:32:25	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0x40e8eb…
04-04 05:31:53	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xc902ca…