Magnificent-Octavo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

184

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-14 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

80% 77% -$9

Crypto

18% 68% -$4

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 12 2026 13c	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	04-12 12:30
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	3	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	03-31 13:08
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 23c	4	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-09 16:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 16	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 01:13
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	3	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$2	04-10 14:41
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	3	$15	14	14	+0	Yes	-$7	04-14 15:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 23c	4	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	-$2	04-15 09:16
bitcoin up or down january 19 12pm et	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	01-19 18:02
bitcoin up or down january 19 7am et	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	01-19 13:08
bitcoin up or down january 19 4am et	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	01-19 10:02
bitcoin up or down january 21 12pm et	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	01-21 18:02
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 62 63f	2	$13	8	7	+0	No	+$1	04-15 06:26
highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 22c	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	04-15 08:02
highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 19c	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-17 20:40
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 22c	5	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 15:57
highest temperature in milan on april 10 2026 21c	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	04-10 17:59
ethereum up or down january 19 3am et	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	01-19 09:02
bitcoin up or down january 19 7pm et	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	01-20 00:59
bitcoin up or down january 19 10am et	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	01-19 15:47
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	04-20 07:52
xrp up or down january 18 4pm et	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	01-18 22:04
highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 29c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-18 09:37
highest temperature in munich on april 11 2026 16c	3	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$2	04-11 15:56
bitcoin up or down january 20 10am et	2	$10	11	11	+0	Up	$0	01-20 15:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 19c	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-17 07:06
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-08 07:52
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	3	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-09 12:28
highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 21c	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-14 15:42
highest temperature in chongqing on april 13 2026 22c	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-13 10:23
highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 23c	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-13 09:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8d98be…
05-14 12:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x009327…
05-14 12:45:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6150b2…
05-13 14:26:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd16c20…
05-13 14:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xc89f35…
05-13 13:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x1b440c…
05-13 13:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe37c08…
05-13 12:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0170f5…
05-13 12:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8342bd…
05-13 12:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x17ecee…
05-13 12:36:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5d9e89…
05-12 12:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6d48a4…
05-12 12:22:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbb7687…
05-11 18:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7c058c…
05-11 18:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x67d04f…
05-11 18:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb0d1ea…
05-11 18:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf8da0c…
05-11 12:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5613a7…
05-11 12:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x408d51…
05-11 12:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x16b0b2…
05-11 12:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x345d9e…
05-10 12:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9f8a53…
05-10 12:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf36e09…
05-09 22:07:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf8cef4…
05-09 22:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfcf272…
05-09 12:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6db838…
05-09 12:45:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6f9dae…
05-09 12:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x238342…
05-08 08:18:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x81c76c…
05-07 23:08:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x59b0cd…
05-06 12:53:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xed57ab…
05-06 12:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xafc9e5…
05-06 08:03:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x1bb7e6…
05-05 21:45:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2546b8…
04-24 08:04:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0xe8ac40…
04-23 20:40:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7cce76…
04-21 17:24:12	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfce40d…
04-20 07:52:30	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x00ddfa…
04-19 21:10:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x821c0f…
04-18 09:48:00	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 18 2026 31c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x55be8c…
04-18 09:37:18	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 29c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xea822a…
04-18 07:08:58	highest temperature in busan on april 18 2026 23c	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x79deb2…
04-18 02:58:56	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 29c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x40e69d…
04-18 00:32:20	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 21c	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x97a03f…
04-18 00:29:40	highest temperature in busan on april 18 2026 23c	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa16a17…
04-18 00:27:52	highest temperature in taipei on april 18 2026 24c	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3a370f…
04-18 00:24:44	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 18 2026 31c	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x14dce5…
04-17 23:01:02	highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1e7537…
04-17 22:26:04	highest temperature in chicago on april 17 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4a3ddb…
04-17 22:24:36	highest temperature in miami on april 17 2026 86 87f	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x411437…
04-17 22:03:42	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 80 81f	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe9897a…
04-17 20:40:14	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 19c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdefcb1…
04-17 19:55:06	highest temperature in mexico city on april 17 2026 27c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x34b22f…
04-17 17:41:12	highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4d6f7d…
04-17 16:02:26	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 19c	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x149137…
04-17 16:00:18	highest temperature in mexico city on april 17 2026 27c	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x3140e8…
04-17 15:49:00	highest temperature in miami on april 17 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb24b19…
04-17 15:43:40	highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x929ecc…
04-17 15:38:54	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xfef198…
04-17 15:22:14	highest temperature in chicago on april 17 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf47b22…
04-17 15:13:10	highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 22c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3287d0…
04-17 13:58:08	highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x64cafa…
04-17 11:12:46	highest temperature in helsinki on april 17 2026 14c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd7df80…
04-17 09:50:00	highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9c2b8a…
04-17 09:25:52	highest temperature in jeddah on april 17 2026 41c	No	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x4bede0…
04-17 09:07:42	highest temperature in helsinki on april 17 2026 14c	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x589e91…
04-17 08:00:54	highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 21corbelow	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5caf38…
04-17 07:06:30	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 31c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x942556…
04-17 07:06:08	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x91d0f3…
04-17 01:21:26	highest temperature in jeddah on april 17 2026 41c	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2fecca…
04-17 01:11:18	highest temperature in busan on april 17 2026 16c	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x37cb1d…
04-17 01:04:04	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 31c	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0a0711…
04-17 01:02:14	highest temperature in taipei on april 17 2026 27c	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8e98db…
04-17 00:58:12	highest temperature in singapore on april 17 2026 33c	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc76257…
04-17 00:55:28	highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2e9358…
04-17 00:48:38	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 19c	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x116141…
04-16 22:58:52	highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc0c427…
04-16 22:57:14	highest temperature in dallas on april 16 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xea8f95…
04-16 22:55:28	highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 70 71f	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x39de41…
04-16 22:54:18	highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 74forhigher	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd60cfe…
04-16 22:50:12	highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 20c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x69b9d9…
04-16 22:18:52	highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 27c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x61d44c…
04-16 22:17:40	highest temperature in miami on april 16 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xecfdd4…
04-16 21:42:06	highest temperature in warsaw on april 16 2026 17c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x716607…
04-16 21:39:20	highest temperature in denver on april 16 2026 72 73f	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4c2435…
04-16 17:55:46	highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xaccbf7…
04-16 17:54:04	highest temperature in denver on april 16 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd2f6f3…
04-16 17:48:44	highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 74forhigher	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x272a7b…
04-16 17:45:48	highest temperature in dallas on april 16 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb47afb…
04-16 17:43:46	highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 27c	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe515e9…
04-16 17:38:44	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 16 2026 24c	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xacc2de…
04-16 17:31:20	highest temperature in atlanta on april 16 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x25b1fb…
04-16 17:29:38	highest temperature in miami on april 16 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf4d815…
04-16 17:15:14	highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x12c7e9…
04-16 11:31:40	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 32c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2917df…
04-16 11:16:08	highest temperature in warsaw on april 16 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xff7c00…
04-16 11:07:04	highest temperature in helsinki on april 16 2026 10c	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc61152…
04-16 11:00:54	highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xabae1c…
04-16 10:58:48	highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 24c	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x0b1a97…
04-16 10:32:14	highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 22c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x231b01…