Fearless-Wrist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

138

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 08-29 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 44% -$82

Other

43% 34% -$66

Politics

7% 39% -$12

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$29

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$113	392	96	+296	Up	-$37	05-29 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$83	58	58	+0	Up	+$13	05-30 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$59	39	39	+0	Up	+$9	05-25 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	7	$54	125	125	+0	Down	-$16	05-25 13:29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	6	$41	62	13	+49	G2 Esports	+$16	05-25 18:38
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	2	$34	19	19	+0	FaZe	+$2	05-27 16:24
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$33	23	23	+0	Aurora	+$13	05-27 16:24
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	5	$30	31	24	+6	9z	+$2	05-28 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$30	35	0	+35	Down	+$5	05-29 07:24
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	4	$29	8,538	0	+8,538	Yes	-$29	05-26 15:16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	3	$27	2,700	0	+2,700	Team Falcons	-$27	05-26 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$25	27	27	+0	Down	+$5	05-30 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$25	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-27 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-26 14:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	3	$23	19	19	+0	Yes	+$13	05-27 14:53
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$21	48	0	+48	Team Falcons	-$6	05-26 15:09
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs	4	$20	27	27	+0	mCon esports	-$2	05-28 17:32
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	3	$16	324	324	+0	No	-$4	06-01 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-28 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	05-25 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$15	64	0	+64	Down	-$15	05-27 17:12
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$15	17	17	+0	Down	+$5	05-28 17:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 18:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$12	88	88	+0	open	—	05-25 18:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-15 07:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$10	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-28 15:54
cs2 bca inox 2026 06 06	1	$10	16	0	+16	INOX Division	+$6	06-06 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	Down	-$10	05-31 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$10	97	0	+97	Down	-$10	05-29 07:27
Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	05-27 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 11:00:22	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x124555…
08-29 11:00:18	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5e4eac…
08-29 11:00:13	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfcddfc…
06-21 15:46:17	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9e9b8f…
06-21 08:39:50	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x3edb55…
06-20 14:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa8a332…
06-20 14:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbfca91…
06-20 14:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xec534a…
06-20 14:19:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xca4e2a…
06-19 10:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x964b8d…
06-19 10:23:22	cs2 sashi kol 2026 06 19 map handicap away 1pt5	Sashi Esport	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x152fa6…
06-19 10:23:11	cs2 sashi kol 2026 06 19 map handicap home 1pt5	KOLESIE	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x943cb8…
06-19 10:23:01	cs2 sashi kol 2026 06 19	KOLESIE	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfaf87b…
06-19 10:22:11	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe44920…
06-19 10:21:55	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4056a5…
06-19 10:21:29	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8b3aa3…
06-19 10:20:59	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x59407e…
06-19 10:20:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe1eb29…
06-19 10:19:08	cs2 sashi kol 2026 06 19 game2	Sashi Esport	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x489a11…
06-19 10:18:49	cs2 sashi kol 2026 06 19 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x50c326…
06-19 10:18:37	cs2 sashi kol 2026 06 19	KOLESIE	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbef891…
06-15 07:58:12	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xe46fb1…
06-15 07:58:07	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xf0817d…
06-15 07:57:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa346b…
06-15 07:57:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x6df15a…
06-15 07:57:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2b4f91…
06-09 11:58:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x21db41…
06-09 11:53:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xde59b8…
06-09 11:51:51	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb920ef…
06-09 11:51:31	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xf62f12…
06-09 11:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x85228e…
06-09 11:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x97457d…
06-09 11:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x280cc9…
06-09 11:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1d4394…
06-06 09:52:18	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdfd74a…
06-06 09:49:21	cs2 bca inox 2026 06 06	INOX Division	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xed0a1d…
06-06 09:48:40	Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x96de06…
06-02 15:21:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xdb6772…
06-02 15:21:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x31ade7…
06-02 06:59:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xdf834e…
06-02 06:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2195e6…
06-01 16:30:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x84d912…
06-01 16:29:01	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x68d3c6…
06-01 16:28:28	Will Trump say "Trump Passport" in May?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x4d51a6…
06-01 16:28:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x30bb59…
06-01 16:28:02	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0x2e8c6e…
06-01 16:27:51	Will Trump say "Chicken" in May?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x1d3189…
06-01 16:24:23	Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Ramzes Club	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1d921e…
06-01 11:54:08	Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Ramzes Club	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xec6daa…
06-01 10:38:23	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xa62452…
06-01 02:40:22	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	LOUD	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2b1415…
06-01 02:40:06	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	LOUD	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x188cd9…
06-01 02:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2cd53b…
05-31 05:32:35	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xec18bd…
05-31 05:31:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7bf83b…
05-31 05:31:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x404108…
05-31 05:31:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd270e8…
05-31 05:30:24	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	NRG	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1ab468…
05-31 05:30:04	Will Trump say "Trump Tower" in May?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8f1321…
05-31 05:29:49	Will Trump say "Trump Coin" or "Trump Meme" in May?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0f91bb…
05-31 05:29:38	Will Trump say "Best of Trump" in May?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4e8bd5…
05-31 05:29:24	Will Trump say "Trump Passport" in May?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8068ea…
05-31 05:27:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x238fdf…
05-31 05:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdbd526…
05-31 05:26:33	Will Trump say "Chicken" in May?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa5b6a1…
05-31 05:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5b84ca…
05-31 05:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcd70e9…
05-31 05:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcd70b4…
05-31 04:14:20	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf53b84…
05-31 03:07:01	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc874e2…
05-30 09:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$6	0xed0cf9…
05-30 09:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc23cb0…
05-30 09:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x1ab0f2…
05-30 09:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb6f407…
05-30 09:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	58	83¢	$48	0xbaf635…
05-30 09:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x825696…
05-30 09:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x4b1c92…
05-30 09:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7ad0a6…
05-30 05:37:49	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba55fa…
05-30 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7968bc…
05-29 07:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6611a7…
05-29 07:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7ed9aa…
05-29 07:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x92088b…
05-29 07:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb708ae…
05-29 07:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	129	19¢	$25	0x3bafa9…
05-29 07:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x35df9f…
05-29 07:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	96	40¢	$38	0xa7eab9…
05-29 07:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x05860d…
05-29 07:15:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x879e8b…
05-28 17:43:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb255f0…
05-28 17:40:20	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe402d3…
05-28 17:38:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4fc1d6…
05-28 17:35:43	LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffs	Galions	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x07c67c…
05-28 17:35:26	LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7741b3…
05-28 17:33:34	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xf206bd…
05-28 17:32:59	LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x937d82…
05-28 17:32:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x2f6f84…
05-28 17:32:48	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x11e64f…
05-28 17:32:11	LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs	Once Upon A Team	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0xa688ff…
05-28 17:31:45	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xc256e2…