Immediate-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

535

Trades

2,481

lifetime

Volume

$129.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-13 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 68% -$524

Other

18% 29% -$1,518

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4am et	4	$2.6K	1,578	1,561	+17	Down	+$512	03-27 09:05
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 2pm et	13	$2.3K	1,345	1,342	+3	Up	+$429	03-31 19:05
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 4pm et	2	$2.2K	1,337	1,314	+22	Up	+$494	03-30 21:05
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 2pm et	2	$2.1K	1,292	1,270	+21	Down	+$459	03-30 19:05
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 6am et	2	$2.1K	1,276	1,254	+21	Down	+$470	03-30 11:05
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 11am et	2	$2.0K	1,208	1,192	+16	Down	+$423	03-29 16:05
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 5am et	2	$2.0K	1,230	1,209	+21	Down	+$463	03-30 10:05
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 11pm et	2	$1.9K	1,163	1,148	+15	Up	+$393	03-30 04:05
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10am et	2	$1.9K	1,163	1,147	+16	Up	+$447	03-29 15:05
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 12am et	2	$1.8K	1,105	1,092	+14	Up	+$365	03-28 05:05
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10pm et	2	$1.8K	1,122	1,107	+15	Up	+$412	03-30 03:05
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4pm et	4	$1.8K	1,076	1,064	+12	Down	+$347	03-27 21:05
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 5am et	2	$1.8K	1,084	1,071	+14	Down	+$368	03-28 10:05
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 5am et	2	$1.8K	1,102	1,087	+15	Down	+$412	03-27 10:05
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 8am et	2	$1.7K	1,072	1,057	+14	Down	+$391	03-27 13:05
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3am et	22	$1.7K	1,021	1,018	+3	Down	+$315	03-27 08:05
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6pm et	2	$1.7K	1,013	1,001	+13	Up	+$339	03-28 23:05
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	2	$1.7K	1,037	1,022	+15	Up	+$398	03-27 20:05
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9am et	2	$1.6K	1,010	983	+27	Up	+$376	03-31 14:05
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 12pm et	2	$1.6K	1,000	986	+14	Down	+$376	03-26 17:05
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 11am et	2	$1.6K	979	966	+13	Down	+$352	03-27 16:05
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	7	$1.6K	944	941	+4	Up	+$301	03-30 12:05
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 6pm et	15	$1.5K	894	894	+0	Down	+$267	03-26 23:05
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 11am et	6	$1.5K	901	901	-0	Down	+$288	03-30 16:05
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 10pm et	2	$1.5K	927	915	+12	Down	+$332	03-27 03:05
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 7pm et	2	$1.5K	921	908	+12	Down	+$336	03-27 00:05
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 3pm et	2	$1.5K	922	909	+12	Up	+$339	03-26 20:05
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 11pm et	9	$1.4K	863	862	+1	Down	+$275	03-31 04:05
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 12am et	5	$1.4K	859	859	+0	Down	+$274	03-29 05:05
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 3am et	11	$1.4K	858	858	+0	Up	+$274	03-30 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 13:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	325	1¢	$3	0x18ff1c…
05-13 13:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	401	1¢	$4	0x112131…
05-13 11:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	405	1¢	$4	0x7bbef7…
05-13 07:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9,690	0¢	$10	0xd30d01…
05-13 07:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	5,919	0¢	$7	0x3e33eb…
05-13 05:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x27e755…
05-12 20:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$4	0xf5ddf3…
05-12 19:58:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,820	0¢	$2	0x5be86c…
05-12 19:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,280	0¢	$2	0x4e67cc…
05-12 12:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	365	1¢	$4	0xbbca61…
05-12 08:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?	No	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x215bdb…
05-12 08:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	313	1¢	$3	0x7601d6…
05-12 06:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a7413…
05-12 06:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?	No	BUY	201	97¢	$194	0x1d401c…
05-12 06:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	202	3¢	$6	0x57816a…
05-11 17:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x67fb6d…
05-11 17:46:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	110	67¢	$74	0xaf6c9b…
05-11 17:45:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?	No	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0x208a82…
05-11 15:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	268	1¢	$3	0xa7e592…
05-11 14:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7,350	0¢	$7	0x9fd709…
05-11 14:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	610	0¢	$1	0x0e274a…
05-11 09:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 11?	No	BUY	867	98¢	$853	0xa06d33…
05-11 09:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	517	1¢	$5	0xa0fd7c…
05-11 09:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	864	1¢	$9	0x759e94…
05-11 03:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	555	1¢	$6	0x0530ce…
05-10 21:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	639	1¢	$6	0x3153bc…
05-10 18:51:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	276	1¢	$3	0x035ac8…
05-10 16:55:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,049	0xe02363…
05-10 16:54:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0x1c47ff…
05-10 07:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?	No	BUY	472	12¢	$58	0x6eb15b…
05-10 05:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 10?	No	BUY	404	95¢	$383	0xe38a67…
05-10 05:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	404	4¢	$16	0x67dc85…
05-10 02:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	297	1¢	$3	0xe720e1…
05-09 21:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1,078	0¢	$4	0x0686ff…
05-09 19:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 9?	No	BUY	67	21¢	$14	0xcd1abd…
05-09 12:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	828	1¢	$8	0xd6b4cc…
05-09 12:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	522	1¢	$5	0xb8adf4…
05-09 08:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	196	4¢	$8	0x857699…
05-09 08:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?	No	BUY	59	60¢	$35	0x2f3691…
05-09 08:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0x26f1dd…
05-09 03:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,121	0¢	$3	0xdec206…
05-08 17:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	261	15¢	$39	0x72c55b…
05-08 17:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	321	1¢	$3	0x538488…
05-08 14:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,835	0¢	$6	0x27f0b2…
05-08 13:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	689	1¢	$7	0x4c6269…
05-08 11:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0x5393a7…
05-08 11:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xbd6160…
05-08 11:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?	No	BUY	55	12¢	$7	0xb6233e…
05-08 07:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	57	22¢	$13	0xa5a241…
05-08 07:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	54	75¢	$41	0xdc2ce8…
05-08 07:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	214	56¢	$120	0x5d7cf8…
05-08 06:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	447	1¢	$4	0xff460f…
05-07 16:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?	No	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x2ff7f1…
05-07 16:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x989df0…
05-07 14:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	353	1¢	$4	0x96fea2…
05-07 13:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?	No	BUY	415	100¢	$415	0xedb7b8…
05-07 13:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	415	0¢	$2	0xe4a9a8…
05-07 13:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x70dce1…
05-07 12:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	893	1¢	$9	0x81e4d0…
05-07 12:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	161	9¢	$15	0x994474…
05-07 11:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	173	95¢	$164	0xcec799…
05-07 11:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?	No	BUY	172	5¢	$9	0xdfa764…
05-07 10:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	397	2¢	$8	0xdab961…
05-07 10:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	98	84¢	$82	0xf59335…
05-07 10:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?	No	BUY	98	14¢	$14	0x60a280…
05-07 07:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 7?	No	BUY	304	4¢	$12	0x215576…
05-07 06:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	107	10¢	$11	0xd57750…
05-07 04:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 7?	No	BUY	385	100¢	$385	0xa5c4c9…
05-07 04:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$4	0x0c2bb4…
05-06 23:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 8?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x580465…
05-06 23:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 8?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x323f30…
05-06 23:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x480fa3…
05-06 21:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	43	71¢	$31	0x53bb2e…
05-06 21:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	93	71¢	$66	0x990741…
05-06 21:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on May 6?	No	BUY	136	25¢	$34	0x38be26…
05-06 14:52:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$85	0x4223f6…
05-06 14:51:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	335	92¢	$308	0x2d838f…
05-06 14:51:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	422	2¢	$8	0x9f43ca…
05-06 11:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 6?	No	BUY	56	38¢	$21	0x93f2eb…
05-06 10:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	65	91¢	$58	0x70c445…
05-06 10:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 6?	No	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x313215…
05-05 13:59:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	367	72¢	$263	0xc19508…
05-05 13:53:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	362	25¢	$90	0xb478d7…
05-05 13:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	No	BUY	248	20¢	$50	0x611d40…
05-05 13:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xf075e3…
05-05 13:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	182	75¢	$135	0xd48f2a…
05-05 13:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	No	BUY	194	19¢	$37	0x902f74…
05-05 12:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	85	20¢	$17	0x75cc95…
05-05 12:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	No	BUY	85	50¢	$43	0xc7892f…
05-05 08:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	511	20¢	$102	0x5993ee…
05-05 07:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	66	19¢	$13	0xa4fe82…
05-05 07:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0xa99fa5…
05-05 07:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 5?	No	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0xbfad5f…
05-04 21:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 5?	No	BUY	163	72¢	$117	0xb49e1d…
05-04 18:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 4?	No	BUY	177	10¢	$18	0xc9e745…
05-04 12:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0x917a16…
05-04 10:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	130	83¢	$108	0x32764c…
05-04 10:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x7e4359…
05-04 10:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x32eaa3…
05-04 05:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x68b352…