Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$681
$1,397 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$742
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 10:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $28 | $510 | $482 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $26 | $2 | +$24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $443 | $443 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $36 | $35 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 12 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neat-Regulation 0x2c57…372d | Yes | +1,325 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-08 10:12 |
| Wan-Terracotta 0x27d0…7943 | No | +386 | $383 | $383 | 2 | 05-08 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb4e…d019 | Yes | +77 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:05 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Twin-Emery 0x7cd2…d675 | Yes | +52 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:05 |
| Similar-Spread 0x03bb…4db7 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-08 08:05 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 09:54 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9180…5b21 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ac2…bf9a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7b0…3bcf | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xba4c…bf7e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:39 |
| Ashamed-Anklet 0x737e…de01 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 09:54 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-07 03:53 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 18:55 |
| Lone-Balalaika 0xec22…b31a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Distant-Judo 0x9310…3b46 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Harmless-Repeat 0x574b…5c2c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Free-Gondola 0xc889…fc83 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Joyous-Deliberation 0x8514…6dd3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Rigid-Instrument 0x4511…f353 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Wavy-Bourgeoisie 0x3da3…6bab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 10:12:24 | Neat-Regulation 0x2c57…372d | Yes | BUY | 1,325 | 2¢ | $26 | 0x1d392b… |
| 05-08 09:54:54 | Ashamed-Anklet 0x737e…de01 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6e0a2c… |
| 05-08 09:54:35 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7e4ae1… |
| 05-08 08:05:54 | Twin-Emery 0x7cd2…d675 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfa3fef… |
| 05-08 08:05:53 | (anonymous) 0xbb4e…d019 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd4b1f6… |
| 05-08 08:05:49 | Similar-Spread 0x03bb…4db7 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x8d1a1f… |
| 05-08 07:30:21 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x07e084… |
| 05-08 06:45:44 | Wan-Terracotta 0x27d0…7943 | No | BUY | 186 | 99¢ | $185 | 0x3d4301… |
| 05-08 06:39:52 | Comfortable-Spelling 0x1a09…8501 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6355d… |
| 05-08 06:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xba4c…bf7e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb30d5a… |
| 05-08 06:39:15 | (anonymous) 0x9180…5b21 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x72ac87… |
| 05-08 06:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x3ac2…bf9a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x358398… |
| 05-08 06:25:10 | Wan-Terracotta 0x27d0…7943 | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x9f2bed… |
| 05-08 06:00:19 | Great-Compassion 0xb773…a581 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x85453c… |
| 05-08 06:00:15 | Snarling-Stepson 0x5255…08eb | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8a9517… |
| 05-08 06:00:12 | Chilly-Uncertainty 0xb194…d653 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6841f3… |
| 05-08 04:48:11 | Snarling-Stepson 0x5255…08eb | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa5b6b3… |
| 05-08 04:48:11 | Rigid-Instrument 0x4511…f353 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf1b6cc… |
| 05-08 04:48:11 | Joyous-Deliberation 0x8514…6dd3 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb15562… |
| 05-08 04:48:09 | Free-Gondola 0xc889…fc83 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd8e386… |
| 05-08 04:48:08 | Wavy-Bourgeoisie 0x3da3…6bab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb4091d… |
| 05-08 04:48:08 | Harmless-Repeat 0x574b…5c2c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2711a3… |
| 05-08 04:48:06 | Chilly-Uncertainty 0xb194…d653 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x96b6a6… |
| 05-08 04:48:04 | Great-Compassion 0xb773…a581 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5d344a… |
| 05-08 04:48:02 | Lone-Balalaika 0xec22…b31a | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc37d01… |
| 05-08 04:48:01 | Distant-Judo 0x9310…3b46 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x987dba… |
| 05-08 03:32:14 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 93 | 97¢ | $90 | 0xeaffcb… |
| 05-08 03:27:04 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xedb3bc… |
| 05-08 00:52:24 | (anonymous) 0xb7b0…3bcf | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9f2e28… |
| 05-07 18:55:56 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x24c3a8… |
| 05-07 10:28:43 | Pink-Survivor 0x2f46…76f5 | Yes | SELL | 165 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x390977… |
| 05-07 03:53:18 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xaf507d… |
| 05-07 03:48:28 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb6c981… |
| 05-07 00:52:48 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5bae86… |
| 05-06 23:32:05 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x692c59… |