Realized P&L (7d)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved (7d)
23
Trades (7d)
618
2,235 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$260
$2.10K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$65
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-27 01:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
56% 38% -$6
Other
30% 86% +$2
Crypto
8% 31% -$33
Pop-Culture
5% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +8 $7 94¢ $7 +$0 10-26 22:27
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +7 $6 91¢ $6 $0 10-27 00:02
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +6 $4 91¢ $5 +$1 10-25 20:12
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-26 09:41
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-27 01:27
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-21 09:25
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 09-28 11:09
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$0 10-08 06:11
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? Yes +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 10-26 22:19
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $0 10-24 12:36
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $0 10-26 03:34
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 10-09 14:57
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $0 10-08 13:37
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 $0 10-10 23:02
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $2 56¢ $2 -$1 10-19 09:31
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-20 05:51
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-18 00:26
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 10-15 06:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-26 23:04
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 10-20 20:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-22 09:17
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-25 20:10
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 10-18 20:07