Giant-Bolero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.34K

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,098

lifetime

Volume

$296.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$270

Open exposure

$7.84K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-07 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 45% +$302

Politics

34% — —

Other

20% 80% +$1,173

Sports

3% 33% $-44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+9,276	$5,500	84¢	$7.8K	+$2,338	05-29 05:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$21.6K	13,727	13,727	+0	open	—	06-01 06:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	18	$14.2K	7,919	7,919	+0	open	—	03-03 22:35
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$8.4K	6,197	6,080	+117	open	—	04-14 21:07
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$8.3K	7,697	14,863	-7,166	open	—	01-22 15:45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	10	$7.6K	21,004	8,269	+12,734	open	—	04-28 10:59
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	8	$7.0K	8,514	3,261	+5,254	open	—	04-08 18:14
fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 draw	4	$6.5K	20,630	20,142	+488	open	—	04-19 20:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$5.6K	6,635	6,635	+0	open	—	04-14 11:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$5.5K	9,276	0	+9,276	open	—	05-29 05:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$5.4K	5,612	5,612	+0	open	—	01-24 22:08
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	5	$5.3K	6,176	6,022	+154	open	—	04-15 20:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$4.9K	3,342	3,342	+0	open	—	03-03 22:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$4.7K	5,875	5,875	+0	open	—	01-12 20:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$4.6K	2,949	2,949	+0	open	—	04-26 18:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$4.0K	4,335	4,335	+0	open	—	04-12 11:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$3.9K	3,442	3,442	+0	open	—	04-14 11:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$3.5K	7,402	7,402	+0	open	—	01-20 11:30
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?	2	$3.3K	3,125	3,046	+79	open	—	04-26 20:41
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$3.2K	5,127	5,127	+0	open	—	01-15 18:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$3.1K	0	4,257	-4,257	open	—	05-28 14:25
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	8	$2.9K	4,342	4,342	+0	Sean Strickland	+$1,270	05-10 05:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2.9K	1,949	1,949	+0	open	—	04-19 19:09
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	7	$2.7K	42,255	0	+42,255	open	—	03-08 20:10
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?	2	$2.5K	1,559	1,542	+17	open	—	04-27 18:29
btc updown 5m 1775667600	5	$2.3K	1,537	1,517	+21	open	—	04-08 17:04
btc updown 5m 1776093600	6	$2.2K	1,891	1,032	+860	open	—	04-13 15:25
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$2.1K	1,571	1,571	+0	open	—	06-06 03:42
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	2	$2.1K	2,075	2,005	+70	open	—	04-06 20:34
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	7	$2.0K	3,681	3,611	+70	open	—	04-15 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	8	$2.0K	1,336	1,336	+0	open	—	05-24 21:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 21:44:43	btc updown 15m 1780867800	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x0fabf7…
06-07 21:43:52	btc updown 15m 1780867800	Up	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x26886c…
06-07 21:37:03	btc updown 15m 1780867800	Up	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xe8a956…
06-07 21:35:13	btc updown 15m 1780867800	Up	BUY	497	20¢	$100	0xf43c3f…
06-07 21:25:27	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	734	14¢	$100	0xd8e3a6…
06-07 21:23:31	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	843	12¢	$100	0xbfae17…
06-07 21:21:22	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	393	10¢	$39	0xafce54…
06-07 21:21:01	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xac97f9…
06-07 21:20:57	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xbd2e19…
06-07 21:20:42	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xd85b8d…
06-07 21:20:37	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Up	BUY	554	18¢	$100	0xd65eac…
06-07 21:15:22	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Up	SELL	1,363	99¢	$1,349	0x45e050…
06-07 21:13:01	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Down	BUY	1,240	8¢	$100	0x4949ec…
06-07 21:12:45	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Down	BUY	384	26¢	$100	0x0bc14b…
06-07 21:10:55	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Up	BUY	447	22¢	$100	0x6945c1…
06-07 21:09:15	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Up	BUY	916	11¢	$100	0x3e2273…
06-06 03:42:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	1,571	100¢	$1,570	0x41281c…
06-04 15:07:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	1,571	35¢	$550	0x0c793f…
06-01 23:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	515	19¢	$100	0xc292c0…
06-01 23:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x485a73…
06-01 23:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	724	99¢	$717	0xf79418…
06-01 23:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	504	20¢	$100	0x36ea2f…
06-01 23:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xf795d7…
06-01 23:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	520	19¢	$100	0xc72cdb…
06-01 23:10:46	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	432	99¢	$427	0xecd0f1…
06-01 23:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	399	22¢	$89	0xf40930…
06-01 23:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x232d36…
06-01 23:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	495	99¢	$490	0x949605…
06-01 23:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	396	25¢	$100	0x089043…
06-01 23:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xff41bd…
06-01 23:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x3d612c…
06-01 23:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x3402e7…
06-01 23:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xd211c3…
06-01 23:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	326	99¢	$323	0x43f1fe…
06-01 22:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0x7a93c3…
06-01 22:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	492	20¢	$100	0x95c3b2…
06-01 22:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xe62e5d…
06-01 22:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x4f25d6…
06-01 22:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	607	4¢	$25	0x6e0303…
06-01 22:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x47ba11…
06-01 22:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x2c1f73…
06-01 22:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7649ee…
06-01 22:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x26d425…
06-01 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	267	9¢	$24	0xf56330…
06-01 22:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0x8345e9…
06-01 22:29:17	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	550	42¢	$231	0x0aa41a…
06-01 22:09:45	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	491	51¢	$250	0x21f404…
06-01 22:09:22	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	490	51¢	$250	0xed1be9…
06-01 06:13:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$290	0x7f8257…
05-29 11:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0x5853a6…
05-29 05:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9,276	59¢	$5,500	0x5eb18e…
05-28 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	448	99¢	$444	0x7a3c69…
05-28 20:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xfd7bf7…
05-28 20:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x72fa0f…
05-28 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x11fdbd…
05-28 15:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	492	20¢	$100	0xe4dc61…
05-28 15:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x658ab1…
05-28 15:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x2a1140…
05-28 15:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x6f2fdc…
05-28 14:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	468	21¢	$100	0x084a71…
05-28 14:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x0f5b32…
05-28 14:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xaa4a4a…
05-28 14:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x15069b…
05-28 14:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	343	29¢	$100	0xee5cbf…
05-28 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,032	2¢	$25	0xf2fbb9…
05-28 14:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x1ea3f1…
05-28 14:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xc00965…
05-28 14:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x5a06e3…
05-28 14:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	431	6¢	$25	0xfb87df…
05-28 14:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xf7111a…
05-28 14:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x15fae6…
05-28 14:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	427	23¢	$100	0x1be63e…
05-28 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	523	99¢	$518	0x4c92df…
05-28 14:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x8d0ff2…
05-28 14:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	135	24¢	$32	0x7ba0a1…
05-28 14:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x0a27c7…
05-28 14:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xd7849d…
05-28 14:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xfa06db…
05-28 14:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x80a625…
05-28 14:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	747	99¢	$739	0x12e51e…
05-28 14:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x0631f7…
05-28 14:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	542	18¢	$100	0x148d6a…
05-28 14:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	239	42¢	$100	0xdeb367…
05-28 14:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	220	46¢	$100	0xa6f96f…
05-28 14:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	261	38¢	$100	0x2c5574…
05-28 14:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xb66725…
05-28 14:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	114	18¢	$21	0x1fd94b…
05-28 14:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	557	4¢	$25	0x935444…
05-28 14:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x4d9aed…
05-28 14:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x5982a9…
05-28 14:27:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	291	86¢	$250	0x985757…
05-28 14:25:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	4,257	74¢	$3,131	0xe181ba…
05-28 14:24:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,615	86¢	$9,076	0x4be506…
05-26 12:51:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,822	73¢	$2,060	0x520037…
05-26 12:50:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13,437	74¢	$9,896	0xc955c5…
05-26 06:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x75cfa7…
05-25 23:33:00	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	2,000	55¢	$1,100	0xcb640b…
05-25 23:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xc070f8…
05-25 23:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	318	31¢	$100	0x8a411d…
05-25 21:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	373	27¢	$100	0x47df25…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	298	$624	1,653	06-07 21:44
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	275	$58.7K	11,284	06-01 23:18
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	253	$322.8K	8,852	06-08 14:58
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	251	$94.0K	14,511	06-07 21:44
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	245	$28.1K	4,090	06-01 23:18
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	244	$2.71K	1,134	06-01 23:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	237	$71.3K	10,676	06-07 21:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	230	$79.2K	22,733	06-07 21:44