Infantile-Chair 0x314a5a…9d0fcb
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
824
lifetime
Volume
$7.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$587
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-08 19:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61% — —
Politics
22% — —
Sports
14% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +190 $167 96¢ $182 +$15 05-31 07:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +100 $84 90¢ $90 +$6 05-31 05:38
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +70 $59 76¢ $53 $-6 06-03 10:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$1 05-31 05:41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +30 $28 92¢ $28 $-0 06-03 18:42
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -50 $-25 50¢ $-25 +$0 06-03 02:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +30 $19 80¢ $24 +$6 06-03 05:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $16 70¢ $21 +$5 05-31 05:43
Will Alberta join the US? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-05 22:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 05-31 15:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +50 $12 32¢ $16 +$4 05-29 22:42
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +20 $13 71¢ $14 +$1 06-01 10:38
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +40 $11 34¢ $14 +$3 05-31 22:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +20 $8 50¢ $10 +$2 05-31 07:57
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +20 $9 44¢ $9 $-0 06-07 06:37
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +30 $8 24¢ $7 $-1 06-05 19:40
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 05-31 22:39
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +20 $6 28¢ $6 $-0 06-01 11:21
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +40 $9 7¢ $3 $-6 06-05 06:49
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +100 $3 2¢ $2 $-1 06-03 10:05