Infantile-Chair 0x314a5a…9d0fcb
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$359
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
864
lifetime
Volume
$8.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$855
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-09 01:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56% — —
Politics
29% — —
Sports
12% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,000 $280 30¢ $590 +$310 07-01 10:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 $20 50¢ $50 +$30 07-01 10:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +50 $40 86¢ $43 +$3 05-31 05:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $16 99¢ $30 +$14 05-31 05:43
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$1 06-03 18:42
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -50 $-25 50¢ $-25 $-0 06-03 02:46
Will Alberta join the US? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 06-05 22:19
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +20 $13 84¢ $17 +$3 06-01 10:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +20 $15 74¢ $15 $-0 06-10 09:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +20 $8 58¢ $12 +$3 05-31 07:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +30 $9 34¢ $10 +$1 06-11 09:15
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +20 $9 47¢ $9 +$0 06-07 06:37
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing +7 $6 91¢ $7 +$0 05-31 22:39
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 0¢ $0 $-6 06-20 02:55