Infantile-Chair 0x314a5a…9d0fcb
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
854
lifetime
Volume
$7.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$619
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-29 21:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58% — —
Politics
25% — —
Sports
13% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +190 $167 100¢ $190 +$22 05-31 07:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +100 $84 100¢ $100 +$16 05-31 05:38
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +70 $59 100¢ $70 +$10 06-03 10:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +50 $40 88¢ $44 +$4 05-31 05:41
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +40 $9 100¢ $40 +$31 06-05 06:49
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +30 $28 92¢ $27 $-0 06-03 18:42
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -50 $-25 50¢ $-25 $-0 06-03 02:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $16 70¢ $21 +$5 05-31 05:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$6 05-31 15:03
Will Alberta join the US? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 06-05 22:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +20 $15 90¢ $18 +$3 06-10 09:45
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +20 $13 83¢ $17 +$3 06-01 10:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +20 $8 52¢ $10 +$2 05-31 07:57
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing +7 $6 93¢ $7 +$0 05-31 22:39
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +20 $9 33¢ $7 $-3 06-07 06:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +30 $9 16¢ $5 $-4 06-11 09:15
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +100 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-03 10:05
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 0¢ $0 $-6 06-20 02:55