Common-Surge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,013

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-18 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

70% — —

Sports

12% 14% $-1

Other

9% 50% +$0

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	$-0	06-17 19:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	18	$109	277	277	+0	open	—	02-04 18:40
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	13	$90	260	256	+4	open	—	02-05 18:24
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	16	$84	224	224	+0	open	—	02-02 08:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	12	$82	135	135	+0	open	—	01-31 16:22
bitcoin above 70k on march 20	27	$58	62	60	+2	open	—	03-20 04:53
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	28	$57	73	72	+1	open	—	03-20 04:57
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	12	$50	87	87	+0	open	—	02-05 18:12
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	11	$45	60	60	+0	open	—	02-04 18:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$42	191	191	+0	open	—	02-05 15:15
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	6	$41	168	168	+0	open	—	01-31 16:07
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	10	$40	78	78	+0	open	—	02-05 18:59
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	9	$40	58	45	+14	open	—	02-07 12:00
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	10	$39	58	58	+0	open	—	02-09 01:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	13	$33	95	90	+5	open	—	04-21 12:21
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	6	$31	86	86	+0	open	—	02-05 04:12
will solana dip to 70 in february 2026	10	$30	38	38	+0	open	—	02-05 19:00
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	11	$30	40	40	+0	open	—	02-06 01:47
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	8	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	02-09 00:57
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	8	$29	31	31	+0	open	—	02-09 00:57
will bitcoin dip to 75k in february 2026 685 423	11	$28	87	87	+0	open	—	02-01 23:07
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	14	$28	67	67	+1	open	—	03-20 04:59
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	10	$26	40	40	+1	open	—	03-20 04:55
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	16	$25	218	218	+1	open	—	03-20 04:55
will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	8	$25	56	39	+18	open	—	02-05 18:20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$24	31	31	+0	open	—	04-12 11:48
bitcoin above 72k on march 20	15	$23	63	62	+1	open	—	03-20 04:59
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	16	$22	42	41	+1	open	—	03-20 04:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	5	$22	38	24	+14	open	—	02-07 11:54
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	3	$21	38	38	+0	open	—	02-01 08:47
epl lee ars 2026 01 31 ars	3	$21	26	26	+0	open	—	01-31 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 14:15:43	btc updown 5m 1781792100	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x289ae9…
06-17 19:59:35	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7191c1…
06-17 19:59:28	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59380a…
06-17 19:10:08	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x5ae59f…
06-17 19:09:53	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd9b533…
06-17 17:21:50	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xb63a3e…
06-17 17:21:08	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xab401e…
06-15 12:58:25	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x20bde6…
06-15 12:56:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	Yes	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x464d44…
06-15 12:55:48	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9ff279…
06-14 18:55:48	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc64664…
06-14 18:55:36	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x90c9ac…
06-14 17:37:10	bitcoin above 64k on june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x2a0ddf…
06-14 17:36:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2a90e8…
06-14 14:14:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xaa3a6c…
06-14 14:14:01	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x13e89f…
06-14 13:02:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xc6b530…
06-14 13:02:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe1853a…
06-14 02:50:04	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x4ca75c…
06-14 02:49:54	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb40687…
06-14 02:48:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x87630c…
06-14 02:48:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa94c75…
06-14 02:47:33	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x683212…
06-14 02:45:55	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x8aaf73…
06-09 07:45:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfca9a3…
06-09 07:44:48	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabca39…
06-08 00:53:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x52bb09…
06-08 00:51:57	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x005c79…
06-05 07:34:27	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe20f3b…
06-05 07:33:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1409d4…
06-05 03:50:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x65f2e6…
06-05 03:50:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa15958…
06-05 03:44:22	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x667422…
06-05 03:44:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x6a2ca7…
06-05 03:40:28	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xcd97b8…
06-05 03:40:15	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x54d195…
06-04 16:13:09	will xrp reach 1pt4 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x443b1d…
06-04 16:11:34	will xrp reach 1pt4 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x6d6313…
06-04 03:45:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x717957…
06-04 03:43:48	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf353ad…
06-03 02:47:56	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xe6df14…
06-03 02:47:35	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2d6284…
05-28 05:40:17	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x928127…
05-28 05:39:41	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19e2ec…
05-27 21:18:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x421f50…
05-27 21:17:38	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbe108a…
05-24 10:17:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x14faee…
05-24 10:16:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1beb0f…
05-24 03:55:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x8b2c04…
05-24 03:54:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xfaa0e1…
05-24 03:54:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x040ac5…
05-24 03:52:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x76699e…
05-23 05:02:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x478fbf…
05-23 05:02:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x96cf8f…
05-19 18:04:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xe29447…
05-19 18:04:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4169cc…
05-19 18:03:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x5065a8…
05-19 18:03:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4ffb0a…
05-19 18:02:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xbf6d7f…
05-19 18:01:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeccb31…
05-02 18:30:56	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5	Over	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x599d26…
05-02 18:30:38	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x77b5ad…
05-01 15:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54b239…
05-01 15:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa47f4f…
04-30 17:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x078e2b…
04-30 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x10a524…
04-30 13:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xae28a9…
04-30 13:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb40f17…
04-28 19:50:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x7e401d…
04-28 19:49:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xa3a8b0…
04-28 19:47:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x673618…
04-28 19:46:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x747bb5…
04-28 16:25:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x9f8a4a…
04-28 16:23:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x4fbfd1…
04-25 14:54:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xe0a1c5…
04-25 14:18:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7d5025…
04-24 17:21:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x35bfbd…
04-21 12:21:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	84	7¢	$6	0xb4d247…
04-21 12:20:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x63a0e5…
04-21 12:16:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xc7cda0…
04-21 12:16:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x398139…
04-21 03:52:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd371d9…
04-21 03:51:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x00eec5…
04-21 03:42:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x040cf1…
04-20 23:26:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6b4d70…
04-20 00:18:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x46ab54…
04-20 00:18:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf2f2de…
04-20 00:18:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xdad1ca…
04-20 00:18:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x79bfa2…
04-20 00:18:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xbe1cb4…
04-20 00:18:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x2d6ccf…
04-20 00:17:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xeb25d3…
04-20 00:17:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x30087b…
04-20 00:17:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xd9ad7b…
04-20 00:16:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8fdcce…
04-15 02:27:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeec56a…
04-14 23:04:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe9d324…
04-14 22:15:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa00324…
04-14 19:39:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x1af10d…
04-13 19:16:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc27451…