Realized P&L
-$638
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
285
Trades
1,046
lifetime
Volume
$4.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$135
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 08-03 17:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
49% 45% -$307
Other
40% 39% -$289
Crypto
8% 24% -$69
Sports
3% 60% +$27
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -43 -$34 82¢ $-36 -$2 08-03 17:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$15 96¢ $-19 -$4 08-03 17:23
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No -18 -$18 100¢ $-18 $0 08-03 17:23
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -19 -$9 96¢ $-18 -$8 08-03 17:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -18 -$14 90¢ $-16 -$2 08-03 17:23
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -14 -$12 93¢ $-13 $0 08-03 17:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -19 -$11 32¢ $-6 +$4 08-03 17:23
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -6 -$4 74¢ $-5 -$1 08-03 17:23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -86 -$3 3¢ $-3 +$1 08-03 17:23
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -13 -$6 10¢ $-1 +$4 08-03 17:23
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -21 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 08-03 17:23
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -8 -$1 7¢ $-1 +$0 08-03 17:23
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -12 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$3 08-03 17:23