Realized P&L (90d)
-$110
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
29.1%
Resolved (90d)
509
Trades (90d)
1,295
2,147 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$133.8K
$205.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$19
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 10-28 18:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
78% 66% +$21
Sports
11% 57% +$1
Politics
7% 44% -$4
Crypto
3% 79% -$23
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 07-03 09:28
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3 $2 56¢ $2 $0 06-25 20:27
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-28 17:21
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-02 08:28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? No +1 $1 71¢ $1 $0 10-27 16:22
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $0 10-17 18:34
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 39¢ $1 $0 07-13 19:58
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-17 18:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -1 $0 66¢ $-1 $0 06-25 17:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $1 9¢ $1 $0 07-15 18:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -1 -$1 34¢ $-0 +$0 06-25 17:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-13 20:41