Jumbo-Button — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$775

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-04 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

23% 0% $-30

Politics

18% 0% $-14

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+62	$20	8¢	$5	$-15	06-02 11:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$100	194	0	+194	open	—	04-27 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$100	187	0	+187	open	—	04-27 23:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$96	74	74	+0	open	—	04-25 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$62	75	0	+75	open	—	04-28 00:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$57	36	36	+0	open	—	04-25 22:45
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1	$50	92	0	+92	open	—	05-01 10:27
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1	$50	89	0	+89	open	—	04-28 14:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$46	370	370	+0	Yes	$-14	05-07 13:31
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	2	$30	67	0	+67	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	$-30	05-11 11:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	06-02 11:57
bkvtb csk uni 2026 06 04	2	$13	56	56	+0	open	—	06-04 17:33
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1	$13	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$11	24	23	+1	open	—	04-27 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-28 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-27 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	04-28 00:24
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-28 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	04-28 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 22:53
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$1	3	3	+0	open	—	04-27 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-20 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 17:33:06	bkvtb csk uni 2026 06 04	Unics Kazan	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0xd071fa…
06-04 16:14:46	bkvtb csk uni 2026 06 04	Unics Kazan	BUY	56	17¢	$10	0x240274…
06-02 11:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4e608c…
05-29 09:04:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xf5d1da…
05-20 20:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb30e4a…
05-20 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xea3410…
05-14 14:52:28	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf9b54b…
05-11 11:05:38	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd6c055…
05-11 11:05:00	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xeb4172…
05-07 13:31:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	4¢	$16	0x38b423…
05-01 10:27:24	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x6b54af…
04-30 00:33:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	8¢	$30	0x47e6dc…
04-28 14:40:08	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x7d5300…
04-28 00:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	73	83¢	$61	0xfc35c0…
04-28 00:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x709c4d…
04-28 00:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x562350…
04-28 00:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3cef82…
04-28 00:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x987054…
04-28 00:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x7bf667…
04-27 23:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x66e8b9…
04-27 23:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x9670c7…
04-27 23:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf18cc3…
04-27 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x664dff…
04-27 23:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0xa34aa1…
04-27 23:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x8ccc53…
04-27 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc532a6…
04-27 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xef9600…
04-27 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8a6f7f…
04-27 22:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6068f3…
04-27 22:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x437e08…
04-27 22:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x0687e7…
04-27 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf14845…
04-27 22:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x217e63…
04-27 22:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7387fb…
04-27 22:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x032b39…
04-27 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5c3c7d…
04-27 21:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x60cebb…
04-27 20:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2b02b5…
04-27 20:13:36	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x770a18…
04-27 20:12:10	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6e8f4f…
04-27 19:56:10	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb04e24…
04-25 22:45:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0xbca61a…
04-25 15:12:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	74	82¢	$61	0x2a5769…
04-23 14:38:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0d161f…
04-23 14:37:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xb7f742…
04-23 14:23:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x861352…
04-23 12:49:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1980eb…