Jumbo-Button — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-30 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-30

Crypto

37% — —

Politics

13% 0% $-14

Tech

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$100	187	0	+187	open	—	04-27 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$100	194	0	+194	open	—	04-27 23:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$96	74	74	+0	open	—	04-25 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$62	75	0	+75	open	—	04-28 00:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$57	36	36	+0	open	—	04-25 22:45
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1	$50	92	0	+92	open	—	05-01 10:27
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1	$50	89	0	+89	open	—	04-28 14:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$46	370	370	+0	Yes	$-14	05-07 13:31
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	06-26 14:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$30	45	0	+45	open	—	06-26 14:24
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	2	$30	67	0	+67	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	$-30	05-11 11:05
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	3	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	06-22 20:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$30	62	62	+0	open	—	06-14 15:05
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	06-26 14:02
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	2	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	06-26 10:58
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	06-23 23:11
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	1	$20	57	0	+57	open	—	06-25 06:13
bkvtb csk uni 2026 06 04	2	$13	56	56	+0	open	—	06-04 17:33
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1	$13	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 14:52
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	2	$11	17	17	+0	open	—	06-27 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$11	24	23	+1	open	—	04-27 22:08
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	2	$10	33	33	+0	open	—	06-22 18:56
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-23 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-28 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	04-28 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-27 23:26
fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total home 0pt5	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	06-25 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 22:45
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total away 1pt5	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	06-30 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:52:59	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x8d9329…
06-30 16:54:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xab6526…
06-30 16:33:25	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf243c9…
06-27 01:58:13	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x16eebd…
06-27 01:00:25	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc32f98…
06-26 14:24:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x717b6e…
06-26 14:02:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x2e0b19…
06-26 14:02:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x8c28f6…
06-26 10:58:19	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5cb51a…
06-26 10:58:07	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xeefe4c…
06-25 18:16:46	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x01bf03…
06-25 13:05:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6067ba…
06-25 13:04:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x4b512c…
06-25 12:02:16	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0b47a7…
06-25 12:01:55	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcf2101…
06-25 11:59:22	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x32e5cc…
06-25 06:13:07	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xfe1264…
06-23 23:11:43	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x03a654…
06-23 14:42:10	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1f16e4…
06-23 14:39:13	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6a7e7b…
06-22 20:59:43	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xff6f01…
06-22 20:59:16	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x43ba60…
06-22 18:56:55	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x159ccf…
06-22 15:42:02	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x6bcde7…
06-22 15:39:23	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xae5379…
06-22 15:39:05	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x93c0dc…
06-14 15:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x4535d8…
06-14 15:05:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x35fa12…
06-04 17:33:06	bkvtb csk uni 2026 06 04	Unics Kazan	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0xd071fa…
06-04 16:14:46	bkvtb csk uni 2026 06 04	Unics Kazan	BUY	56	17¢	$10	0x240274…
06-02 11:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4e608c…
05-29 09:04:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xf5d1da…
05-20 20:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb30e4a…
05-20 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xea3410…
05-14 14:52:28	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf9b54b…
05-11 11:05:38	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd6c055…
05-11 11:05:00	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xeb4172…
05-07 13:31:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	4¢	$16	0x38b423…
05-01 10:27:24	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x6b54af…
04-30 00:33:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	8¢	$30	0x47e6dc…
04-28 14:40:08	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x7d5300…
04-28 00:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	73	83¢	$61	0xfc35c0…
04-28 00:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x709c4d…
04-28 00:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x562350…
04-28 00:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3cef82…
04-28 00:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x987054…
04-28 00:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x7bf667…
04-27 23:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x66e8b9…
04-27 23:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x9670c7…
04-27 23:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf18cc3…
04-27 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x664dff…
04-27 23:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0xa34aa1…
04-27 23:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x8ccc53…
04-27 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc532a6…
04-27 22:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xef9600…
04-27 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8a6f7f…
04-27 22:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6068f3…
04-27 22:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x437e08…
04-27 22:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x0687e7…
04-27 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf14845…
04-27 22:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x217e63…
04-27 22:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7387fb…
04-27 22:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x032b39…
04-27 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5c3c7d…
04-27 21:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x60cebb…
04-27 20:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2b02b5…
04-27 20:13:36	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x770a18…
04-27 20:12:10	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6e8f4f…
04-27 19:56:10	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb04e24…
04-25 22:45:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0xbca61a…
04-25 15:12:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	74	82¢	$61	0x2a5769…
04-23 14:38:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0d161f…
04-23 14:37:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xb7f742…
04-23 14:23:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x861352…
04-23 12:49:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1980eb…