Biodegradable-Seaside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.05K

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

156

Trades

3,860

lifetime

Volume

$1.87M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$484

Open exposure

$40.5K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-26 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

67% 71% -$43,036

Politics

32% 64% -$41,758

Crypto

2% 79% +$4,920

Sports

0% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+30,202	$25,493	96¢	$29.0K	+$3,486	09-16 06:37
US recession by end of 2026?	No	+12,400	$10,912	92¢	$11.5K	+$558	09-25 15:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+104	$97	96¢	$100	+$3	09-26 10:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	30	$140.1K	62,421	84,624	-22,203	Yes	+$910	01-25 09:36
Fed rate hike in 2026?	97	$114.3K	98,727	98,727	-0	Yes	-$16,639	08-21 13:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	150	$97.1K	65,923	65,923	+0	Yes	-$2,521	07-28 08:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	197	$94.0K	62,460	60,146	+2,314	No	-$693	04-26 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	50	$72.2K	37,871	37,871	+0	No	+$2,381	04-29 02:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$70.1K	36,807	36,807	+0	No	+$2,102	04-25 13:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	65	$59.0K	32,369	36,671	-4,302	Yes	-$3,289	03-17 15:51
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	91	$44.3K	28,773	28,875	-102	Yes	-$1,273	04-24 08:11
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	99	$42.3K	23,864	24,380	-516	Yes	+$1,043	03-09 00:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$39.9K	0	40,000	-40,000	No	-$123	06-24 14:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	117	$37.6K	24,000	24,000	+0	Yes	+$9,653	04-05 04:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	169	$37.5K	21,734	23,706	-1,972	No	-$4,844	04-25 14:02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	32	$37.4K	36,596	6,394	+30,202	open	—	09-16 06:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	15	$37.0K	19,994	19,994	+0	No	+$2,979	05-16 07:06
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	10	$32.4K	16,332	16,332	+0	No	+$101	03-23 12:09
will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	2	$32.3K	17,500	17,500	+0	No	+$2,208	08-20 08:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	50	$32.2K	37,521	6,800	+30,721	No	+$5,393	03-24 01:37
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	84	$30.9K	20,251	20,251	+0	Yes	+$64	04-14 14:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	74	$30.8K	29,624	16,924	+12,700	Yes	-$9,189	04-06 12:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	69	$30.5K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	-$30,502	04-06 12:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	73	$30.1K	31,030	31,030	+0	No	+$1,499	04-01 06:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	31	$27.0K	19,164	9,184	+9,980	No	+$666	06-16 16:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	162	$25.3K	16,752	16,886	-134	Yes	+$1,485	03-23 14:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	18	$24.7K	16,000	16,000	+0	Yes	+$2,714	06-14 13:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	29	$24.5K	14,000	14,000	+0	Yes	-$658	06-21 19:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	113	$24.0K	43,285	43,285	+0	No	+$1,829	05-24 12:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	36	$22.9K	15,881	10,000	+5,882	Yes	-$3,661	04-07 06:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	62	$20.7K	13,348	8,000	+5,348	No	+$183	06-16 23:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	48	$20.0K	10,606	9,718	+888	No	+$106	05-22 08:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	11	$19.8K	13,848	13,848	+0	Yes	+$3,395	06-13 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 10:48:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$49	0x4ef45a…
09-25 15:02:20	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xd3fa30…
09-25 15:02:18	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x0abe58…
09-25 15:02:17	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x386d70…
09-25 15:02:15	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0xd734a9…
09-25 14:45:15	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xddf357…
09-25 14:45:15	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	887	88¢	$781	0xc52753…
09-25 14:45:14	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x425fb5…
09-25 14:45:12	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0xda48c0…
09-25 14:45:11	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,481	88¢	$1,303	0xd610f7…
09-25 09:03:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xd6b78c…
09-19 07:04:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	697	90¢	$625	0xe9e561…
09-19 07:03:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xbfe998…
09-19 07:03:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x937725…
09-19 07:03:01	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	271	90¢	$243	0xf24e3d…
09-19 04:55:15	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	2,218	92¢	$2,049	0xca67f7…
09-19 03:40:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	2,153	90¢	$1,930	0x5d0988…
09-19 03:10:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	2,511	92¢	$2,320	0x6ab10c…
09-19 03:01:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa58a3a…
09-19 03:00:01	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	921	90¢	$825	0x006076…
09-19 02:54:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	271	92¢	$251	0xf37a47…
09-19 02:42:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	59	90¢	$53	0xf017e7…
09-19 01:21:51	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	962	90¢	$862	0xed5043…
09-19 01:21:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	883	90¢	$791	0xdb8164…
09-16 06:37:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,527	93¢	$4,213	0xaba984…
09-15 01:52:52	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,867	94¢	$1,753	0x3f4f7f…
08-24 09:01:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x440464…
08-24 07:59:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,210	86¢	$1,038	0x757452…
08-24 07:57:37	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	86¢	$132	0x5284c6…
08-24 06:50:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	86¢	$52	0x556dae…
08-24 04:06:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	86¢	$62	0x52793d…
08-24 03:11:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	86¢	$110	0x767c22…
08-24 02:13:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,841	86¢	$5,870	0x6b807c…
08-24 01:42:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	86¢	$65	0xc65355…
08-24 01:33:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,364	86¢	$1,171	0xfff53e…
08-24 00:17:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x63bada…
08-23 23:53:16	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xde9cf3…
08-23 20:23:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,521	86¢	$3,021	0x170d0a…
08-23 19:03:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	86¢	$1,716	0x109334…
08-23 19:03:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,708	86¢	$5,756	0x06ea7d…
08-23 18:18:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x038395…
08-23 16:42:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x13438e…
08-23 15:27:10	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	86¢	$219	0x8707a8…
08-22 04:27:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	85¢	$381	0x00c6c6…
08-22 03:48:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	568	85¢	$485	0x59e282…
08-22 01:47:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	85¢	$124	0xc88395…
08-22 01:47:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	85¢	$122	0xb3d138…
08-22 01:47:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$101	0x519854…
08-21 14:03:12	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	955	87¢	$828	0xc7cf52…
08-21 13:52:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	554	87¢	$480	0x67a2af…
08-21 13:47:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60,908	50¢	$30,454	0x30886e…
08-21 12:30:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x8d5a9e…
08-21 12:01:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,732	87¢	$3,235	0x903079…
08-21 09:19:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8,152	30¢	$2,446	0x8363a0…
08-21 09:18:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,158	30¢	$1,247	0xa61efd…
08-21 09:18:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,690	30¢	$807	0x8db467…
08-20 08:50:34	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	17,500	99¢	$17,258	0x4bf0b0…
08-14 15:08:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xf69cee…
08-14 14:54:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	51¢	$16	0x34835d…
08-14 14:53:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xfbf4c1…
08-14 14:25:24	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	86¢	$3,436	0x0da01a…
08-14 13:43:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x765e0f…
08-14 13:37:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	51¢	$56	0x2495a7…
08-14 13:34:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x0ff6a0…
08-14 13:20:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,872	51¢	$3,505	0x062f90…
08-14 10:39:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcd1f99…
08-05 21:44:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	89¢	$354	0xb8848b…
08-02 03:19:39	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	17,500	86¢	$15,050	0xe94769…
07-29 18:00:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,282	75¢	$9,212	0x0e643f…
07-29 17:56:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	75¢	$101	0xa3f6ce…
07-29 15:28:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	75¢	$43	0xd212e6…
07-29 15:03:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x1e42b4…
07-29 15:02:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x1a200e…
07-29 14:39:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe90784…
07-29 14:17:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	75¢	$43	0xb7af0e…
07-29 14:08:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	75¢	$122	0x6fc7a5…
07-29 13:44:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x647155…
07-29 13:42:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x6867df…
07-29 13:31:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xfac6dd…
07-29 13:21:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd05e00…
07-29 13:20:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x95354b…
07-29 13:19:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2dded5…
07-29 13:18:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xa6eccf…
07-29 13:17:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,202	75¢	$3,902	0xd7591e…
07-29 05:31:32	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xcb5813…
07-29 04:42:02	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8a811c…
07-28 14:28:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19,487	77¢	$15,005	0x392b5b…
07-28 14:26:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xc2184a…
07-28 14:15:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x18ba62…
07-28 13:55:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x604eee…
07-28 13:39:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x513951…
07-28 13:32:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,666	77¢	$5,133	0xa94f48…
07-28 13:10:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xc3c026…
07-28 13:08:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x963264…
07-28 12:54:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0xbb870b…
07-28 12:53:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x909e35…
07-28 12:52:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x02eefe…
07-28 12:49:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xbea83f…
07-28 12:45:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x51d50d…
07-28 12:43:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xca92ce…