Biodegradable-Seaside — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$5.88K

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

3,894 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$17.9K

$1.89M lifetime

Avg / trade

$485

Open exposure

$23.4K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

67% 70% -$44,039

Politics

31% 64% -$41,758

Crypto

2% 79% +$4,920

Sports

0% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	No	+12,400	$10,912	98¢	$12.1K	+$1,209	09-25 15:02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+9,439	$5,039	98¢	$9.3K	+$4,249	11-12 17:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,276	$1,593	88¢	$2.0K	+$421	11-05 16:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	30	$140.1K	62,421	84,624	-22,203	Yes	+$910	01-25 09:36
Fed rate hike in 2026?	97	$114.3K	98,727	98,727	-0	Yes	-$16,639	08-21 13:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	150	$97.1K	65,923	65,923	+0	Yes	-$2,521	07-28 08:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	197	$94.0K	62,460	60,146	+2,314	No	-$693	04-26 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	50	$72.2K	37,871	37,871	+0	No	+$2,381	04-29 02:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$70.1K	36,807	36,807	+0	No	+$2,102	04-25 13:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	65	$59.0K	32,369	36,671	-4,302	Yes	-$3,289	03-17 15:51
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	41	$57.9K	36,596	27,157	+9,439	open	—	11-12 17:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	91	$44.3K	28,773	28,875	-102	Yes	-$1,273	04-24 08:11
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	99	$42.3K	23,864	24,380	-516	Yes	+$1,043	03-09 00:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$39.9K	0	40,000	-40,000	No	-$123	06-24 14:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	117	$37.6K	24,000	24,000	+0	Yes	+$9,653	04-05 04:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	169	$37.5K	21,734	23,706	-1,972	No	-$4,844	04-25 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	15	$37.0K	19,994	19,994	+0	No	+$2,979	05-16 07:06
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	10	$32.4K	16,332	16,332	+0	No	+$101	03-23 12:09
will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	2	$32.3K	17,500	17,500	+0	No	+$2,208	08-20 08:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	50	$32.2K	37,521	6,800	+30,721	No	+$5,393	03-24 01:37
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	84	$30.9K	20,251	20,251	+0	Yes	+$64	04-14 14:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	74	$30.8K	29,624	16,924	+12,700	Yes	-$9,189	04-06 12:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	69	$30.5K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	-$30,502	04-06 12:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	73	$30.1K	31,030	31,030	+0	No	+$1,499	04-01 06:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	31	$27.0K	19,164	9,184	+9,980	No	+$666	06-16 16:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	162	$25.3K	16,752	16,886	-134	Yes	+$1,485	03-23 14:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	18	$24.7K	16,000	16,000	+0	Yes	+$2,714	06-14 13:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	29	$24.5K	14,000	14,000	+0	Yes	-$658	06-21 19:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	113	$24.0K	43,285	43,285	+0	No	+$1,829	05-24 12:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	36	$22.9K	15,881	10,000	+5,882	Yes	-$3,661	04-07 06:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	62	$20.7K	13,348	8,000	+5,348	No	+$183	06-16 23:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	48	$20.0K	10,606	9,718	+888	No	+$106	05-22 08:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	11	$19.8K	13,848	13,848	+0	Yes	+$3,395	06-13 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 17:20:46	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x07701b…
11-12 13:32:39	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	697	99¢	$688	0x340054…
11-12 12:48:15	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16,598	99¢	$16,382	0x41adf4…
11-12 12:47:15	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	857	99¢	$846	0x205abc…
11-05 16:40:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,276	70¢	$1,593	0xa36504…
11-05 15:59:04	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x563853…
11-05 15:53:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,518	98¢	$1,486	0xcf1249…
11-05 15:53:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x58a597…
10-28 10:23:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,403	5¢	$211	0x8f4a30…
10-28 10:23:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	414	5¢	$20	0xacb5a4…
10-28 10:23:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	414	5¢	$20	0xb346ec…
10-28 10:23:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	138	5¢	$7	0xa6f260…
10-28 10:23:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	414	5¢	$20	0x07a1fb…
10-28 10:23:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	414	5¢	$20	0x091801…
10-28 10:22:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	5¢	$6	0x6538d8…
10-28 10:19:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$4	0xc273ab…
10-28 10:19:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x9c3462…
10-28 10:18:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8adcb0…
10-28 10:17:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x31d851…
10-28 10:15:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6c2569…
10-28 10:12:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf8b0ec…
10-28 10:11:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xe97b7b…
10-28 10:11:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x2e6546…
10-28 10:11:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,757	5¢	$132	0xda9f95…
10-28 10:11:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	998	5¢	$48	0x3566dc…
10-28 10:09:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x1098e7…
10-28 10:08:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x682a0c…
10-28 10:05:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x5ef01d…
10-28 10:05:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	302	5¢	$15	0xc5767b…
10-28 10:05:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,024	5¢	$433	0x074d1b…
10-28 10:05:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x06a008…
10-28 07:07:23	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x83a680…
10-28 07:06:52	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	96¢	$863	0xa13830…
10-28 07:06:20	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x669abe…
09-26 10:48:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$49	0x4ef45a…
09-25 15:02:20	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xd3fa30…
09-25 15:02:18	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x0abe58…
09-25 15:02:17	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x386d70…
09-25 15:02:15	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0xd734a9…
09-25 14:45:15	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xddf357…
09-25 14:45:15	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	887	88¢	$781	0xc52753…
09-25 14:45:14	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x425fb5…
09-25 14:45:12	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0xda48c0…
09-25 14:45:11	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,481	88¢	$1,303	0xd610f7…
09-25 09:03:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xd6b78c…
09-19 07:04:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	697	90¢	$625	0xe9e561…
09-19 07:03:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xbfe998…
09-19 07:03:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x937725…
09-19 07:03:01	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	271	90¢	$243	0xf24e3d…
09-19 04:55:15	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	2,218	92¢	$2,049	0xca67f7…
09-19 03:40:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	2,153	90¢	$1,930	0x5d0988…
09-19 03:10:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	2,511	92¢	$2,320	0x6ab10c…
09-19 03:01:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa58a3a…
09-19 03:00:01	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	921	90¢	$825	0x006076…
09-19 02:54:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	271	92¢	$251	0xf37a47…
09-19 02:42:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	59	90¢	$53	0xf017e7…
09-19 01:21:51	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	962	90¢	$862	0xed5043…
09-19 01:21:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	883	90¢	$791	0xdb8164…
09-16 06:37:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,527	93¢	$4,213	0xaba984…
09-15 01:52:52	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,867	94¢	$1,753	0x3f4f7f…
08-24 09:01:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x440464…
08-24 07:59:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,210	86¢	$1,038	0x757452…
08-24 07:57:37	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	86¢	$132	0x5284c6…
08-24 06:50:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	86¢	$52	0x556dae…
08-24 04:06:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	86¢	$62	0x52793d…
08-24 03:11:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	86¢	$110	0x767c22…
08-24 02:13:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,841	86¢	$5,870	0x6b807c…
08-24 01:42:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	86¢	$65	0xc65355…
08-24 01:33:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,364	86¢	$1,171	0xfff53e…
08-24 00:17:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x63bada…
08-23 23:53:16	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xde9cf3…
08-23 20:23:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,521	86¢	$3,021	0x170d0a…
08-23 19:03:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	86¢	$1,716	0x109334…
08-23 19:03:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,708	86¢	$5,756	0x06ea7d…
08-23 18:18:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x038395…
08-23 16:42:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x13438e…
08-23 15:27:10	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	86¢	$219	0x8707a8…
08-22 04:27:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	85¢	$381	0x00c6c6…
08-22 03:48:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	568	85¢	$485	0x59e282…
08-22 01:47:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	85¢	$124	0xc88395…
08-22 01:47:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	85¢	$122	0xb3d138…
08-22 01:47:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$101	0x519854…
08-21 14:03:12	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	955	87¢	$828	0xc7cf52…
08-21 13:52:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	554	87¢	$480	0x67a2af…
08-21 13:47:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60,908	50¢	$30,454	0x30886e…
08-21 12:30:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x8d5a9e…
08-21 12:01:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,732	87¢	$3,235	0x903079…
08-21 09:19:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8,152	30¢	$2,446	0x8363a0…
08-21 09:18:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,158	30¢	$1,247	0xa61efd…
08-21 09:18:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,690	30¢	$807	0x8db467…
08-20 08:50:34	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	17,500	99¢	$17,258	0x4bf0b0…
08-14 15:08:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xf69cee…
08-14 14:54:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	51¢	$16	0x34835d…
08-14 14:53:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xfbf4c1…
08-14 14:25:24	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	86¢	$3,436	0x0da01a…
08-14 13:43:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x765e0f…
08-14 13:37:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	51¢	$56	0x2495a7…
08-14 13:34:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x0ff6a0…
08-14 13:20:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,872	51¢	$3,505	0x062f90…
08-14 10:39:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcd1f99…