Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved
120
Trades
153
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$521
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
53% 79% +$120
Tech
18% 95% +$252
Crypto
14% 91% -$54
Sports
7% 54% -$27
Politics
7% 44% -$329
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +181 $181 100¢ $181 +$0 10-18 14:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +116 $92 92¢ $107 +$15 10-24 09:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +59 $56 99¢ $58 +$2 10-05 19:51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +63 $42 88¢ $55 +$13 10-05 19:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +61 $42 88¢ $54 +$12 10-05 19:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +53 $42 94¢ $50 +$8 10-05 19:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 15¢ $8 -$7 09-05 12:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 12:17
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 09:04
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +46 $20 4¢ $2 -$18 10-05 19:50