Celebrated-Spectrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$215

Unrealized P&L

+$34

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$98.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$348

Open exposure

$191

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-30 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 86% +$215

Tech

31% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-250	$-195	70¢	$-176	+$19	06-12 23:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	06-05 13:22
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	+0	$-15	100¢	$0	+$15	06-10 15:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	51	$21.2K	10,323	10,984	-661	open	—	05-14 05:01
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	16	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-10 15:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$9.5K	0	9,500	-9,500	open	—	06-12 19:17
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	9	$9.3K	3,989	5,316	-1,327	open	—	06-12 12:53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	19	$8.9K	8,938	0	+8,938	open	—	04-29 17:42
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	2	$8.4K	8,445	0	+8,445	open	—	06-30 15:23
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	1	$5.4K	5,412	0	+5,412	open	—	06-30 14:15
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	5	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-30 16:29
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	6	$4.8K	2,543	2,543	+0	open	—	05-01 00:08
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	1	$4.2K	4,254	0	+4,254	open	—	06-12 18:43
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	3	$2.9K	2,898	0	+2,898	open	—	04-30 18:41
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9	$2.1K	2,150	0	+2,150	Team Falcons	+$46	05-09 11:47
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	6	$2.1K	2,099	0	+2,099	Spirit	+$9	05-09 11:17
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	4	$2.0K	1,995	0	+1,995	open	—	06-12 18:58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner	5	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Vitality	+$108	05-11 19:50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	13	$1.8K	1,906	0	+1,906	open	—	05-02 21:48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	5	$1.7K	1,750	0	+1,750	open	—	04-30 20:09
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	3	$1.7K	1,720	0	+1,720	open	—	06-30 15:09
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	8	$1.2K	1,500	1,000	+500	open	—	04-30 19:11
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$973	1,426	1,426	+0	open	—	06-30 12:01
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	9	$855	500	500	+0	BetBoom Team	$-25	05-12 19:15
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	3	$835	500	500	+0	open	—	06-21 15:37
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	1	$636	636	0	+636	open	—	06-30 14:15
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	4	$607	500	500	+0	open	—	06-19 21:09
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	1	$592	600	0	+600	open	—	06-12 11:55
will g2 reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	2	$561	610	0	+610	open	—	06-15 20:44
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	3	$555	500	500	+0	open	—	06-19 17:18
cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	4	$550	615	0	+615	open	—	06-18 15:07
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	2	$446	450	0	+450	open	—	06-30 14:22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	10	$429	486	0	+486	FURIA	+$57	05-12 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 15:26:16	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x0905df…
06-30 15:23:23	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x4a54b3…
06-30 15:09:07	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xf27cbb…
06-30 14:22:56	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x065c6d…
06-30 14:19:40	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	8,045	100¢	$8,031	0x0a82cd…
06-30 14:16:41	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	362	100¢	$362	0xdd0e68…
06-30 14:15:40	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	5,412	100¢	$5,407	0xfb4b3c…
06-30 14:15:13	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	636	100¢	$636	0xd78b90…
06-30 14:14:46	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	1,138	100¢	$1,137	0xedb200…
06-30 12:01:32	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	485	33¢	$160	0xea9513…
06-30 03:13:08	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	692	33¢	$228	0xd581b1…
06-29 13:19:44	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x569fce…
06-26 23:12:44	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x6ece0e…
06-26 19:57:31	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	225	33¢	$74	0x1c76b8…
06-23 16:57:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0xe3509f…
06-21 15:37:56	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	Team Falcons	SELL	308	97¢	$298	0xce4d4f…
06-21 15:37:56	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	Team Falcons	SELL	192	97¢	$187	0x7d9581…
06-21 15:20:52	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x6ea9a7…
06-19 21:09:02	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	SELL	500	61¢	$305	0x9062c6…
06-19 20:44:19	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game2	Vitality	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0xccd95c…
06-19 19:40:20	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	BUY	110	52¢	$57	0xc860bc…
06-19 19:40:13	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	BUY	140	52¢	$73	0x943b38…
06-19 19:22:04	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 map handicap away 1pt5	Vitality	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x1b022b…
06-19 19:21:55	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 map handicap away 1pt5	Vitality	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x868735…
06-19 19:20:49	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	BUY	250	69¢	$172	0x5befc5…
06-19 17:18:56	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	Spirit	SELL	455	56¢	$255	0xe2eafa…
06-19 17:18:56	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	Spirit	SELL	45	56¢	$25	0x40ccf6…
06-19 15:06:49	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game2	Spirit	BUY	463	51¢	$236	0x55d597…
06-19 15:06:47	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game2	Spirit	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd3ee4c…
06-19 15:06:47	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game2	Spirit	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x5dedeb…
06-19 15:06:47	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game2	Spirit	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x41ae6e…
06-19 14:50:07	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	Spirit	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x59ca4b…
06-18 15:07:41	cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	Aurora Gaming	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xdc0b0f…
06-18 15:04:14	cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	Aurora Gaming	BUY	370	90¢	$333	0xfd8a5e…
06-18 15:04:14	cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	Aurora Gaming	BUY	130	90¢	$117	0xdd376f…
06-18 14:45:50	cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	Aurora Gaming	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x1aee40…
06-18 14:45:40	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x21949b…
06-18 14:45:19	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x1138bd…
06-17 19:20:49	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xaf063d…
06-15 20:45:01	will furia reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	247	44¢	$108	0x8c914b…
06-15 20:44:25	will g2 reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	548	92¢	$504	0xe45c33…
06-15 20:44:00	will g2 reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0x682e7e…
06-15 17:28:49	WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb27ab9…
06-15 16:53:37	WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xc79bf5…
06-14 21:57:54	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	325	63¢	$205	0x71e79d…
06-12 23:03:36	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	122	78¢	$95	0x2ede78…
06-12 19:17:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	9,500	100¢	$9,481	0xccf731…
06-12 18:58:22	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x37efb5…
06-12 18:56:04	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0ee45d…
06-12 18:48:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x570676…
06-12 18:43:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	No	BUY	4,254	100¢	$4,249	0x69ffc5…
06-12 18:43:03	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	970	100¢	$969	0xfaa009…
06-12 15:11:18	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x2bf170…
06-12 12:53:27	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,525	100¢	$4,521	0xee35e5…
06-12 11:55:12	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	600	99¢	$592	0x9bd560…
06-12 11:20:42	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x35957f…
06-12 11:18:27	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xf1cce2…
06-12 08:57:04	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	389	100¢	$388	0x93cc0a…
06-12 06:05:22	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x29754c…
06-12 01:46:33	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	96	78¢	$75	0xace312…
06-11 23:56:16	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x99505e…
06-10 16:08:46	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,473	100¢	$2,463	0x60fc78…
06-10 15:39:46	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	3,428	100¢	$3,411	0x312d79…
06-10 15:03:31	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcff8fa…
06-10 14:23:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x60ebf1…
06-10 13:07:00	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xdcb162…
06-10 12:12:51	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xec3263…
06-10 12:02:13	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	403	100¢	$401	0x0ceb76…
06-10 10:59:09	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6ab89f…
06-10 10:21:21	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	513	100¢	$511	0x48bfd0…
06-10 09:11:00	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8014cf…
06-10 08:41:55	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2619c5…
06-10 08:12:43	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa770af…
06-10 07:39:43	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe2da54…
06-10 07:21:25	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xbfa410…
06-10 07:18:33	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x39a85c…
06-10 03:37:09	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1,010	100¢	$1,005	0x534eab…
06-10 02:07:03	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xda57cd…
06-08 22:50:37	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	285	62¢	$177	0x8b29c8…
06-08 21:54:00	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	4,999	99¢	$4,959	0xf57883…
06-08 21:53:10	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xae1c62…
06-08 21:51:33	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9de97…
06-08 21:06:10	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	382	35¢	$134	0x3f3ea6…
06-08 18:50:15	will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x7f9fe0…
06-08 14:49:55	will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x056f73…
06-08 13:22:09	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	36¢	$37	0xcd7a37…
06-08 11:13:22	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xf4fa3e…
06-08 08:39:21	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xb29652…
06-07 14:29:01	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xa16e3b…
06-07 14:28:25	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	923	35¢	$325	0x34e56a…
06-05 17:53:18	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	946	99¢	$937	0xf6a820…
06-05 13:22:51	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x40b7c3…
06-04 13:50:42	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xf99ed1…
06-03 06:31:03	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x2c3451…
06-02 21:15:10	WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x04306f…
05-27 19:01:22	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x456713…
05-27 11:24:05	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	233	41¢	$96	0x83d353…
05-27 11:23:02	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0xce193b…
05-27 05:49:05	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x8873a0…
05-27 05:49:03	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x60ae45…