Realized P&L (7d)
+$17
Unrealized P&L
+$412
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
27
1,842 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.71K
$358.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$195
Open exposure
$9.00K
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 11-05 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
53% 72% +$11,195
Tech
21% 100% +$134
Politics
14% 100% +$76
Crypto
7% 100% +$326
Sports
5% 83% +$223
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,853 $2,739 97¢ $2.8K +$24 11-03 14:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2,000 $1,900 98¢ $2.0K +$68 09-13 06:08
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,800 $1,708 97¢ $1.7K +$38 11-05 21:08
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +657 $630 99¢ $648 +$18 10-20 21:48
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +768 $492 75¢ $578 +$86 11-03 19:17
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +500 $461 96¢ $482 +$22 10-29 17:50
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +300 $252 90¢ $272 +$20 07-24 19:06
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +150 $145 97¢ $146 +$0 09-28 04:07
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +140 $133 96¢ $135 +$2 10-25 10:30
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +105 $95 94¢ $99 +$4 11-03 14:26
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +500 $42 14¢ $68 +$26 10-28 06:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $88 17¢ $35 -$53 10-28 16:10
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 09-08 21:28
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +18 $16 94¢ $17 +$0 11-03 20:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$1 07-02 12:38
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +6 $3 98¢ $6 +$3 08-21 17:42
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +500 $20 1¢ $5 -$15 10-26 17:13
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +11 $7 44¢ $5 -$2 10-15 14:27
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $4 $0 09-29 10:33
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-03 06:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +0 -$172 29¢ $0 +$172 11-05 04:00