Realized P&L
-$99
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
153
Trades
208
lifetime
Volume
$903
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1
4 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-20 10:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
69%
63%
-$11
Tech
12%
50%
-$102
Politics
10%
62%
+$13
Crypto
9%
76%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | -2 | -$1 | 29¢ | $-1 | +$0 | 06-20 10:33 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -1 | -$1 | 7¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 06-20 10:33 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | -1 | $0 | 4¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 06-20 10:34 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | -1 | $0 | 2¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 06-20 10:34 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| spx opens up or down on february 25 2026 | 1 | $111 | 111 | 0 | +111 | Up | +$0 | 02-25 14:20 |
| chatgpt outage by february 28 2026 | 1 | $100 | 222 | 0 | +222 | Yes | -$100 | 02-14 02:47 |
| will nvda dip to 144 in february | 1 | $90 | 96 | 0 | +96 | No | +$6 | 02-08 04:11 |
| aapl above 210 on february 27 2026 | 1 | $80 | 80 | 0 | +80 | Yes | +$0 | 02-08 03:37 |
| spx opens up or down on march 5 2026 | 9 | $52 | 543 | 543 | +0 | Down | -$6 | 03-05 14:27 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 2 | $37 | 28 | 28 | +0 | Yes | +$17 | 03-13 06:55 |
| spx up or down on february 20 2026 | 4 | $33 | 44 | 17 | +26 | Up | $0 | 02-20 18:39 |
| spx opens up or down on february 20 2026 | 2 | $25 | 18 | 18 | +0 | Down | +$5 | 02-20 13:32 |
| spx up or down on february 19 2026 | 2 | $25 | 15 | 15 | +0 | Down | +$5 | 02-19 19:39 |
| spx opens up or down on march 2 2026 | 4 | $20 | 60 | 25 | +35 | Down | -$1 | 03-02 13:26 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 2 | 2 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | No | +$0 | 03-01 10:02 |
| spx up or down on february 17 2026 | 5 | $14 | 14 | 14 | +0 | Up | +$2 | 02-17 14:38 |
| spx opens up or down on february 13 2026 | 1 | $11 | 21 | 0 | +21 | Up | +$10 | 02-13 13:30 |
| will iran strike israel on march 1 | 1 | $10 | 11 | 0 | +11 | Yes | +$1 | 03-01 05:37 |
| spx opens up or down on february 26 2026 | 1 | $10 | 11 | 0 | +11 | Down | -$10 | 02-26 13:40 |
| spx opens up or down on february 12 2026 | 1 | $10 | 11 | 0 | +11 | Up | +$1 | 02-12 13:28 |
| spx opens up or down on february 17 2026 | 1 | $10 | 10 | 0 | +10 | Down | +$0 | 02-17 13:30 |
| spx opens up or down on february 19 2026 | 1 | $10 | 11 | 0 | +11 | Down | +$1 | 02-19 13:30 |
| spx opens up or down on february 18 2026 | 1 | $10 | 10 | 0 | +10 | Up | +$0 | 02-18 13:27 |
| spx opens up or down on february 24 2026 | 1 | $10 | 13 | 0 | +13 | Down | -$10 | 02-24 13:31 |
| spx up or down on february 18 2026 | 3 | $9 | 5 | 5 | +0 | Up | +$1 | 02-18 19:02 |
| will msft dip to 323 in february | 1 | $8 | 100 | 0 | +100 | No | -$8 | 02-08 03:54 |
| spx up or down on february 23 2026 | 1 | $5 | 12 | 0 | +12 | Down | -$5 | 02-23 00:33 |
| chatgpt outage by march 15 | 1 | $3 | 5 | 0 | +5 | No | -$3 | 02-27 03:53 |
| spx up or down on march 3 2026 | 1 | $3 | 8 | 0 | +8 | Down | -$3 | 03-03 02:32 |
| spx up or down on march 2 2026 | 1 | $3 | 8 | 0 | +8 | Up | +$5 | 02-28 08:58 |
| spx opens up or down on march 4 2026 | 1 | $3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | Up | +$0 | 03-04 13:47 |
| spx up or down on february 24 2026 | 1 | $3 | 7 | 0 | +7 | Up | +$4 | 02-24 03:03 |
| will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 26 | 1 | $3 | 5 | 0 | +5 | No | -$3 | 02-27 00:03 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 14:55 UTC | 2 | $3 | 2 | 2 | +0 | Up | +$1 | 02-15 14:59 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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