Realized P&L
+$722
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
99
Trades
561
lifetime
Volume
$31.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$357
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-17 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
82% 47% +$1,404
Other
16% 34% -$684
Tech
2% 33% +$4
Crypto
0% 40% -$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -191 -$119 46¢ $-89 +$30 05-23 21:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -100 -$44 66¢ $-66 -$21 06-06 19:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -59 -$48 92¢ $-54 -$6 06-06 11:26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -78 -$38 66¢ $-52 -$14 05-04 09:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -51 -$15 39¢ $-20 -$5 06-06 11:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -106 -$27 17¢ $-18 +$9 06-06 11:26
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -294 -$32 5¢ $-14 +$18 05-23 22:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -114 -$12 12¢ $-14 -$2 06-16 22:15
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -105 -$13 8¢ $-9 +$4 05-04 09:04
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -136 -$12 5¢ $-7 +$6 05-04 09:03
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -101 -$25 6¢ $-6 +$20 05-04 08:56
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes -258 -$21 2¢ $-5 +$16 05-23 22:10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -109 $6 4¢ $-4 -$10 05-21 08:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -27 $3 6¢ $-2 -$4 05-23 22:09