(anonymous) 0x35813c…779f2d Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved
165
Trades
318
lifetime
Volume
$1.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$153
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 09-07 23:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
56% 45% -$67
Politics
29% 59% +$26
Crypto
11% 41% -$10
Tech
3% 50% -$4
Sports
1% 50% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +69 $24 34¢ $24 $0 08-04 15:54
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +15 $4 78¢ $12 +$8 09-02 21:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 09-02 20:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $5 78¢ $8 +$3 09-02 14:08
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +7 $3 88¢ $6 +$3 08-17 01:58
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 08-24 19:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 08-25 20:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-31 13:53
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 09-01 06:07
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 08-23 10:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-24 17:23
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 08-10 18:20
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 09-01 11:28
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 09-01 06:06
US recession by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-25 18:21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 09-01 13:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$1 09-01 16:17
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 08-17 12:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$2 09-03 13:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 08-18 11:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 08-25 20:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +10 $8 43¢ $4 -$3 08-18 13:35
No one announced as next James Bond? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 08-16 15:55
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $3 -$1 08-31 12:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $4 34¢ $3 $0 09-01 20:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20 $3 14¢ $3 $0 09-02 18:24
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +10 $3 8¢ $1 -$3 08-24 17:03
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? Yes +15 $7 3¢ $0 -$7 09-02 05:13