Realized P&L (7d)
+$392
Unrealized P&L
-$106
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved (7d)
63
Trades (7d)
159
3,488 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.68K
$18.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$555
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 10-30 09:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
72% 41% -$3
Sports
14% 50% -$67
Politics
12% 18% +$391
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
0% 83% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +322 $161 52¢ $166 +$5 10-29 09:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +200 $130 64¢ $127 -$3 10-30 07:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +327 $142 32¢ $103 -$39 10-30 06:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +185 $100 34¢ $62 -$38 10-29 08:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +40 $13 36¢ $14 +$1 10-27 08:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +143 $10 6¢ $9 -$1 10-29 07:39
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $10 15¢ $9 -$1 10-28 08:26
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +36 $10 22¢ $8 -$2 09-11 16:50
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +273 $3 3¢ $8 +$5 10-26 10:57
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +111 $10 6¢ $7 -$3 10-26 12:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14 $6 41¢ $6 +$0 10-30 07:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +18 $5 30¢ $5 +$0 10-30 08:20
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $2 1¢ $5 +$3 10-26 10:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +77 $10 6¢ $5 -$5 10-22 06:31
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +83 $10 5¢ $4 -$6 10-26 10:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +91 $10 4¢ $4 -$6 10-26 06:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +556 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 10-29 07:39
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +2,000 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 10-29 07:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +309 $11 1¢ $3 -$8 10-27 22:10
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +5 $1 14¢ $1 -$1 09-04 20:42
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +4 $1 14¢ $1 $0 08-31 20:13
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes +24 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-28 08:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +62 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 10-22 06:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +24 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-21 02:38
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-28 20:39