Realized P&L
+$177
Unrealized P&L
-$121
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
2,665
Trades
3,544
lifetime
Volume
$19.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$537
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-01 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
71% 41% -$105
Politics
14% 14% +$364
Sports
13% 50% -$54
Tech
2% 0% -$25
Crypto
0% 83% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +322 $161 45¢ $145 -$16 10-29 09:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +327 $142 30¢ $97 -$45 10-30 06:57
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +230 $97 40¢ $93 -$4 10-30 15:06
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +185 $100 30¢ $55 -$45 10-29 08:09
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +273 $3 6¢ $16 +$13 10-26 10:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +40 $13 33¢ $13 +$0 10-27 08:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +36 $10 25¢ $9 -$1 09-11 16:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $10 15¢ $9 -$1 10-28 08:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +50 $9 16¢ $8 -$1 10-29 09:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +143 $10 4¢ $6 -$4 10-29 07:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +111 $10 6¢ $6 -$4 10-26 12:48
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +22 $5 26¢ $6 +$1 11-01 00:25
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? No +11 $5 48¢ $5 +$0 11-01 08:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +18 $5 30¢ $5 +$0 10-30 08:20
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +11 $5 48¢ $5 $0 10-30 12:40
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +23 $5 22¢ $5 +$0 10-30 11:05
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +83 $10 6¢ $5 -$5 10-26 10:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +77 $10 6¢ $5 -$5 10-22 06:31
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $5 36¢ $5 $0 10-31 04:50
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +14 $5 36¢ $5 $0 10-31 04:50
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +25 $5 20¢ $5 $0 11-01 12:25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +25 $5 20¢ $5 $0 11-01 12:20
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $5 19¢ $5 $0 11-01 10:55
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +18 $5 24¢ $4 -$1 10-30 12:30
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $5 20¢ $4 -$1 10-31 04:05
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $2 1¢ $4 +$2 10-26 10:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +556 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 10-29 07:39
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +2,000 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 10-29 07:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +5 $1 12¢ $1 -$1 09-04 20:42
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +4 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 08-31 20:13