Realized P&L
+$101
Unrealized P&L
-$365
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved
2,749
Trades
3,733
lifetime
Volume
$21.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$457
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-07 06:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
71% 41% -$173
Politics
15% 14% +$370
Sports
13% 50% -$68
Tech
2% 0% -$25
Crypto
0% 83% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +422 $199 37¢ $156 -$43 11-06 06:07
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +260 $87 31¢ $81 -$6 11-05 08:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +140 $34 20¢ $28 -$6 11-06 13:06
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +273 $3 10¢ $27 +$24 10-26 10:57
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +36 $10 43¢ $16 +$5 09-11 16:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $13 7¢ $14 +$1 11-06 06:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +727 $200 1¢ $9 -$190 11-03 08:54
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +78 $11 12¢ $9 -$2 11-06 07:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +17 $5 52¢ $9 +$4 11-06 07:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +470 $138 2¢ $8 -$130 11-03 10:20
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? No +260 $16 3¢ $7 -$8 11-06 06:19
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs TheMongolz +10 $0 70¢ $7 +$7 11-07 07:34
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +11 $5 53¢ $6 +$0 10-31 00:35
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$0 11-07 00:40
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +56 $5 10¢ $6 +$1 11-06 08:40
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +18 $5 30¢ $5 +$1 11-06 09:45
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 11-06 05:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +150 $14 4¢ $5 -$9 11-06 13:53
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +12 $5 43¢ $5 +$0 11-07 06:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +14 $5 36¢ $5 $0 11-06 06:45
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? Yes +18 $5 28¢ $5 $0 11-07 02:05
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +16 $5 32¢ $5 $0 11-07 01:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 41¢ $5 $0 11-02 13:45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +13 $5 37¢ $5 $0 11-06 10:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24 $5 19¢ $5 $0 11-06 10:15
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +192 $5 2¢ $4 -$1 11-06 08:50
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round? Yes +77 $5 5¢ $4 -$1 11-06 08:50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $5 15¢ $4 -$1 11-01 10:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +77 $10 4¢ $3 -$7 10-22 06:31
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +6 $5 57¢ $3 -$2 11-05 16:40