(anonymous) 0x3a6721…fd6095 Create alert
bot 29W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
82.4%
Resolved
878
Trades
1,881
lifetime
Volume
$5.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$35
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 11-04 06:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
92% 61% -$7
Politics
3% 60% +$10
Sports
3% 81% -$11
Crypto
1% 65% -$8
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +15 $9 47¢ $7 -$2 10-12 21:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +12 $7 36¢ $4 -$3 10-08 18:33
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 10-20 19:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -14 -$2 15¢ $-2 $0 09-09 20:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 10-04 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 10-19 11:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 23¢ $2 +$1 10-15 05:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-29 21:56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-01 20:45
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +18 $9 10¢ $2 -$7 10-13 01:41
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 10-23 12:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +3 $2 44¢ $1 -$1 10-25 21:55
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +7 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 10-18 12:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-22 02:45
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $1 56¢ $0 -$1 10-26 10:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-21 17:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +0 $0 50¢ $0 $0 10-18 09:22