(anonymous) 0x3a6721…fd6095 Create alert
bot 29W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
9
2,015 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$12
$5.90K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$83
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 11-14 19:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
92% 61% -$22
Politics
3% 54% +$3
Sports
3% 81% -$11
Crypto
1% 65% -$8
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31? Yes +56 -$1 49¢ $27 +$28 10-25 17:51
Will the median home value in Miami be between $851,000 and $870,000 on December 31? Yes +67 $2 16¢ $11 +$9 10-05 14:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +12 $7 68¢ $8 +$1 10-08 18:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +15 $9 29¢ $4 -$5 10-12 21:00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 10-20 19:13
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +3 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 11-01 20:25
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? Yes +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 11-13 19:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-04 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-19 11:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 11-01 20:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-29 21:56
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +18 $9 11¢ $2 -$7 10-13 01:41
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 11-10 17:40
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +4 $2 51¢ $2 $0 11-10 14:16
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? No +4 $2 42¢ $2 $0 11-07 16:47
Will "The Cat in the Hat" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 11-15 00:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -14 -$2 10¢ $-1 +$1 09-09 20:18
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? Yes +21 $9 5¢ $1 -$8 10-12 21:48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $0 10-22 02:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3 $2 30¢ $1 -$1 10-23 12:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +3 $2 25¢ $1 -$1 10-25 21:55
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 $0 10-18 12:26
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-15 05:41
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 10-08 11:51
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $1 46¢ $0 -$1 10-26 10:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 10-18 09:22
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +3 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-23 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 14? Yes +2 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-14 16:56