Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$963

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

4,024

Trades

15,351

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$533

16 positions

First seen

2026-06-09

last 10-21 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

78% 24% -$945

Politics

17% 67% +$14

Crypto

5% 16% -$32

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+200	$196	100¢	$199	+$3	10-12 06:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+190	$182	96¢	$182	+$1	10-21 08:08
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+150	$143	96¢	$144	+$1	10-20 19:10
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+558	$2	0¢	$1	$0	08-24 17:24
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+91	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	08-24 17:25
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes		+38	$3	3¢	$1	-$1	08-24 17:24
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+558	$1	0¢	$1	+$0	08-24 17:24
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+188	$1	0¢	$1	$0	08-24 17:25
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+279	$1	0¢	$0	$0	08-24 17:24
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+279	$1	0¢	$0	$0	09-07 20:26
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+52	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	08-24 17:25
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+150	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-24 17:24
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+150	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-24 17:24
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	—	+128	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-24 17:24
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+75	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-24 17:24
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+57	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-24 17:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	6	$485	330	180	+150	open	—	10-20 19:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$259	230	40	+190	open	—	10-21 08:08
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	10	$237	389	389	-0	open	—	09-08 07:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	10-12 06:32
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	22	$169	601	601	-0	No	-$94	08-26 08:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	7	$165	555	555	+0	open	—	08-31 13:02
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	7	$151	397	397	-0	open	—	09-02 16:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	10	$149	1,056	1,056	+0	open	—	08-31 16:58
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$149	80	80	+0	No	+$0	09-25 09:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	09-21 20:13
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	9	$119	1,089	1,089	+0	open	—	09-25 09:14
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	1	$114	300	0	+300	Yes	-$114	06-18 09:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:25 UTC	46	$106	200	0	+200	Down	+$4	07-06 19:29
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	1	$106	200	0	+200	No	-$106	06-18 09:57
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	14	$105	79	79	+0	open	—	09-25 09:12
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	3	$97	55	55	+0	open	—	09-25 09:15
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-25 09:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	10	$97	285	285	+0	open	—	08-26 08:41
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	3	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$1	09-25 09:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	09-25 09:12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	2	$92	70	70	+0	open	—	09-25 09:13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5	$90	890	890	+0	open	—	08-31 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:45 UTC	43	$85	165	0	+165	Down	-$10	07-06 19:47
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	8	$84	89	89	+0	open	—	09-07 20:26
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?	3	$82	50	50	+0	No	+$15	09-25 09:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	09-25 09:13
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	2	$72	40	40	+0	No	+$4	09-25 09:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	13	$63	215	215	+0	open	—	08-26 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:00 UTC	26	$60	115	0	+115	Down	-$5	07-06 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:40 UTC	27	$59	115	0	+115	Up	-$4	07-06 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 08:08:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0xcfeb12…
10-21 07:52:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	122	96¢	$117	0xcd7e3a…
10-20 19:10:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x60e8fb…
10-20 19:03:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xe48e49…
10-20 18:34:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	107	95¢	$102	0x87aec0…
10-12 06:32:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3c7ba4…
10-08 12:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xff97b4…
10-08 12:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xedbed7…
10-08 12:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda46f0…
10-08 12:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d323a…
10-08 11:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc19e08…
10-08 11:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8?	No	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xfd0e7e…
10-08 11:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe0d8b8…
10-08 11:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54c7b8…
10-08 10:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95b9a5…
10-08 10:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x856095…
10-08 10:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51b506…
10-08 10:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x3f5ba7…
10-08 06:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfdf882…
10-08 06:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc02cc1…
10-08 06:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9c7d47…
10-08 06:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3437bb…
10-07 20:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x904dac…
10-07 20:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf5f149…
10-07 19:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 7?	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xbe4dce…
10-07 19:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb8b7d…
10-07 19:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa7f7a9…
10-07 18:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8b6522…
10-07 18:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x74b17a…
10-07 16:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xd3864c…
10-07 16:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc78d3e…
10-07 15:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x86e6da…
10-07 15:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	No	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xb753b0…
10-07 15:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78584d…
10-07 15:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x286405…
10-07 05:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xa968c2…
10-07 05:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	26	92¢	$23	0x9fb5e9…
10-07 05:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x852e90…
10-07 05:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xb57b5f…
10-06 21:15:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1c32e7…
10-06 21:15:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe26ca6…
10-06 21:15:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x260d02…
10-06 20:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x3ad3af…
10-06 20:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xec4018…
10-06 17:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 6?	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x1a8fc4…
10-06 17:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x406bac…
10-06 17:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc49258…
10-06 17:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x47bf97…
10-06 17:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x10c00c…
10-06 16:48:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb6ba6e…
10-06 14:56:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x4a1e24…
10-06 14:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 6?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xf356b5…
10-06 14:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd4f685…
10-06 14:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xaf638a…
10-06 14:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x838f4f…
10-06 07:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf48a96…
10-06 07:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc34405…
10-06 07:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x69753f…
10-06 07:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x31283f…
10-06 07:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2668f4…
10-06 06:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2b4195…
10-06 06:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xb8c1fa…
10-06 06:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xecedd4…
10-06 06:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xeae3a3…
10-06 06:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe0e731…
10-06 06:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa24d98…
10-06 06:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xeca558…
10-06 06:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb52ab2…
10-06 06:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x30f600…
10-06 06:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x11ffa9…
10-06 05:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe621a7…
10-06 05:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbd6b00…
10-06 05:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa252f4…
10-06 05:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 6?	No	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xd9b872…
10-06 05:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x02cc65…
10-06 05:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1b05b6…
10-06 05:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0267c1…
10-05 20:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1edf91…
10-05 20:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f9169…
10-05 19:56:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe12f87…
10-05 19:48:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9f2219…
10-05 19:48:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x3b18de…
10-05 19:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xab2521…
10-05 18:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x0926fc…
10-05 18:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0bb332…
10-05 18:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8d6dfb…
10-05 18:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b0a73…
10-05 18:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x491428…
10-05 18:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x368c7d…
10-05 17:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 5?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x91d0f1…
10-05 17:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 5?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcabedb…
10-05 16:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0b87bf…
10-05 16:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x02e069…
10-05 16:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x82c00a…
10-05 16:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xee100e…
10-05 14:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 5?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x0f671a…
10-05 13:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7c21c3…
10-02 06:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?	No	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x83ac67…
10-02 06:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xd981c7…
10-02 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xda9df8…