Third-Infiltration — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

754 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$20

$9.16K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-08 05:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

80% 85% +$3

Crypto

11% 89% +$1

Politics

6% 67% +$0

Sports

3% 64% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-08 05:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C or below on May 12?	4	$99	49	49	+0	No	+$0	05-12 01:55
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	6	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-18 18:20
highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 52 53f	4	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	04-24 08:43
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 4?	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-04 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on May 4?	9	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-04 10:03
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	02-05 17:10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-14 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 17?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-17 09:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 5?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-04 18:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 7?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-06 15:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 7?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-06 08:11
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$59	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 20:03
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-10 21:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on May 6?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-05 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 6?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-05 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 16?	3	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 01:20
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 11 2026 29corhigher	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	04-11 05:16
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 15?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-14 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on May 10?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-09 22:54
Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-13 15:11
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	4	$53	47	7	+40	No	+$0	05-20 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-17 23:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	7	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-07 02:22
msft above 420 on march 27 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	03-27 08:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-11 16:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 15?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-15 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 5?	5	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-09 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 16?	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-16 03:52
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 13?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-13 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 05:50:01	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x626142…
10-18 13:07:57	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x12b52f…
10-07 19:43:57	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x69ce91…
10-07 19:43:00	Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc06833…
10-07 19:42:07	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b42cf…
10-07 19:41:13	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf5323f…
10-07 19:40:19	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x66a41f…
10-07 19:39:24	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa3a5a8…
10-07 19:38:31	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8552d5…
10-07 19:37:39	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x918058…
10-06 09:07:19	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2700c7…
09-24 19:07:18	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41de03…
09-19 22:45:55	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1730f6…
09-12 21:19:09	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe549c9…
09-07 20:19:52	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x972308…
09-01 08:13:57	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c8ad3…
08-24 03:42:34	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfce0d7…
08-11 22:27:49	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x836ab6…
08-08 12:11:31	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc0fad5…
08-08 12:10:28	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4d1528…
07-29 20:04:11	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9dea45…
07-29 20:03:14	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xae4819…
07-29 20:02:21	Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9c83c4…
07-28 13:22:26	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2fa64e…
07-23 05:04:21	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f3bd8…
07-06 18:31:19	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc49ac4…
07-03 16:39:49	Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5af6ef…
06-30 23:11:55	Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0abdd…
06-27 02:32:58	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xd6a444…
06-21 09:31:10	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc04d58…
06-18 17:36:53	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xac23bb…
06-07 18:44:09	Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x411d36…
05-20 15:21:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42081e…
05-20 12:29:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe1e4ae…
05-20 09:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x14f401…
05-20 06:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x84c7dc…
05-20 02:15:08	Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x17dc99…
05-20 01:34:11	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x194b88…
05-20 01:33:45	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4a6151…
05-20 00:17:56	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa53532…
05-20 00:02:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb99629…
05-19 16:14:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x521767…
05-19 15:13:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x334f67…
05-19 15:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe1eb93…
05-19 07:07:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43b499…
05-19 06:33:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb10533…
05-19 01:42:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbbea6e…
05-19 01:41:08	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x73f437…
05-19 00:32:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x568cfa…
05-18 21:59:00	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc50824…
05-18 20:58:34	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x7157f2…
05-18 20:03:09	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe8d14a…
05-18 19:09:36	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x51dace…
05-18 18:20:06	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb235b7…
05-18 18:16:21	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1dd5fe…
05-18 18:15:23	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x829056…
05-18 18:10:46	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9ab3c2…
05-18 17:24:57	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e120b…
05-18 16:46:46	Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x585c1e…
05-18 16:29:30	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6ae060…
05-18 14:52:37	Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xaf82c5…
05-18 06:48:50	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf3a778…
05-18 06:12:08	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa245a5…
05-18 04:12:40	Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5fbb75…
05-18 02:51:12	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd94646…
05-18 02:39:45	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7287bd…
05-18 00:48:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xfd75d9…
05-18 00:43:54	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2a8e64…
05-17 23:23:22	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x944539…
05-17 23:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe3b9c3…
05-17 22:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd79fc…
05-17 22:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa82375…
05-17 22:11:21	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3f89dd…
05-17 21:28:39	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2b0867…
05-17 20:25:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9d60f2…
05-17 17:41:53	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x943ed1…
05-17 17:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 18?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x69c489…
05-17 13:31:29	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeb7565…
05-17 10:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x949363…
05-17 09:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1e2cb0…
05-17 09:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 17?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb4490d…
05-17 08:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd94d18…
05-17 08:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcc101f…
05-17 07:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3434b5…
05-17 07:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd5aef4…
05-17 07:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd098de…
05-17 04:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8a1ec3…
05-17 04:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdc00a4…
05-17 04:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe22b06…
05-17 04:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe7ca33…
05-17 03:52:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfd6d90…
05-17 03:24:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x01c623…
05-17 01:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe8a4ed…
05-17 01:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x398500…
05-16 23:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x7da659…
05-16 22:18:27	Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x76f948…
05-16 20:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x254273…
05-16 15:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9bd31d…
05-16 13:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd6750e…
05-16 07:23:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x89ea0d…