Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

465

Trades

2,090

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-19 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

36% 62% -$106

Crypto

29% 90% +$62

Sports

24% 50% -$230

Politics

11% 58% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on march 29	88	$132	160	0	+160	Yes	+$28	03-29 13:24
nba nop por 2026 04 02 spread home 6pt5	41	$112	120	116	+4	Trail Blazers	-$4	04-03 04:06
nhl chi nj 2026 03 29 spread home 1pt5	74	$111	176	0	+176	Devils	-$111	03-29 22:59
nhl chi edm 2026 04 02	34	$104	70	70	+0	Oilers	+$11	04-03 03:48
nhl bos fla 2026 04 02	16	$73	52	52	+0	Panthers	+$31	04-03 04:06
nhl tor sj 2026 04 02	38	$65	121	119	+2	Sharks	-$46	04-03 03:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 29	41	$61	72	0	+72	No	+$11	03-29 07:50
wta pegula shnaide 2026 04 03	34	$51	183	0	+183	Jessica Pegula	-$51	04-03 17:12
bitcoin up or down on march 29 2026	34	$51	72	0	+72	Down	+$21	03-29 13:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	18	$45	63	54	+9	No	+$9	06-19 20:58
atp burruch nakashi 2026 04 02	30	$45	74	0	+74	Roman Andres Burruchaga	+$29	04-02 21:22
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10 total 229pt5	16	$44	43	42	+1	Over	-$1	04-11 02:03
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	09-09 17:21
atp altmaie prizmic 2026 04 02	28	$42	75	0	+75	Daniel Altmaier	-$36	04-03 13:26
mlb tor cws 2026 04 03	27	$40	63	0	+63	Chicago White Sox	-$40	04-03 17:31
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	17	$38	24	24	+0	open	—	05-01 11:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 29	25	$37	47	0	+47	Yes	+$9	03-29 13:31
bitcoin above 66k on march 30	24	$35	54	0	+54	Yes	-$15	03-30 02:31
bitcoin above 56k on april 5	13	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 03:58
atp buse carabel 2026 04 01	21	$31	69	0	+69	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	+$28	04-02 16:01
nba chi nyk 2026 04 03 total 237pt5	21	$31	61	0	+61	Under	-$31	04-03 17:03
atp augeral ruud 2026 04 09	21	$31	44	0	+44	Felix Auger-Aliassime	-$7	04-09 12:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	05-11 01:01
nba gsw den 2026 03 29 total 237pt5	18	$28	55	0	+55	Under	-$28	03-30 00:06
atp machac sinner 2026 04 09	18	$27	57	0	+57	Jannik Sinner	-$2	04-09 13:24
wta pegula cocciar 2026 04 02	17	$25	48	0	+48	Jessica Pegula	-$25	04-02 18:56
sea pis tor 2026 04 05 tor	17	$25	40	0	+40	Yes	-$25	04-05 15:57
bitcoin above 58k on april 4	9	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 03:42
will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 29	16	$24	482	0	+482	Yes	-$16	03-29 22:41
nhl mon car 2026 03 29 spread home 1pt5	1	$24	40	0	+40	Canadiens	+$16	03-29 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:02:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x15cd0b…
10-19 17:02:32	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xa3aa42…
10-19 17:02:23	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x5594f5…
10-19 17:02:11	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$9	0xe59f25…
10-19 17:02:02	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x495456…
10-19 17:01:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x947033…
10-19 17:01:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2a85a2…
10-19 17:01:39	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x72e1ee…
10-19 17:01:32	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x62b80e…
10-19 17:01:24	Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xbaa47f…
10-19 17:01:15	Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x461f3b…
10-19 17:01:02	Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x111a2e…
10-19 17:00:53	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xe819ed…
10-19 17:00:44	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x3ff2b0…
10-19 17:00:35	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x8de992…
10-19 17:00:23	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xe4621b…
10-19 17:00:15	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4076be…
10-19 17:00:08	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x227514…
10-19 17:00:00	Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0xda8d53…
10-19 16:59:53	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xb643b1…
10-19 16:59:42	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x6db86e…
10-19 16:59:33	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xaa82de…
10-19 16:59:24	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xad38fe…
10-19 16:59:08	Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0xf5bdf4…
10-19 16:58:42	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x46914d…
10-19 16:58:35	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4ec97b…
10-19 16:58:26	Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x7cc321…
10-19 16:58:06	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0xa8d930…
10-19 16:57:50	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x7602b1…
10-19 16:57:32	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xcc8150…
10-19 16:56:44	Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0xe3383b…
10-09 14:44:13	Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xa4d1b0…
10-08 14:10:59	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4f06f1…
10-07 23:52:59	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x80a4e9…
10-07 17:41:45	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x4ac699…
10-07 17:41:27	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x4bb213…
10-03 16:39:41	Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xc486aa…
10-01 13:52:54	Israel Election: RZP-Zehut Effectively Banned?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x66700b…
10-01 10:09:33	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x84387d…
10-01 09:33:44	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xbb5ac8…
10-01 01:06:18	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x88b877…
09-30 22:40:24	Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x4315e5…
09-29 22:05:57	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	Hike 25 bps	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0xecde2b…
09-29 21:32:30	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	No change	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x68355e…
09-29 21:05:35	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x707275…
09-29 20:48:33	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	Hike 25 bps	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xc9a070…
09-29 20:46:20	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x330313…
09-29 19:35:27	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x484a7b…
09-28 13:47:32	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xbef8f9…
09-28 11:31:26	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x4a3ec8…
09-27 12:34:12	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x39190b…
09-27 12:15:18	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x2ac98d…
09-27 11:52:20	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdab889…
09-27 11:35:00	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xba6197…
09-27 10:45:17	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x3b3d41…
09-27 10:43:41	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x70db67…
09-27 10:43:35	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x21bd74…
09-27 10:21:54	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x063c19…
09-25 00:58:48	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x664414…
09-25 00:37:44	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xdfff21…
09-25 00:34:53	Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xe84c4a…
09-25 00:28:51	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe73c27…
09-25 00:28:50	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x834189…
09-25 00:28:08	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa3b399…
09-24 23:38:59	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	22	30¢	$6	0xe76069…
09-16 20:15:37	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x758b54…
09-16 20:15:12	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3c7d7c…
09-10 14:41:37	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x2cf695…
09-10 14:41:27	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6fa825…
09-10 14:41:24	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd72935…
09-10 14:41:21	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x66cc31…
09-10 14:37:37	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xfcc388…
09-10 14:36:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x7cc5d4…
09-10 14:35:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xe747c5…
09-10 14:29:42	Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa28cb9…
09-10 14:26:52	Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xcec7e4…
09-10 14:26:46	Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x6c5262…
09-10 14:16:55	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x8c5ae4…
09-10 14:05:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x73cad3…
09-09 22:52:30	Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xa6f99e…
09-09 18:51:39	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xe92efd…
09-09 18:37:15	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x868ede…
09-09 17:46:18	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1ad2ac…
09-09 17:21:10	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0bc082…
09-09 09:36:28	Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x818ae4…
09-04 11:30:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x0f19a5…
09-04 10:57:15	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x7569dc…
09-04 10:22:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x5c1fdb…
09-03 22:53:27	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x53e3e6…
09-03 22:16:34	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x333d26…
09-03 22:16:31	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xaa9256…
09-03 14:04:24	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x8be1e3…
09-03 08:39:58	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x759eaa…
09-03 08:39:57	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0ea51c…
09-03 08:13:24	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x8dfbcd…
09-02 17:48:13	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xc1043b…
09-02 17:45:42	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x2d0477…
09-02 16:25:57	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x1e60ee…
09-02 16:24:15	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8f4e10…
09-02 15:08:06	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x818e38…