Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$2.22M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22.0K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-01 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

58% 57% +$22,996

Crypto

32% 60% +$114

Politics

10% 40% +$2,570

Sports

0% 17% +$213

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$431.6K	305,790	151,455	+154,335	Yes	+$16,937	03-01 03:33
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	6	$371.3K	186,079	186,079	+0	No	+$22	03-29 06:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$310.0K	156,764	156,764	+0	Yes	+$1,332	04-21 12:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$308.8K	154,625	154,625	+0	No	+$155	03-26 08:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$216.8K	189,233	32,229	+157,004	No	+$2,572	03-29 06:58
bitcoin above 56k on april 3	1	$154.3K	154,521	0	+154,521	Yes	+$186	04-01 22:36
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$138.1K	142,737	0	+142,737	Yes	+$4,652	01-09 17:06
bitcoin above 64k on march 20	1	$104.3K	104,404	0	+104,404	Yes	+$104	03-20 04:21
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$46.3K	46,413	0	+46,413	No	+$74	01-30 01:38
bitcoin above 84k on february 1	1	$46.3K	46,480	0	+46,480	No	+$142	02-01 12:32
bitcoin above 90k on february 2	1	$46.3K	46,379	0	+46,379	No	+$46	02-01 21:02
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$39.9K	20,101	20,101	+0	No	-$60	03-29 06:55
nba tor okc 2026 01 25	2	$972	594	594	+0	Raptors	+$215	01-26 03:23
sea ata par 2026 01 25 ata	2	$672	340	340	+0	Yes	+$7	01-25 15:54
epl new ast 2026 01 25 ast	2	$665	334	334	+0	Yes	+$1	01-25 16:30
lal mad mal 2026 01 25 mad	2	$635	333	333	+0	Yes	+$30	01-25 15:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:30 UTC	2	$595	873	863	+10	Up	-$593	01-26 14:43
afc u23 final china vs japan	3	$563	299	299	+0	Japan	+$34	01-24 16:56
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	1	$341	378	0	+378	Yes	+$38	01-25 16:31
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	1	$298	302	0	+302	Yes	+$4	01-25 02:04
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$2	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-01 16:23
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-01 16:23
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 16:23
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-01 16:23
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2	26	26	+0	open	—	05-01 16:23
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	05-01 16:23
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	56	56	+0	No	$0	05-01 16:23
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 16:23
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$2	91	91	+0	open	—	05-01 16:23
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$2	91	91	+0	No	$0	05-01 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-01 16:23:48	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xfae541…
05-01 16:23:46	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xd4aed0…
05-01 16:23:46	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x7792ec…
05-01 16:23:44	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xbe1368…
05-01 16:23:44	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x821718…
05-01 16:23:42	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x8b6051…
05-01 16:23:40	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x195964…
05-01 16:23:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xba25e5…
05-01 16:23:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x98ec8f…
05-01 16:23:36	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xc80ed5…
05-01 16:23:36	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xb0592f…
05-01 16:23:34	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x2a0217…
05-01 16:23:32	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0xa264ad…
05-01 16:23:32	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x6c06e4…
05-01 16:23:30	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x77819b…
05-01 16:23:30	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x374dcd…
05-01 16:23:28	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xfbe26c…
05-01 16:23:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x26074d…
05-01 16:23:26	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x16bab4…
05-01 16:23:24	Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xca48cd…
05-01 16:23:24	Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	SELL	406	0¢	$1	0x80d35e…
05-01 16:23:22	Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc56b3c…
04-30 19:01:28	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xb7ab1e…
04-30 19:01:26	Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xadd1f4…
04-30 19:01:26	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x80c44e…
04-30 19:01:26	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x65f587…
04-30 19:01:24	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x765379…
04-30 19:01:24	Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	406	0¢	$1	0x2fb679…
04-30 19:01:22	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb07cbc…
04-30 19:01:22	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x87dfec…
04-30 19:01:20	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xc0a9e1…
04-30 19:01:20	Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9d98cd…
04-30 19:01:18	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcd09fb…
04-30 19:01:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xafdb9b…
04-30 19:01:18	Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x2ed221…
04-30 19:01:16	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa7ac0a…
04-30 19:01:16	Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x16c3a3…
04-30 19:01:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x67ce8e…
04-30 18:55:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6b7a68…
04-30 18:55:34	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdbca03…
04-30 18:55:34	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3e9175…
04-30 18:55:30	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3f4699…
04-30 18:55:30	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3d0aea…
04-30 18:55:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x80b7f3…
04-30 18:55:26	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf6e187…
04-30 18:55:26	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8bf109…
04-30 18:55:26	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x884350…
04-30 18:55:26	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x53d8b0…
04-30 18:55:24	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd0bf80…
04-30 18:55:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x667c5d…
04-30 18:55:22	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xd0ae94…
04-30 18:55:20	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x78a3a5…
04-21 12:54:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	156,764	99¢	$155,667	0x842da6…
04-04 03:03:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	109,396	99¢	$107,791	0x220d59…
04-04 03:03:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,915	98¢	$20,565	0x151a63…
04-04 03:00:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26,454	98¢	$25,978	0x19eecc…
04-01 22:36:13	bitcoin above 56k on april 3	Yes	BUY	154,521	100¢	$154,335	0x236583…
03-29 06:58:34	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	157,004	99¢	$154,748	0x1055a4…
03-29 06:55:58	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	20,101	99¢	$19,941	0x5b8a69…
03-29 06:55:18	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	135,077	100¢	$134,807	0xb5be4a…
03-29 04:41:20	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0xb9f965…
03-29 03:08:42	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	19,953	99¢	$19,853	0xb85c09…
03-29 03:07:34	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	20,041	100¢	$20,001	0xb2d05f…
03-27 20:48:33	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	31,277	100¢	$31,184	0xac8e97…
03-27 20:45:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	32,229	97¢	$31,184	0xee3087…
03-27 15:22:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	32,229	96¢	$30,868	0xb9b9aa…
03-27 15:21:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	30,960	100¢	$30,868	0xe5ebd6…
03-26 08:42:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	134,948	100¢	$134,656	0xf8478b…
03-26 08:42:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	19,854	100¢	$19,814	0xcc5925…
03-26 08:37:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	154,625	100¢	$154,470	0xc134df…
03-21 06:09:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	154,625	100¢	$154,316	0x7791e5…
03-20 04:21:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	104,404	100¢	$104,300	0x37200f…
03-01 03:33:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	154,335	95¢	$147,089	0xa0a549…
02-28 03:37:13	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	151,455	97¢	$147,089	0x37e389…
02-04 00:28:02	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xc76de2…
02-03 10:02:50	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50,376	90¢	$45,338	0x44234c…
02-03 01:26:30	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x9d80ab…
02-01 21:02:42	bitcoin above 90k on february 2	No	BUY	46,379	100¢	$46,333	0x3339ae…
02-01 12:32:06	bitcoin above 84k on february 1	No	BUY	46,480	100¢	$46,338	0x4c3aad…
01-30 01:38:36	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	46,413	100¢	$46,338	0x481011…
01-29 10:50:40	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0x8210b2…
01-29 10:48:52	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	99,900	91¢	$90,998	0xa0aeec…
01-26 14:43:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	863	0¢	$1	0xe0cac8…
01-26 14:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	873	68¢	$594	0x748386…
01-26 03:23:56	nba tor okc 2026 01 25	Raptors	SELL	594	100¢	$594	0xb6c5f0…
01-26 02:27:20	nba tor okc 2026 01 25	Raptors	BUY	594	64¢	$378	0xba0de9…
01-25 16:31:36	lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	Yes	BUY	378	90¢	$341	0x6b30f8…
01-25 16:30:48	epl new ast 2026 01 25 ast	Yes	SELL	334	100¢	$333	0xd6cf83…
01-25 15:54:48	epl new ast 2026 01 25 ast	Yes	BUY	334	99¢	$332	0xd009f4…
01-25 15:54:08	sea ata par 2026 01 25 ata	Yes	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0x3e64a1…
01-25 15:22:38	sea ata par 2026 01 25 ata	Yes	BUY	340	98¢	$333	0xf362f6…
01-25 15:19:42	lal mad mal 2026 01 25 mad	Yes	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0x9ae75f…
01-25 14:28:22	lal mad mal 2026 01 25 mad	Yes	BUY	333	91¢	$302	0x827f58…
01-25 02:04:04	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$298	0xe2dbe2…
01-24 16:56:26	afc u23 final china vs japan	Japan	SELL	299	100¢	$298	0xf5c512…
01-24 15:14:04	afc u23 final china vs japan	Japan	BUY	159	89¢	$141	0x56ede4…
01-24 15:12:32	afc u23 final china vs japan	Japan	BUY	140	88¢	$123	0xd1eeb4…
01-09 17:06:12	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	38,513	97¢	$37,402	0x4ddbb1…
01-09 14:52:26	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	52,130	97¢	$50,385	0x84e37c…
01-09 14:46:06	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	51,983	97¢	$50,198	0xcc6330…