(anonymous) 0x3d4d16…b05ac8
cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved
135
Trades
484
lifetime
Volume
$19.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$449
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-23 07:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Crypto
55% 45% -$879
Other
22% 51% -$337
Politics
22% 62% -$625
Sports
1% 0% -$5
Tech
0% 50% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +38 $24 90¢ $34 +$10 08-18 15:30
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +35 $31 92¢ $32 +$1 08-21 06:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 08-25 21:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +36 $30 86¢ $31 +$1 10-04 06:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +35 $30 86¢ $30 +$0 09-22 21:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +32 $30 90¢ $29 -$1 10-04 06:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +20 $13 98¢ $20 +$7 08-31 22:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +19 $17 99¢ $19 +$2 08-25 21:46
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +16 $12 98¢ $16 +$4 08-25 22:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +32 $12 46¢ $15 +$3 10-04 06:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +17 $13 84¢ $14 +$2 08-25 21:43
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +29 $12 49¢ $14 +$2 08-25 22:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +21 $12 64¢ $14 +$1 08-25 21:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +17 $12 78¢ $13 +$1 08-25 21:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +13 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 09-22 21:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$0 08-25 21:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +13 $12 96¢ $13 +$0 08-30 20:44
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 +$0 09-22 21:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +13 $12 95¢ $12 +$0 09-06 06:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $12 94¢ $12 +$0 08-25 21:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 10-23 07:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 -$3 82¢ $12 +$15 08-18 15:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 09-22 21:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 09-22 21:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +25 $12 46¢ $12 $0 08-25 21:44
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 Yes +17 $13 0¢ $0 -$13 08-20 06:53