Aromatic-Invasion-Everybody 0x3d60a4…866df2
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$230
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved (7d)
81
Trades (7d)
199
14,610 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.13K
$237.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$893
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 11-01 07:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
51% 77% -$229
Politics
29% 65% -$926
Crypto
17% 78% -$778
Sports
2% 69% +$101
Tech
1% 71% +$85
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +113 $47 76¢ $85 +$39 10-06 13:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +77 $60 99¢ $77 +$17 10-30 11:28
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +72 $60 96¢ $69 +$9 07-25 12:21
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +67 $60 96¢ $64 +$4 10-25 21:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +64 $60 99¢ $64 +$4 10-30 10:05
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +107 $60 56¢ $61 +$1 10-28 18:04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +85 $60 72¢ $60 +$0 10-31 07:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +63 $60 96¢ $60 +$0 10-31 16:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +63 $60 94¢ $60 $0 11-01 07:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? No +51 $30 92¢ $47 +$17 10-31 00:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +64 $47 70¢ $45 -$3 10-27 20:29
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +41 $23 94¢ $38 +$16 05-19 01:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? No +33 $30 99¢ $33 +$3 10-31 00:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +92 $60 30¢ $28 -$32 10-28 02:48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +34 $12 57¢ $20 +$7 10-26 00:08
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 05-19 04:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +40 $21 43¢ $17 -$4 10-29 15:54
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +16 $16 95¢ $16 $0 10-30 14:55
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $16 76¢ $15 -$1 05-19 04:54
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +88 $17 11¢ $10 -$7 11-01 01:31
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $4 74¢ $3 $0 10-31 11:56
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-08 10:45
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 $0 85¢ $0 $0 05-19 04:17
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +20 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 05-19 02:34
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No +0 $0 63¢ $0 +$0 07-05 14:36
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? No +0 $17 2¢ $0 -$17 11-01 00:59
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 10-25 18:02