Aromatic-Invasion-Everybody 0x3d60a4…866df2 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$129
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved (90d)
550
Trades (90d)
1,350
14,670 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$26.3K
$238.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 11-03 05:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
50% 77% -$240
Politics
29% 65% -$912
Crypto
17% 78% -$745
Sports
2% 69% +$101
Tech
1% 71% +$85
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump say "Burger" in October? No +104 $90 100¢ $104 +$14 11-02 16:32
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +113 $47 72¢ $82 +$35 10-06 13:24
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +107 $60 66¢ $71 +$11 11-01 20:46
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +107 $60 66¢ $71 +$11 11-01 20:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +87 $60 81¢ $71 +$11 11-03 00:56
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +72 $60 96¢ $69 +$9 07-25 12:21
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +180 $58 36¢ $66 +$8 11-02 06:16
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +67 $60 97¢ $65 +$5 10-25 21:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +85 $60 76¢ $65 +$5 10-31 07:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +83 $60 76¢ $64 +$4 11-02 04:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +69 $52 92¢ $63 +$11 11-02 08:16
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +107 $60 58¢ $63 +$3 10-28 18:04
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +41 $23 94¢ $39 +$16 05-19 01:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +43 $32 76¢ $33 +$1 11-02 06:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? No +33 $18 95¢ $32 +$14 11-03 05:29
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 $0 11-02 09:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +32 $30 94¢ $30 $0 11-02 19:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +34 $12 58¢ $20 +$8 10-26 00:08
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 05-19 04:24
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +160 $14 11¢ $17 +$3 11-02 07:37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +40 $21 42¢ $17 -$4 10-29 15:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +82 $55 20¢ $16 -$38 11-03 01:21
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +16 $16 96¢ $16 +$0 10-30 14:55
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $16 68¢ $14 -$2 05-19 04:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +92 $60 8¢ $7 -$53 10-28 02:48
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $7 15¢ $7 +$0 11-02 16:34
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +100 $7 6¢ $6 -$2 11-02 16:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +4 $0 99¢ $4 +$4 11-02 07:47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-08 10:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +0 $5 80¢ $0 -$5 11-03 01:20