Truthful-Cage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$802

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-25 08:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 75% +$0

Other

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	23	$97	243	243	+0	open	—	06-06 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9PM ET	15	$76	48	43	+5	open	—	04-30 01:55
bitcoin up or down february 27 7am et	12	$61	43	43	+0	open	—	02-27 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	8	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	05-04 08:41
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	8	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	06-06 02:55
bitcoin up or down february 6 8pm et	1	$40	0	40	-40	open	—	02-07 02:02
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	8	$35	23	57	-33	open	—	06-10 00:43
bitcoin up or down february 6 9pm et	8	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	02-07 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	4	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2AM ET	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 06:55
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	4	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	06-09 23:46
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	06-19 12:47
bitcoin up or down january 10 1am et	12	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	01-10 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10PM ET	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 13:29
btc updown 15m 1772236800	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 00:03
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-07 10:50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-06 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 05:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 02:06
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-11 14:06
bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 00:22
btc updown 15m 1767246300	6	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	01-01 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	3	$10	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 07:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$9	4	5	-1	open	—	05-26 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	8	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:39:36	btc updown 15m 1784968200	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xac1cb7…
07-25 08:34:30	btc updown 15m 1784968200	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc53116…
07-25 07:52:54	btc updown 15m 1784965500	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x5f3f44…
07-25 07:52:30	btc updown 15m 1784965500	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xacc1ab…
07-25 07:43:15	btc updown 15m 1784964600	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x2c1193…
07-25 07:40:12	btc updown 15m 1784964600	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7fc2db…
07-25 07:36:21	btc updown 15m 1784964600	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5986a9…
07-25 07:34:10	btc updown 15m 1784964600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x24533f…
07-25 07:11:34	btc updown 15m 1784962800	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xe0b3b0…
07-25 07:00:28	btc updown 15m 1784962800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x62b6f9…
07-25 06:53:27	btc updown 15m 1784961900	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xd55dab…
07-25 06:49:27	btc updown 15m 1784961900	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf2286b…
07-25 06:47:52	btc updown 15m 1784961900	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x91deac…
07-25 06:47:04	btc updown 15m 1784961900	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0d527a…
07-25 06:24:01	btc updown 15m 1784960100	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2d8448…
07-25 06:23:42	btc updown 15m 1784960100	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x082ec6…
07-25 06:16:57	btc updown 5m 1784960100	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa6a94e…
07-25 06:16:30	btc updown 5m 1784960100	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x704b82…
07-24 13:18:37	btc updown 5m 1784898900	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdf2023…
07-24 13:18:03	btc updown 5m 1784898900	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce0941…
07-24 13:17:37	btc updown 5m 1784898900	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x78629e…
07-24 13:17:27	btc updown 5m 1784898900	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdd3026…
07-24 13:16:36	btc updown 5m 1784898900	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xab0bd0…
07-24 13:16:06	btc updown 5m 1784898900	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6aa073…
07-16 05:12:22	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb4250a…
07-16 05:10:23	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcb050c…
07-16 04:55:23	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x5b88ae…
07-16 04:50:19	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb4b2eb…
07-16 04:49:47	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa00383…
07-16 04:49:38	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3b6f28…
07-16 04:49:01	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x857df6…
07-04 08:20:40	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x19f6f0…
07-04 08:19:49	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbb79f9…
07-04 08:19:23	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xa51ea1…
07-04 08:18:50	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d43a2…
07-04 08:14:49	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x648687…
07-04 08:14:01	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcccb1c…
07-04 08:13:13	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x94dd85…
07-04 08:12:34	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2bbd51…
07-04 08:11:47	Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x012fa3…
07-04 08:11:08	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x012951…
07-04 08:10:59	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x3b3717…
06-19 12:49:23	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb61f7f…
06-19 12:47:47	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x46474f…
06-18 00:50:25	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x268e5d…
06-13 03:29:43	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x653e87…
06-11 14:07:55	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4f7778…
06-11 14:06:45	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xb695f5…
06-10 00:43:54	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x4493bd…
06-10 00:42:52	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x95b27a…
06-10 00:33:43	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x6cec69…
06-10 00:33:27	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8d595d…
06-10 00:29:37	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xf2d397…
06-10 00:29:01	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfcb229…
06-10 00:27:58	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xb2c926…
06-10 00:27:01	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5e020b…
06-09 23:46:34	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0xdfa668…
06-09 23:33:22	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb7495c…
06-09 23:28:37	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x64f1fd…
06-09 23:28:19	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7437dd…
06-07 10:50:30	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7220d1…
06-06 03:45:21	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	64	6¢	$4	0x4af83c…
06-06 03:44:52	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x562e56…
06-06 03:41:52	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0x6a53ba…
06-06 03:38:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x4c3fb3…
06-06 03:36:51	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	46	12¢	$6	0xff6387…
06-06 03:36:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x4ccac1…
06-06 03:29:31	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x34485b…
06-06 03:28:12	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7475d6…
06-06 03:24:39	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xd9f658…
06-06 03:24:16	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7dcb27…
06-06 03:21:27	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x5a8ba3…
06-06 03:20:18	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x96a4cf…
06-06 03:19:57	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd4f2b0…
06-06 03:17:46	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x5e5789…
06-06 03:15:06	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x190ae4…
06-06 03:13:49	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xcd499d…
06-06 03:11:00	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbf786b…
06-06 03:10:22	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x58c4c5…
06-06 03:09:54	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd463c4…
06-06 03:07:33	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0x8cc92d…
06-06 03:06:31	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfeac1e…
06-06 03:03:01	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0xf58a05…
06-06 03:01:36	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9551f8…
06-06 02:55:31	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xe6a739…
06-06 02:55:18	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x545880…
06-06 02:54:06	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xd68646…
06-06 02:51:48	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x465847…
06-06 02:50:54	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xff5f96…
06-06 02:49:42	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x131cf9…
06-06 02:49:19	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xad6e2d…
06-06 02:48:58	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa1cf77…
06-06 02:11:18	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x99860c…
06-06 02:10:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfb620e…
06-01 08:48:50	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2dcd0d…
06-01 08:48:17	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37cdc0…
06-01 08:47:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x395ab7…
06-01 08:46:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x9e785f…
05-26 08:08:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7fb5ae…
05-26 08:07:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfa41a1…