Dutiful-Drudgery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 01:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

90% 0% $-0

Other

8% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	06-30 10:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+29	$14	0¢	$0	$-14	07-01 01:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	16	$6.1K	3,061	3,061	+0	open	—	03-26 00:20
trump out as president by march 31	14	$4.8K	2,425	2,425	+0	open	—	03-26 00:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$130	72	72	+0	open	—	04-27 15:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$72	39	39	+0	open	—	03-19 14:26
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$72	22	57	-34	open	—	01-08 02:14
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1400plus	2	$66	49	49	+0	open	—	01-05 17:14
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$58	62	62	+0	open	—	01-08 02:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$56	70	70	+0	open	—	01-08 02:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$48	684	684	+0	open	—	06-10 14:04
lol ig1 lng 2026 01 02 game3	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	01-01 12:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 13:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 15:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 05:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$38	46	46	+0	open	—	04-18 14:12
btc updown 5m 1771729800	2	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	02-22 03:11
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	03-06 11:56
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	2	$21	25	25	+0	open	—	01-16 12:26
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 16:22
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-14 12:04
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	03-18 15:21
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-28 15:22
btc updown 5m 1771890300	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	02-23 23:47
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 14:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-11 23:26
will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-30 12:29
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-17 14:17
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	06-11 15:18
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	$-0	02-25 18:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	06-30 10:13
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-12 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 01:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x518e4f…
06-30 10:13:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x67308e…
06-30 10:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xe3d9c1…
06-29 12:26:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x44cfaa…
06-27 05:13:31	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x810908…
06-18 13:41:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	56	10¢	$5	0xdd568c…
06-17 13:52:16	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0b0bd0…
06-14 14:44:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xb5b02e…
06-14 14:43:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	1,667	0¢	$3	0x55e9e8…
06-11 15:19:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xc64f61…
06-11 15:18:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x250763…
06-10 14:05:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3e8aa3…
06-10 14:04:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	385	3¢	$10	0xf4913c…
06-09 13:49:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0xded360…
06-09 13:48:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x0f3bd4…
06-08 14:50:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x8436c0…
06-08 14:49:34	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	154	4¢	$6	0x053a0c…
06-07 14:29:55	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0x5cefe0…
06-07 14:29:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2afdce…
06-06 16:02:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb63824…
06-06 16:01:01	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x4c4871…
06-04 15:08:46	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x349f69…
06-03 12:59:28	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	107	4¢	$5	0xa269e0…
06-03 12:58:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x95cb86…
06-02 14:10:56	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xab38ee…
06-02 14:10:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	294	3¢	$8	0x6bd8fb…
06-01 11:42:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0xb3825f…
05-30 14:18:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7a2a24…
05-29 20:10:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x62d5c2…
05-28 15:23:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfab835…
05-28 15:22:47	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xcabcd1…
05-27 11:15:52	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6ffa95…
05-11 17:34:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xf0db87…
05-10 14:12:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9a7ffc…
05-03 07:26:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x4d52fc…
05-02 16:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8aad6a…
04-30 12:00:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4985a…
04-29 14:47:16	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x5f6802…
04-28 05:15:42	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x19375a…
04-28 05:14:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe84112…
04-27 15:36:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5f35eb…
04-27 15:35:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8a504c…
04-26 14:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb08c5b…
04-26 14:56:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa50864…
04-25 14:26:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x31a7b6…
04-24 16:22:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4ccbed…
04-23 13:18:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8456c0…
04-23 13:17:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x671b68…
04-22 14:31:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x78db91…
04-22 14:30:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xddf632…
04-21 13:35:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfec586…
04-21 13:35:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x88e35c…
04-19 14:20:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x627788…
04-18 14:12:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	25¢	$9	0xbc7961…
04-17 15:54:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x258953…
04-15 04:39:38	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x50879a…
04-15 04:39:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x14e663…
04-14 12:06:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6bba8a…
04-14 12:04:53	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x5e8d70…
04-13 14:17:35	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1b3396…
04-13 14:11:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$12	0x1795cb…
04-12 14:10:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xd93c11…
04-12 14:10:31	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x879f22…
04-11 23:27:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc72f2…
04-11 23:26:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x02a3fa…
04-10 13:45:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1cd9ee…
04-09 15:20:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$9	0x575d5d…
04-08 03:17:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x36b743…
04-05 14:34:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xa5d861…
04-04 05:28:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0x72a668…
04-02 14:10:55	cs2 m80 all 2026 04 02	Alliance	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8af2b2…
04-01 07:34:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x258d9b…
03-31 15:42:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x79f5c5…
03-31 15:42:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x532b50…
03-30 12:30:06	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x367685…
03-30 12:29:08	will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x48242b…
03-29 06:34:58	will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa9f47b…
03-29 06:34:10	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	62	14¢	$9	0xeb3965…
03-28 16:07:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb773e1…
03-26 00:20:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	502	100¢	$499	0xe74ec5…
03-26 00:19:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xa0cd5b…
03-26 00:19:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	502	100¢	$499	0x937f6a…
03-26 00:18:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x094619…
03-26 00:17:57	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	502	100¢	$499	0x27fc0c…
03-26 00:17:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xdff797…
03-26 00:17:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	502	100¢	$499	0x826552…
03-26 00:16:57	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x89921c…
03-26 00:16:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	502	100¢	$499	0x2d406b…
03-26 00:16:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xb7703b…
03-26 00:16:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	530	100¢	$527	0xcee0bf…
03-26 00:16:17	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	530	100¢	$528	0x26fbd8…
03-26 00:15:05	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	502	100¢	$500	0xd8149e…
03-26 00:14:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xbed0b7…
03-26 00:14:23	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x7138d2…
03-26 00:14:09	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x56d060…
03-26 00:14:03	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	501	100¢	$499	0xf02fe8…
03-26 00:13:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x873f4c…
03-26 00:13:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	531	100¢	$529	0x32e4fe…
03-26 00:13:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	531	100¢	$530	0x337d9f…
03-26 00:11:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xa77398…