Decent-Foreigner — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

263 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$3.62K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-29 07:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 81% +$17

Other

35% 79% +$52

Sports

12% 35% +$1

Politics

9% 90% +$12

Tech

5% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+35	$17	16¢	$5	-$11	10-12 03:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	-$1	22¢	$1	+$2	09-22 02:51
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-27	-$4	2¢	$-0	+$4	07-20 04:09
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	08-08 07:50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$5	89¢	$0	+$5	08-23 11:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	06-18 14:19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	08-15 02:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$145	78	78	+0	open	—	08-15 02:46
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$136	69	68	+1	No	+$1	03-06 19:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$123	65	65	+0	Yes	+$1	06-27 10:13
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	3	$105	49	56	-7	No	$0	02-26 04:59
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	6	$99	69	62	+7	Yes	+$11	10-12 03:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$99	53	53	+0	open	—	06-18 14:19
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	4	$87	46	46	+0	No	+$3	03-30 01:58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$83	380	339	+41	No	+$1	07-11 01:00
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	3	$82	44	44	+0	No	+$1	06-27 10:11
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	4	$80	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-13 08:54
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$79	55	25	+30	No	+$0	02-26 05:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$77	41	41	+0	No	$0	07-11 01:04
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	2	$70	40	35	+5	No	+$2	09-28 02:13
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$62	32	31	+0	No	+$0	09-25 04:02
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	4	$61	40	40	+0	No	+$1	02-18 03:11
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$58	30	29	+1	No	$0	03-08 03:56
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$58	30	29	+1	No	$0	03-08 03:54
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$54	28	27	+1	No	$0	06-18 14:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	2	$52	37	27	+10	Yes	-$8	10-29 07:04
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$52	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-18 14:27
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	06-18 14:29
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$49	25	24	+1	No	$0	02-26 05:09
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$48	27	27	+0	No	+$2	05-14 01:35
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$43	34	19	+15	No	+$5	04-29 07:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	2	$43	25	24	+1	No	+$4	10-29 07:03
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?	2	$42	23	22	+0	No	+$2	08-28 03:35
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$41	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-20 08:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	3	$40	21	20	+0	No	+$0	09-17 07:23
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	3	$40	41	41	+0	No	+$10	09-03 02:45
will wti reach 110 in august 2026	2	$39	22	22	+0	No	+$2	08-08 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:07:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x213df8…
10-29 07:05:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf51326…
10-29 07:04:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x2fd828…
10-29 07:03:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xede9f4…
10-12 03:07:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xf2c9f4…
10-12 03:06:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xf93ffa…
10-12 03:06:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0xc75c8b…
10-12 03:05:56	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x5fe56c…
10-12 03:05:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1f5a82…
09-28 02:14:42	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x47e961…
09-28 02:14:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$18	0xcd6437…
09-28 02:14:08	will ethereum dip to 2400 in september 2026 from september 17	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1a9c5e…
09-28 02:13:41	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x5528da…
09-25 04:06:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x0a2c43…
09-25 04:03:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xc27c89…
09-25 04:03:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$13	0xac6f68…
09-25 04:02:59	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x5a7c28…
09-22 02:53:24	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xd75126…
09-22 02:52:50	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xdb13a3…
09-22 02:52:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x4ef20c…
09-22 02:52:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xbfd274…
09-22 02:51:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x0885b1…
09-17 07:30:19	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x7f1f58…
09-17 07:23:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x477a06…
09-17 07:23:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0xbdc57c…
09-17 07:22:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xb987e4…
09-10 04:24:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	No	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x3931bf…
09-10 04:23:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xbd52fe…
09-10 04:23:30	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x2c668d…
09-10 04:23:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x7fd84c…
09-03 02:45:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x06a690…
09-03 02:45:24	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xc3e7f0…
09-03 02:45:12	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x333da5…
09-03 02:44:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xa42768…
08-28 03:37:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd5e69d…
08-28 03:37:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x83b99d…
08-28 03:36:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x1b0f3e…
08-28 03:36:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf5ab95…
08-28 03:36:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x1a505f…
08-28 03:35:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x91ed1c…
08-28 03:35:22	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0x9395ba…
08-28 03:35:10	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0xa4ccf7…
08-23 11:49:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xa062e4…
08-23 11:47:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6725fe…
08-23 11:46:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x11d439…
08-15 20:01:16	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x55ba37…
08-15 02:47:55	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x79fcb5…
08-15 02:46:51	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x50a5ae…
08-15 02:46:16	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x09f9ac…
08-08 07:54:25	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x369cba…
08-08 07:52:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x18c85c…
08-08 07:51:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xcad024…
08-08 07:51:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x7fc208…
08-08 07:50:09	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x754cc4…
08-08 07:49:31	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	22	95¢	$20	0xa359f3…
08-01 03:35:33	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x9a11b2…
08-01 03:34:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xd01891…
08-01 03:34:03	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x6bdaa7…
07-27 14:25:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x32bce7…
07-25 02:15:36	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x85b060…
07-25 02:15:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x9f511f…
07-25 02:15:03	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x509515…
07-20 18:11:06	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xbc5e4c…
07-20 07:17:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x7ac2f0…
07-20 04:11:18	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xcba976…
07-20 04:09:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x7cd377…
07-20 04:09:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0x195203…
07-20 04:08:45	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xd2f44c…
07-14 15:27:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xc42604…
07-14 15:26:19	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xa9dc8a…
07-11 01:08:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x1ce153…
07-11 01:06:38	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x574c22…
07-11 01:05:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbcd68e…
07-11 01:04:41	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x810ef8…
07-11 01:01:59	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x9c3059…
07-11 01:00:37	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0x56bb84…
07-11 01:00:08	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0x1d25a8…
07-11 00:59:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0xeeb93b…
07-06 09:17:08	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x2627e7…
07-06 09:16:22	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf2f253…
07-06 09:15:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x12f905…
07-06 09:14:01	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x702163…
07-06 09:12:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xcf7833…
07-06 09:11:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x78e407…
07-06 09:10:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xee4c2b…
07-06 09:10:25	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	120	14¢	$17	0xd6d6b3…
07-06 09:10:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	88	6¢	$5	0x3581fd…
06-27 10:22:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$14	0xbfba37…
06-27 10:21:56	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x412727…
06-27 10:14:08	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	199	10¢	$20	0x00f7ff…
06-27 10:13:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xab061c…
06-27 10:12:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x6da893…
06-27 10:11:32	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	44	95¢	$41	0xe6befa…
06-27 10:09:16	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xbc6f97…
06-27 10:08:14	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x627985…
06-27 10:06:11	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0x5f8e3e…
06-18 23:21:53	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x548e44…
06-18 23:19:47	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x1f3869…
06-18 23:14:20	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xd4fd83…
06-18 23:11:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8c2211…