Normal-Podcast 0x4057f6…7270bc
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
25.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
69
lifetime
Volume
$133
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$45
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-16 19:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
53% 50% $-1
Politics
47% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 06-15 16:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +12 $11 94¢ $11 $-0 06-12 22:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +7 $6 98¢ $7 +$1 06-16 19:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-08 11:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-16 19:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-16 19:08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $-0 06-03 16:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 06-03 08:58
Trump out as President by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-03 09:04
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-03 09:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-08 11:28
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 06-03 08:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +17 $15 0¢ $0 $-15 06-08 11:23