Realized P&L
-$103
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
528
lifetime
Volume
$8.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$314
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-20 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
72% 0% $-103
Other
28%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -102 $-68 70¢ $-71 $-3 07-16 13:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +161 $62 42¢ $67 +$5 06-26 12:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -69 $-53 74¢ $-51 +$1 07-14 00:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -41 $-37 88¢ $-36 +$1 07-16 13:00
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -73 $-30 48¢ $-35 $-5 06-18 06:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +23 $1 70¢ $16 +$15 07-20 10:57
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-18 34¢ $-13 +$4 07-16 13:02
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-11 71¢ $-11 +$0 07-16 13:02
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-9 83¢ $-10 $-1 06-28 07:40
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -23 $-4 14¢ $-3 +$1 06-25 20:29