Realized P&L
-$103
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
461
lifetime
Volume
$7.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$413
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-01 05:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
71% 0% $-103
Other
28%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -130 $-117 86¢ $-113 +$4 06-25 09:16
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +108 $89 86¢ $93 +$4 06-20 15:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +108 $70 70¢ $75 +$5 06-21 16:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +161 $62 43¢ $69 +$7 06-26 12:50
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -73 $-30 37¢ $-27 +$3 06-18 06:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +27 $21 84¢ $22 +$1 06-01 11:09
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-9 76¢ $-9 $-0 06-28 07:40
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -23 $-4 18¢ $-4 $-0 06-25 20:29