Realized P&L
-$2.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved
2,357
Trades
11,911
lifetime
Volume
$135.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$237
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-12 11:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
86% 62% -$1,162
Crypto
5% 80% -$119
Sports
5% 56% -$56
Politics
3% 62% -$864
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$45 98¢ $-49 -$4 05-12 11:48
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -26 -$21 97¢ $-25 -$4 05-12 11:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$22 98¢ $-25 -$2 05-12 11:49
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -25 -$23 97¢ $-24 -$1 05-12 11:48
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$18 95¢ $-24 -$6 05-12 11:48
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -25 -$10 78¢ $-20 -$9 05-12 11:49
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -25 -$16 70¢ $-18 -$2 05-12 11:49
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -35 -$13 39¢ $-14 -$1 05-12 11:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No -11 -$10 96¢ $-11 -$1 05-12 11:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -9 -$7 92¢ $-8 -$1 05-12 11:49
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 05-12 11:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -25 -$7 18¢ $-4 +$3 05-12 11:49
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -4 -$4 96¢ $-4 $0 05-12 11:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -25 -$8 14¢ $-3 +$5 05-12 11:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -25 -$5 11¢ $-3 +$2 05-12 11:49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -16 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 05-12 11:50