Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$123

Hit rate

37.0%

Resolved

354

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$145

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-15 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

40% 16% -$7,869

Crypto

38% 46% -$863

Politics

21% 25% +$3,429

Sports

1% 0% -$190

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes		-158	-$89	66¢	$-104	-$15	10-15 22:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+2,027	$150	2¢	$42	-$108	05-17 11:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	11	$5.8K	36,076	36,076	+0	No	-$4,237	04-08 18:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$3.3K	29,047	12,490	+16,557	No	-$3,076	03-26 16:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$1.5K	20,013	20,013	+0	No	-$1,258	05-17 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 06:50 UTC	3	$1.1K	579	546	+33	Up	+$36	03-03 06:55
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$960	5,231	0	+5,231	Yes	+$4,271	02-26 04:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$749	0	30,301	-30,301	No	+$749	06-11 13:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$630	1,136	1,136	+0	No	+$30	03-11 11:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$562	1,638	1,638	+0	open	—	10-15 22:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$400	9,658	0	+9,658	No	-$400	01-31 18:20
bitcoin up or down on february 12	2	$382	357	357	+0	Down	+$332	02-12 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:45 UTC	1	$340	394	0	+394	Down	+$53	03-18 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 23:10 UTC	1	$325	662	0	+662	Down	-$325	03-19 23:10
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$300	495	0	+495	No	-$192	03-28 18:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	1	$250	1,576	0	+1,576	Yes	-$250	10-15 22:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$250	595	0	+595	No	-$250	03-01 01:51
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$250	694	0	+694	Yes	+$444	02-17 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:45 UTC	3	$246	740	0	+740	Down	-$246	03-04 11:49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$245	222	222	+0	Yes	+$45	02-22 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:40 UTC	3	$241	277	204	+74	Down	+$65	06-22 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:45 UTC	4	$239	148	148	+0	Down	+$10	02-17 09:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC	5	$233	227	154	+72	Up	+$145	03-07 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:10 UTC	2	$232	147	145	+2	Up	+$34	02-28 16:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$231	249	149	+100	No	+$53	02-10 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:20 UTC	2	$201	102	102	+0	Down	+$1	02-28 14:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$201	1,845	0	+1,845	No	-$201	03-01 02:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:50 UTC	1	$200	316	0	+316	Down	+$116	03-01 04:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 19:20 UTC	3	$181	299	102	+198	Down	-$98	02-28 19:23
ethereum up or down on february 12	2	$178	169	169	+0	Down	+$158	02-12 19:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$171	1,013	1,013	+0	No	-$29	03-11 11:56
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$170	526	0	+526	No	-$170	05-03 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 22:10:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xc6baab…
10-15 22:10:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	985	10¢	$100	0x185e3f…
10-15 22:09:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,576	16¢	$250	0xa52136…
10-15 22:06:59	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	57¢	$89	0x4206cc…
10-15 22:06:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,638	16¢	$262	0x6ff976…
08-14 05:02:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	632	4¢	$24	0x6a433a…
06-27 19:58:22	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	702	6¢	$40	0x64f4e9…
06-27 19:57:55	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,750	4¢	$70	0xeb7881…
06-27 19:54:28	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0xb392d7…
06-22 20:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x18bc81…
06-22 20:43:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xbdd333…
06-22 20:43:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	204	57¢	$116	0xd6034f…
06-22 20:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x37d069…
06-22 20:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x1c33cb…
06-22 20:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x67f056…
06-22 20:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0xd17ea6…
06-22 20:15:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xffff14…
06-22 20:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x96e8b1…
06-22 20:13:35	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 3pt5	France	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x4addcb…
06-16 13:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0xed1e5f…
06-16 13:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x429617…
06-16 13:54:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x67c874…
06-16 13:48:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x7fb2ce…
06-16 13:08:06	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xa1be8c…
06-16 13:07:58	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xa35a4e…
06-16 13:07:46	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xfd2023…
06-16 13:07:24	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x869e97…
06-11 13:19:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23,938	2¢	$494	0x2f8a86…
06-11 13:18:45	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	566	5¢	$30	0x7716bb…
06-11 13:18:30	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	311	16¢	$50	0x703ae0…
05-17 11:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x71b390…
05-17 11:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x448e4c…
05-17 11:08:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,483	7¢	$110	0x9273dc…
05-17 11:08:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	544	7¢	$40	0x7c709b…
05-17 11:06:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	484	31¢	$150	0xa6f4a9…
05-17 11:05:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6,363	4¢	$255	0xb7a6af…
05-17 11:04:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20,013	1¢	$140	0xdf6bf1…
05-17 10:58:23	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x037791…
05-08 14:17:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	632	9¢	$60	0x1a3bb0…
05-03 01:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x482a48…
05-03 01:30:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	302	50¢	$151	0x8d9ced…
05-03 01:27:48	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	32¢	$170	0xa6845b…
05-03 01:27:32	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	1,011	1¢	$10	0x75006d…
05-03 01:19:38	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe88500…
05-01 09:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6edc25…
04-12 18:50:13	Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,646	0¢	$19	0x89c83c…
04-12 18:49:53	Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,846	0¢	$20	0x60f6e9…
04-12 18:49:53	Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35,494	0¢	$35	0x38e82d…
04-12 18:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xfe6009…
04-12 18:40:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x0b8078…
04-08 18:09:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	36,076	2¢	$803	0x686855…
04-07 11:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x291359…
04-07 11:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x114988…
04-07 11:47:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20,013	7¢	$1,398	0xdb3ffe…
04-05 18:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa5167a…
04-05 18:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1357ec…
04-05 18:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa4b153…
04-05 18:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x221bfe…
04-05 18:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x73a159…
04-05 18:45:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x3dce8d…
04-05 18:44:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfa2c3d…
04-04 20:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	43	17¢	$7	0x7a1bed…
04-04 20:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x907d88…
04-04 19:46:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xdc5fd5…
04-04 19:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	293	3¢	$10	0xf62dcc…
04-04 19:42:31	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa263a7…
04-03 08:31:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x00c798…
04-03 08:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x406515…
04-03 08:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x612053…
04-03 08:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x08ffcb…
04-03 08:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xad779b…
04-03 08:00:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	91	65¢	$59	0xf95edf…
04-01 12:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	83	51¢	$42	0xe203b1…
04-01 12:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xc7a9de…
04-01 12:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb3adb3…
04-01 12:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6a4c9f…
04-01 12:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc50b2b…
04-01 06:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd1816f…
04-01 04:59:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	833	4¢	$30	0xd08337…
03-30 13:12:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x38dcae…
03-30 13:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x40c991…
03-30 05:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x2b36a0…
03-29 19:59:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd82722…
03-29 19:57:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7,143	7¢	$500	0x845bb7…
03-29 19:09:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x95b78d…
03-29 19:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc40b20…
03-29 18:56:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb38610…
03-29 18:52:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x6960ed…
03-29 18:10:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x494006…
03-29 15:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xf7b1fa…
03-29 15:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xed0715…
03-29 15:07:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbb76f2…
03-29 15:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4ae69f…
03-29 14:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0xd1f04e…
03-29 14:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0477e6…
03-29 14:28:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc9509c…
03-29 14:28:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3741d9…
03-29 14:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc3b052…
03-29 10:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6e6f93…
03-29 10:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x975251…